Prediction 3720

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Rio Grande do Norte

Description:

Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in RN


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 113.81 22.66 30.00 40.17 65.96 189.13 335.60 399.75 524.97
2023-10-15 93.55 26.73 31.48 41.20 61.88 154.85 270.88 372.84 462.93
2023-10-22 112.15 32.22 35.44 43.48 70.33 201.66 339.61 495.16 709.03
2023-10-29 111.95 24.59 34.98 41.40 68.24 214.11 354.96 495.53 782.52
2023-11-05 111.20 24.24 30.61 44.37 69.95 170.07 282.21 401.27 486.49
2023-11-12 94.59 25.33 29.92 37.35 55.55 149.94 258.95 357.88 461.11
2023-11-19 88.46 23.06 27.94 33.88 52.66 155.95 239.07 335.08 376.79
2023-11-26 78.93 18.78 25.66 31.54 47.22 128.92 225.13 329.06 415.83
2023-12-03 85.76 21.73 28.43 37.23 54.77 157.07 255.53 360.96 573.96
2023-12-10 73.60 20.57 24.21 30.20 47.50 129.12 201.00 272.88 344.44
2023-12-17 48.84 11.04 14.71 18.19 28.56 86.58 135.08 191.73 259.46
2023-12-24 27.89 5.46 6.60 9.29 15.34 52.05 84.45 120.24 160.61
2023-12-31 94.52 22.47 28.82 37.92 58.33 147.29 235.90 320.11 386.59
2024-01-07 119.71 30.13 42.02 55.27 75.00 200.15 323.13 423.34 510.28
2024-01-14 141.16 36.05 46.16 64.27 86.86 240.63 366.88 546.26 699.81
2024-01-21 187.51 40.51 52.87 71.98 108.62 312.23 468.54 678.46 896.68
2024-01-28 233.54 54.55 68.88 82.53 137.20 430.01 718.84 1074.96 1401.52
2024-02-04 337.06 74.12 90.48 118.27 182.47 577.54 955.41 1344.28 2061.11
2024-02-11 394.53 92.94 114.17 150.56 239.74 668.30 1193.37 1844.81 2880.53
2024-02-18 349.33 101.49 120.28 149.57 225.65 619.81 1021.69 1310.25 2049.52
2024-02-25 432.07 114.96 136.01 179.71 274.15 733.20 1161.98 1725.68 2208.39
2024-03-03 528.42 127.18 161.31 217.56 336.16 886.10 1340.95 1866.33 2676.25
2024-03-10 629.23 187.20 237.25 311.04 425.26 1070.81 1702.70 2200.14 3103.71
2024-03-17 751.71 224.07 262.79 309.26 458.83 1106.84 1924.94 2546.93 3542.38
2024-03-24 746.84 233.83 274.23 317.66 501.46 1197.45 1770.23 2463.54 3332.23
2024-03-31 894.08 308.78 370.49 434.76 591.71 1363.53 2099.16 3091.30 3849.32
2024-04-07 982.99 328.09 371.04 456.45 651.27 1581.38 2419.13 3128.61 3669.16
2024-04-14 1075.34 366.21 439.34 518.45 752.72 1633.11 2465.22 3137.00 3920.94
2024-04-21 1375.92 436.77 574.40 678.94 912.80 2067.21 3113.77 3541.90 4470.22
2024-04-28 1575.49 532.86 679.51 837.11 1126.99 2379.67 3442.57 4293.15 5299.42
2024-05-05 1636.89 585.35 706.66 905.46 1242.45 2417.88 3665.83 4666.89 5841.30
2024-05-12 1712.27 590.82 671.66 834.29 1148.87 2542.62 3754.57 4599.38 5759.29
2024-05-19 1658.07 550.79 646.12 803.84 1139.41 2326.49 3247.81 4029.32 4701.19
2024-05-26 1624.16 544.08 657.57 765.65 1053.83 2439.13 3679.21 4877.38 6101.11
2024-06-02 1317.84 471.12 558.47 672.18 954.15 1957.70 2883.47 3472.57 4283.23
2024-06-09 1272.33 413.42 507.59 605.25 866.45 1876.87 2870.18 3704.89 4191.39
2024-06-16 990.65 341.51 408.90 510.83 707.80 1488.65 2225.18 2869.83 3573.29
2024-06-23 926.04 277.60 329.02 415.84 622.92 1358.76 1849.81 2610.05 3317.29
2024-06-30 929.75 324.78 366.63 449.87 633.77 1450.05 2132.85 2626.98 2957.29
2024-07-07 866.96 267.00 314.42 379.51 549.51 1295.75 1977.69 2648.79 3607.92
2024-07-14 791.46 231.25 273.63 343.82 516.47 1246.11 1911.46 2394.51 3501.43
2024-07-21 751.13 203.58 255.31 317.01 464.36 1264.24 2256.66 3008.02 4421.34
2024-07-28 602.75 161.06 197.78 248.50 391.08 943.16 1472.48 1959.89 2616.21
2024-08-04 536.20 159.33 198.32 244.53 362.56 877.55 1311.33 1746.65 2451.18
2024-08-11 458.14 114.20 137.72 182.80 284.79 741.50 1183.72 1909.64 2492.12
2024-08-18 395.02 112.43 149.03 179.64 253.60 643.37 1076.58 1411.08 1939.11
2024-08-25 299.49 80.64 105.70 134.58 200.22 469.15 752.94 954.45 1282.03
2024-09-01 285.70 79.54 101.23 127.76 181.06 482.70 732.44 883.11 1195.56
2024-09-08 273.30 76.64 88.58 105.48 161.68 471.90 745.72 1219.44 1681.87
2024-09-15 263.33 63.67 79.87 100.70 151.63 445.45 749.01 1025.15 1364.14
2024-09-22 209.17 56.86 72.02 85.90 124.83 325.00 494.27 636.76 807.71
2024-09-29 190.74 54.67 67.77 78.54 121.12 319.48 528.97 691.02 922.08
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