Prediction 3721

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Rio Grande do Norte

Description:

Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in RN


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 59.42 10.77 13.48 17.82 29.50 113.78 216.80 348.07 448.50
2024-10-13 39.39 7.54 9.42 13.58 23.04 78.29 148.67 209.20 290.57
2024-10-20 40.02 6.27 8.66 11.91 21.54 75.51 127.43 225.59 291.10
2024-10-27 34.16 5.46 7.11 11.02 19.20 79.44 135.32 228.67 348.83
2024-11-03 42.79 7.32 9.89 14.11 24.35 82.07 140.16 175.25 220.15
2024-11-10 34.25 6.43 8.74 10.64 18.75 68.33 121.83 203.18 252.02
2024-11-17 33.17 6.45 7.79 10.03 17.64 63.69 125.67 192.73 289.04
2024-11-24 26.07 5.42 6.71 8.52 14.50 49.60 73.19 106.35 143.32
2024-12-01 33.04 6.23 7.44 9.85 16.54 63.31 123.74 215.05 322.89
2024-12-08 23.67 4.22 5.74 8.38 13.05 42.06 78.89 126.47 167.44
2024-12-15 19.56 2.91 3.97 5.44 10.07 39.24 76.97 113.42 155.91
2024-12-22 20.01 3.19 4.17 5.36 9.70 40.35 85.14 131.78 200.27
2024-12-29 39.84 8.79 11.33 14.15 20.74 81.24 140.32 201.70 350.87
2025-01-05 47.07 9.19 11.68 16.33 27.46 88.80 163.18 276.42 389.38
2025-01-12 53.99 11.40 13.91 18.42 29.56 94.33 189.38 244.85 307.86
2025-01-19 53.73 11.06 14.31 18.49 31.42 95.75 168.49 254.70 349.16
2025-01-26 57.92 12.78 14.47 19.30 31.31 101.34 191.20 253.18 365.62
2025-02-02 78.51 17.76 19.62 26.24 43.47 160.23 289.10 413.91 640.26
2025-02-09 79.54 18.77 21.95 29.83 47.62 152.23 245.78 360.40 523.51
2025-02-16 89.23 17.09 19.42 28.08 52.97 172.26 342.00 532.36 784.28
2025-02-23 114.68 21.58 26.76 37.46 66.50 226.35 399.79 552.99 789.72
2025-03-02 118.94 25.95 32.97 43.02 67.58 217.10 375.98 546.42 735.17
2025-03-09 147.95 33.39 41.11 51.35 79.35 273.57 486.78 655.04 900.94
2025-03-16 137.09 34.12 44.77 52.83 79.99 228.35 386.47 536.56 669.04
2025-03-23 135.00 31.62 39.67 51.18 83.76 225.41 361.12 487.33 675.01
2025-03-30 245.47 55.99 73.16 90.86 147.68 414.60 745.83 1096.40 1570.94
2025-04-06 220.60 55.43 68.22 91.61 133.67 359.14 622.15 835.43 1050.15
2025-04-13 260.02 71.31 89.86 110.21 169.40 444.35 721.87 900.24 1306.72
2025-04-20 336.48 75.24 102.22 128.42 200.51 534.54 810.61 1213.53 1700.11
2025-04-27 389.59 107.92 128.85 167.54 239.66 669.87 1127.79 1389.42 1963.92
2025-05-04 446.02 106.41 132.30 171.39 259.22 710.89 1103.77 1432.82 1869.03
2025-05-11 357.13 101.85 121.85 156.32 230.90 601.47 959.00 1225.70 1886.68
2025-05-18 343.88 104.73 121.19 153.81 232.15 558.14 850.90 1080.21 1587.50
2025-05-25 394.54 105.39 127.26 158.61 232.40 647.52 1070.36 1393.91 1934.58
2025-06-01 395.81 84.28 118.20 170.99 251.17 652.75 1075.76 1410.49 1998.04
2025-06-08 318.21 89.51 108.80 130.46 207.83 548.46 869.45 1237.78 1687.26
2025-06-15 276.56 79.74 95.29 112.94 170.84 491.53 697.03 924.41 1093.22
2025-06-22 275.61 73.97 96.48 113.20 166.61 477.43 782.54 1143.11 1596.66
2025-06-29 293.93 70.53 94.03 123.32 180.96 503.55 833.91 1130.10 1451.02
2025-07-06 273.09 58.89 74.64 94.64 153.40 459.31 765.61 942.65 1209.80
2025-07-13 251.71 58.10 71.58 91.03 143.03 452.47 767.10 1047.21 1240.56
2025-07-20 220.72 48.88 60.38 77.46 124.89 404.58 690.37 957.82 1360.05
2025-07-27 183.04 44.64 55.26 67.00 105.21 325.28 537.64 827.65 1262.57
2025-08-03 188.23 37.55 49.54 66.98 105.88 306.94 507.37 751.31 966.59
2025-08-10 168.03 37.34 45.15 57.64 97.84 299.72 517.43 716.53 1079.25
2025-08-17 150.72 36.17 41.85 52.21 85.41 264.22 479.59 668.74 1061.38
2025-08-24 148.61 27.19 34.18 48.00 83.32 279.23 474.26 655.28 836.46
2025-08-31 120.54 26.28 32.81 41.00 68.19 227.32 483.83 736.50 981.12
2025-09-07 112.14 20.47 27.19 36.63 56.70 211.19 423.86 668.30 817.37
2025-09-14 104.11 16.53 23.77 30.12 55.03 186.62 335.30 469.78 779.55
2025-09-21 90.54 19.29 22.45 32.38 49.81 166.13 315.24 471.48 616.41
2025-09-28 96.37 21.53 24.54 31.04 54.46 176.53 342.16 482.99 755.84
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