Prediction 3722

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Maranhão

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in MA


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 34.28 11.41 13.34 16.36 22.92 58.47 85.80 130.94 176.37
2022-10-16 38.66 12.59 15.27 18.21 26.36 64.56 109.97 148.66 234.41
2022-10-23 42.16 13.00 14.73 17.47 24.66 68.02 116.29 173.80 302.51
2022-10-30 33.33 10.77 12.60 15.19 21.57 57.67 97.58 153.84 237.98
2022-11-06 41.62 13.16 16.81 19.99 27.28 70.97 118.89 170.59 231.13
2022-11-13 38.25 12.76 15.01 18.15 24.95 63.08 105.43 151.36 220.35
2022-11-20 32.13 8.95 11.28 13.94 20.61 51.50 81.57 110.83 137.88
2022-11-27 28.55 9.89 11.03 13.70 18.84 46.29 76.86 101.28 145.48
2022-12-04 26.82 9.17 10.05 12.42 17.54 39.75 66.11 88.61 105.75
2022-12-11 28.56 8.90 10.98 13.01 19.23 47.55 81.04 127.78 157.83
2022-12-18 12.10 4.66 5.00 5.92 8.15 18.73 27.35 37.59 52.40
2022-12-25 9.47 2.18 2.63 3.43 5.19 16.74 26.37 39.19 55.95
2023-01-01 27.82 9.50 11.09 12.72 18.84 42.65 68.92 86.72 121.86
2023-01-08 40.10 13.50 17.09 20.17 27.69 70.85 112.08 151.54 187.54
2023-01-15 41.02 15.10 17.04 20.65 29.27 61.76 98.52 146.13 197.05
2023-01-22 45.06 16.24 18.82 21.86 30.43 75.33 132.48 177.27 281.05
2023-01-29 49.18 16.91 19.54 24.68 33.39 73.85 121.52 196.90 246.46
2023-02-05 62.67 21.69 25.48 32.67 43.99 100.05 142.22 182.65 227.28
2023-02-12 86.06 30.82 35.25 42.31 57.27 128.21 191.87 271.15 365.23
2023-02-19 78.92 28.38 33.01 38.55 54.31 116.72 166.78 235.53 298.00
2023-02-26 120.81 38.51 46.47 60.45 80.78 180.09 276.44 396.68 495.64
2023-03-05 127.16 42.32 53.64 64.99 84.34 195.12 294.45 416.73 530.18
2023-03-12 163.64 54.78 64.92 79.50 112.69 245.81 384.75 467.21 572.34
2023-03-19 205.43 68.00 82.18 99.80 137.48 322.79 522.77 665.72 1016.80
2023-03-26 205.46 64.85 76.17 96.76 137.91 317.77 455.75 618.63 869.30
2023-04-02 268.09 92.16 111.96 129.95 176.47 388.65 610.94 808.65 1040.28
2023-04-09 277.81 102.54 123.35 139.90 191.69 419.95 627.72 888.61 1096.56
2023-04-16 329.83 120.76 135.58 161.51 234.11 483.34 758.16 972.83 1387.63
2023-04-23 380.65 133.89 154.86 182.36 267.40 546.46 818.30 1112.59 1335.97
2023-04-30 417.46 159.01 186.48 222.89 296.09 612.80 955.39 1347.59 1801.39
2023-05-07 508.23 174.31 205.08 245.56 343.80 791.38 1251.72 1851.31 2333.84
2023-05-14 519.09 200.77 226.33 272.46 360.44 819.53 1272.09 1601.34 1992.44
2023-05-21 521.26 167.53 214.96 259.03 344.68 767.76 1266.43 1570.01 1957.14
2023-05-28 518.89 193.03 218.11 248.82 333.78 812.46 1202.38 1541.91 1935.12
2023-06-04 386.29 146.35 184.55 207.47 269.02 626.14 885.70 1127.60 1487.32
2023-06-11 375.32 126.87 160.06 192.91 260.61 542.64 788.32 1020.44 1271.13
2023-06-18 316.38 119.50 134.20 167.62 223.93 446.63 649.63 850.02 1164.14
2023-06-25 242.86 90.21 106.94 129.37 166.96 346.47 475.45 675.61 794.60
2023-07-02 256.59 98.47 111.02 124.25 176.74 374.43 633.31 798.39 955.00
2023-07-09 243.82 85.45 105.56 125.55 167.23 359.62 552.66 763.51 872.31
2023-07-16 197.44 77.70 93.12 106.87 142.64 293.86 450.63 604.84 705.51
2023-07-23 165.35 60.37 70.20 80.34 112.60 239.81 366.20 528.24 668.87
2023-07-30 152.20 52.97 60.27 75.72 103.17 233.58 331.71 437.95 549.82
2023-08-06 153.92 49.29 60.74 74.61 102.06 254.42 371.89 492.29 628.46
2023-08-13 135.49 43.04 48.35 63.04 90.30 202.67 334.96 453.04 691.35
2023-08-20 113.93 37.70 45.62 54.25 74.59 180.32 298.71 397.35 535.28
2023-08-27 103.52 28.60 35.96 45.71 64.58 166.79 297.10 396.06 653.62
2023-09-03 84.17 27.36 33.90 41.71 55.33 136.53 223.61 320.57 430.80
2023-09-10 73.37 24.46 29.36 33.93 49.02 114.27 191.80 254.83 323.25
2023-09-17 66.93 23.28 25.67 30.64 43.51 103.82 179.46 221.30 311.83
2023-09-24 63.18 19.87 22.94 29.60 40.95 98.11 148.01 212.29 361.91
2023-10-01 66.22 19.33 22.07 27.85 41.08 115.41 198.80 323.44 430.51
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