Prediction 3719

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Rio Grande do Norte

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in RN


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 90.70 21.47 27.64 34.68 54.36 150.08 240.41 333.96 393.05
2022-10-16 87.82 21.76 27.07 34.07 50.36 162.05 298.69 391.95 601.78
2022-10-23 87.90 20.58 23.88 33.51 47.02 180.63 326.20 435.09 641.95
2022-10-30 81.59 18.17 25.98 31.66 50.24 132.42 242.26 347.63 432.16
2022-11-06 98.35 24.01 28.52 36.73 59.32 168.12 261.89 394.67 566.14
2022-11-13 89.87 19.68 25.41 35.00 51.52 159.01 273.30 402.70 553.40
2022-11-20 66.62 17.17 20.23 25.49 41.56 121.28 213.48 304.41 436.27
2022-11-27 68.33 15.24 18.59 23.36 40.22 111.16 189.41 276.56 414.57
2022-12-04 60.23 16.24 20.84 26.91 40.34 102.80 165.62 215.42 336.41
2022-12-11 63.32 12.39 16.71 22.65 36.73 104.98 205.75 288.46 387.16
2022-12-18 33.59 8.10 10.16 13.88 20.36 59.81 106.44 133.87 211.43
2022-12-25 22.04 3.96 4.70 7.04 12.25 40.77 76.33 119.45 168.74
2023-01-01 67.34 16.57 20.45 25.58 38.67 111.27 182.91 255.69 338.55
2023-01-08 98.50 26.65 31.61 38.29 60.70 173.38 298.98 419.40 568.66
2023-01-15 87.57 25.37 29.32 39.58 55.26 145.77 242.73 350.62 482.97
2023-01-22 112.45 27.40 38.48 45.04 68.87 199.55 342.03 473.49 660.75
2023-01-29 120.03 30.81 35.14 45.80 70.69 191.21 305.65 445.17 617.80
2023-02-05 145.29 36.79 47.47 60.20 94.66 233.69 373.11 507.35 626.04
2023-02-12 175.94 47.97 58.61 74.99 110.28 279.12 431.36 624.08 890.18
2023-02-19 172.39 49.75 62.36 73.23 109.89 266.25 446.30 654.63 816.42
2023-02-26 277.10 74.20 86.83 112.77 159.66 440.57 700.18 977.78 1393.28
2023-03-05 306.94 72.75 97.61 118.70 185.13 495.50 743.10 998.31 1368.18
2023-03-12 331.32 94.38 111.86 149.68 214.23 592.34 1055.63 1468.78 2147.79
2023-03-19 419.10 91.06 118.72 149.98 263.60 719.77 1242.00 1647.46 2057.83
2023-03-26 404.74 105.25 132.39 165.93 248.57 658.07 964.72 1260.67 1715.28
2023-04-02 471.75 146.27 175.78 214.32 310.98 806.54 1341.07 2189.14 2842.43
2023-04-09 582.63 170.29 196.02 242.15 357.15 941.92 1363.57 2026.81 2328.93
2023-04-16 706.47 212.45 250.96 312.44 473.11 1137.30 1860.35 2422.86 3253.33
2023-04-23 771.95 240.82 289.44 349.62 482.31 1179.74 1946.05 2698.77 3809.89
2023-04-30 881.65 294.17 318.30 398.42 600.06 1353.87 2396.90 3273.21 4107.77
2023-05-07 1042.40 307.34 345.25 419.27 637.13 1721.95 2983.06 3773.00 5112.43
2023-05-14 1035.52 262.24 348.58 448.21 640.54 1654.03 2468.88 3619.11 4433.25
2023-05-21 1024.14 262.87 325.89 414.27 624.80 1721.70 2732.71 3738.68 4649.07
2023-05-28 1083.32 298.66 355.55 428.72 658.92 1700.73 2470.22 3367.57 4405.94
2023-06-04 766.96 246.04 285.59 343.76 501.66 1320.17 2138.41 2735.63 3711.11
2023-06-11 691.11 191.72 222.76 271.99 418.84 1143.64 1837.56 2234.21 3442.19
2023-06-18 542.75 170.40 203.93 234.75 368.61 954.98 1581.69 2159.35 3069.22
2023-06-25 516.20 160.59 188.92 236.07 335.69 818.31 1313.05 1917.29 2346.33
2023-07-02 514.45 163.41 186.43 215.89 338.59 829.48 1273.90 1809.39 2499.65
2023-07-09 507.16 134.64 162.52 206.37 300.99 812.89 1323.42 1790.81 2486.69
2023-07-16 409.70 128.57 145.65 184.04 261.55 668.01 1055.18 1499.29 1940.87
2023-07-23 342.34 103.39 120.77 150.92 213.43 525.66 829.89 1206.76 1682.60
2023-07-30 287.74 83.69 103.62 132.34 187.42 483.10 941.07 1269.65 1677.76
2023-08-06 285.54 79.06 94.55 115.23 177.16 486.25 765.77 1043.94 1642.47
2023-08-13 267.71 67.02 85.24 106.66 174.03 458.52 823.15 1166.57 1418.52
2023-08-20 242.86 65.03 79.27 93.25 140.69 395.64 670.34 846.59 1187.64
2023-08-27 195.73 42.83 56.46 76.33 119.62 358.66 594.73 813.96 953.95
2023-09-03 181.24 44.38 56.97 72.41 109.45 320.78 571.27 841.89 1062.35
2023-09-10 151.47 38.87 47.79 66.04 96.92 236.89 376.64 522.12 651.45
2023-09-17 135.56 33.17 48.02 57.24 87.72 238.82 382.68 517.84 643.85
2023-09-24 116.97 27.61 35.11 45.40 69.22 195.85 331.08 459.25 580.21
2023-10-01 137.79 27.48 33.97 46.79 74.05 262.50 467.84 724.13 1002.21
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