Prediction 3723
Model | Dengue oracle - M2 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | Maranhão |
Description:
Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in MA
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-10-08 | 65.18 | 22.74 | 25.61 | 30.12 | 42.58 | 100.33 | 157.33 | 207.44 | 246.19 |
2023-10-15 | 58.30 | 21.13 | 24.89 | 30.61 | 41.48 | 86.71 | 126.70 | 163.22 | 205.62 |
2023-10-22 | 71.33 | 21.27 | 27.98 | 33.87 | 47.58 | 106.51 | 155.28 | 222.89 | 315.03 |
2023-10-29 | 81.63 | 23.99 | 27.84 | 36.58 | 48.88 | 122.72 | 184.86 | 250.72 | 366.15 |
2023-11-05 | 68.26 | 23.21 | 26.29 | 32.97 | 48.08 | 106.59 | 151.66 | 194.88 | 240.68 |
2023-11-12 | 54.38 | 18.37 | 22.69 | 27.45 | 38.91 | 80.51 | 126.59 | 170.90 | 227.98 |
2023-11-19 | 51.11 | 17.43 | 20.99 | 24.97 | 35.21 | 78.50 | 128.82 | 162.17 | 221.43 |
2023-11-26 | 54.73 | 18.63 | 21.07 | 25.90 | 36.23 | 77.86 | 120.36 | 158.15 | 214.23 |
2023-12-03 | 60.98 | 19.74 | 23.40 | 27.88 | 39.11 | 97.27 | 155.00 | 200.56 | 234.00 |
2023-12-10 | 45.15 | 15.39 | 18.41 | 22.65 | 31.34 | 65.71 | 100.88 | 135.32 | 166.51 |
2023-12-17 | 31.39 | 10.58 | 12.21 | 14.98 | 22.00 | 47.00 | 74.96 | 98.01 | 122.23 |
2023-12-24 | 18.13 | 5.61 | 6.40 | 8.47 | 12.17 | 29.55 | 50.10 | 68.89 | 87.83 |
2023-12-31 | 59.42 | 23.68 | 27.35 | 32.05 | 42.22 | 83.35 | 123.33 | 162.41 | 213.15 |
2024-01-07 | 73.94 | 30.67 | 33.36 | 39.65 | 50.87 | 115.02 | 173.10 | 227.61 | 310.89 |
2024-01-14 | 84.06 | 34.81 | 39.51 | 44.19 | 57.28 | 140.75 | 194.13 | 262.28 | 337.27 |
2024-01-21 | 99.90 | 38.25 | 47.13 | 55.81 | 72.37 | 161.51 | 259.99 | 388.44 | 499.65 |
2024-01-28 | 132.70 | 47.90 | 58.71 | 68.97 | 93.12 | 202.01 | 316.88 | 419.99 | 589.37 |
2024-02-04 | 182.04 | 64.17 | 71.52 | 91.74 | 123.67 | 292.72 | 461.22 | 612.17 | 770.26 |
2024-02-11 | 219.97 | 73.20 | 86.28 | 104.84 | 149.58 | 334.24 | 517.29 | 688.48 | 887.01 |
2024-02-18 | 231.89 | 74.59 | 89.46 | 104.05 | 158.58 | 355.64 | 568.64 | 758.15 | 1020.14 |
2024-02-25 | 272.56 | 104.90 | 118.36 | 145.23 | 186.09 | 404.58 | 622.03 | 782.31 | 909.03 |
2024-03-03 | 311.83 | 114.78 | 131.55 | 157.96 | 212.70 | 445.02 | 690.63 | 977.48 | 1261.75 |
2024-03-10 | 373.95 | 149.05 | 167.09 | 211.89 | 275.44 | 565.79 | 862.98 | 1216.28 | 1525.85 |
2024-03-17 | 377.20 | 164.90 | 183.25 | 214.66 | 286.36 | 563.77 | 810.94 | 1001.74 | 1149.84 |
2024-03-24 | 430.86 | 169.35 | 207.17 | 243.58 | 314.18 | 586.65 | 899.41 | 1135.58 | 1432.83 |
2024-03-31 | 506.31 | 231.84 | 255.17 | 295.38 | 381.46 | 721.13 | 1062.89 | 1450.12 | 1697.90 |
2024-04-07 | 545.67 | 250.99 | 279.45 | 326.25 | 413.77 | 741.06 | 1101.73 | 1318.78 | 1722.48 |
2024-04-14 | 638.73 | 280.39 | 330.38 | 390.09 | 479.05 | 880.94 | 1277.57 | 1540.53 | 1830.44 |
2024-04-21 | 798.40 | 351.93 | 407.45 | 476.53 | 614.16 | 1182.35 | 1586.15 | 2076.17 | 2752.21 |
2024-04-28 | 924.46 | 452.34 | 487.43 | 561.51 | 711.11 | 1284.55 | 1723.58 | 2068.04 | 2496.02 |
2024-05-05 | 948.37 | 418.84 | 496.65 | 565.53 | 729.50 | 1224.84 | 1646.50 | 2195.02 | 2637.66 |
2024-05-12 | 1003.08 | 465.50 | 522.89 | 585.76 | 717.93 | 1364.86 | 1830.64 | 2458.73 | 3046.84 |
2024-05-19 | 978.42 | 427.31 | 473.04 | 550.87 | 712.81 | 1324.25 | 1848.22 | 2240.76 | 2840.10 |
2024-05-26 | 878.62 | 388.12 | 457.71 | 526.37 | 662.82 | 1233.95 | 1589.99 | 1985.28 | 2449.25 |
2024-06-02 | 853.15 | 339.29 | 390.42 | 454.89 | 596.05 | 1151.33 | 1579.44 | 1933.56 | 2371.15 |
2024-06-09 | 696.68 | 348.89 | 390.51 | 430.49 | 521.64 | 949.06 | 1297.74 | 1602.93 | 1932.36 |
2024-06-16 | 553.39 | 230.88 | 263.77 | 302.70 | 419.68 | 788.47 | 1104.26 | 1316.14 | 1505.08 |
2024-06-23 | 556.81 | 257.99 | 282.40 | 318.84 | 416.00 | 723.25 | 966.84 | 1366.12 | 1770.60 |
2024-06-30 | 573.06 | 240.96 | 266.73 | 317.64 | 416.45 | 819.23 | 1145.92 | 1465.94 | 1731.03 |
2024-07-07 | 512.49 | 199.06 | 238.75 | 283.51 | 354.77 | 717.52 | 1092.29 | 1573.69 | 1971.60 |
2024-07-14 | 435.67 | 200.91 | 219.31 | 242.28 | 307.99 | 613.10 | 902.33 | 1099.27 | 1368.66 |
2024-07-21 | 434.14 | 156.80 | 180.39 | 222.36 | 308.72 | 644.48 | 907.57 | 1215.83 | 1717.89 |
2024-07-28 | 347.45 | 140.90 | 160.10 | 181.56 | 242.70 | 494.02 | 767.80 | 930.84 | 1244.68 |
2024-08-04 | 300.10 | 116.17 | 137.44 | 165.27 | 217.27 | 433.12 | 662.61 | 802.96 | 1012.69 |
2024-08-11 | 277.66 | 99.17 | 115.20 | 152.80 | 207.37 | 424.80 | 641.34 | 856.36 | 1059.31 |
2024-08-18 | 240.25 | 92.36 | 102.08 | 120.09 | 170.25 | 368.42 | 521.48 | 694.53 | 890.21 |
2024-08-25 | 174.26 | 66.09 | 77.02 | 90.28 | 121.12 | 267.41 | 437.17 | 594.57 | 721.35 |
2024-09-01 | 175.46 | 63.89 | 75.61 | 91.76 | 122.51 | 261.98 | 376.79 | 493.20 | 596.66 |
2024-09-08 | 153.75 | 58.34 | 66.06 | 78.76 | 110.62 | 232.43 | 336.67 | 445.73 | 551.72 |
2024-09-15 | 157.84 | 53.86 | 60.01 | 71.42 | 99.83 | 248.05 | 382.52 | 534.27 | 749.93 |
2024-09-22 | 122.34 | 42.91 | 52.37 | 62.99 | 82.65 | 187.17 | 267.04 | 338.49 | 454.09 |
2024-09-29 | 115.20 | 48.01 | 53.25 | 59.97 | 78.92 | 179.13 | 256.81 | 351.84 | 439.25 |