Prediction 3723

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1

Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Maranhão

Description:

Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in MA


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 65.18 22.74 25.61 30.12 42.58 100.33 157.33 207.44 246.19
2023-10-15 58.30 21.13 24.89 30.61 41.48 86.71 126.70 163.22 205.62
2023-10-22 71.33 21.27 27.98 33.87 47.58 106.51 155.28 222.89 315.03
2023-10-29 81.63 23.99 27.84 36.58 48.88 122.72 184.86 250.72 366.15
2023-11-05 68.26 23.21 26.29 32.97 48.08 106.59 151.66 194.88 240.68
2023-11-12 54.38 18.37 22.69 27.45 38.91 80.51 126.59 170.90 227.98
2023-11-19 51.11 17.43 20.99 24.97 35.21 78.50 128.82 162.17 221.43
2023-11-26 54.73 18.63 21.07 25.90 36.23 77.86 120.36 158.15 214.23
2023-12-03 60.98 19.74 23.40 27.88 39.11 97.27 155.00 200.56 234.00
2023-12-10 45.15 15.39 18.41 22.65 31.34 65.71 100.88 135.32 166.51
2023-12-17 31.39 10.58 12.21 14.98 22.00 47.00 74.96 98.01 122.23
2023-12-24 18.13 5.61 6.40 8.47 12.17 29.55 50.10 68.89 87.83
2023-12-31 59.42 23.68 27.35 32.05 42.22 83.35 123.33 162.41 213.15
2024-01-07 73.94 30.67 33.36 39.65 50.87 115.02 173.10 227.61 310.89
2024-01-14 84.06 34.81 39.51 44.19 57.28 140.75 194.13 262.28 337.27
2024-01-21 99.90 38.25 47.13 55.81 72.37 161.51 259.99 388.44 499.65
2024-01-28 132.70 47.90 58.71 68.97 93.12 202.01 316.88 419.99 589.37
2024-02-04 182.04 64.17 71.52 91.74 123.67 292.72 461.22 612.17 770.26
2024-02-11 219.97 73.20 86.28 104.84 149.58 334.24 517.29 688.48 887.01
2024-02-18 231.89 74.59 89.46 104.05 158.58 355.64 568.64 758.15 1020.14
2024-02-25 272.56 104.90 118.36 145.23 186.09 404.58 622.03 782.31 909.03
2024-03-03 311.83 114.78 131.55 157.96 212.70 445.02 690.63 977.48 1261.75
2024-03-10 373.95 149.05 167.09 211.89 275.44 565.79 862.98 1216.28 1525.85
2024-03-17 377.20 164.90 183.25 214.66 286.36 563.77 810.94 1001.74 1149.84
2024-03-24 430.86 169.35 207.17 243.58 314.18 586.65 899.41 1135.58 1432.83
2024-03-31 506.31 231.84 255.17 295.38 381.46 721.13 1062.89 1450.12 1697.90
2024-04-07 545.67 250.99 279.45 326.25 413.77 741.06 1101.73 1318.78 1722.48
2024-04-14 638.73 280.39 330.38 390.09 479.05 880.94 1277.57 1540.53 1830.44
2024-04-21 798.40 351.93 407.45 476.53 614.16 1182.35 1586.15 2076.17 2752.21
2024-04-28 924.46 452.34 487.43 561.51 711.11 1284.55 1723.58 2068.04 2496.02
2024-05-05 948.37 418.84 496.65 565.53 729.50 1224.84 1646.50 2195.02 2637.66
2024-05-12 1003.08 465.50 522.89 585.76 717.93 1364.86 1830.64 2458.73 3046.84
2024-05-19 978.42 427.31 473.04 550.87 712.81 1324.25 1848.22 2240.76 2840.10
2024-05-26 878.62 388.12 457.71 526.37 662.82 1233.95 1589.99 1985.28 2449.25
2024-06-02 853.15 339.29 390.42 454.89 596.05 1151.33 1579.44 1933.56 2371.15
2024-06-09 696.68 348.89 390.51 430.49 521.64 949.06 1297.74 1602.93 1932.36
2024-06-16 553.39 230.88 263.77 302.70 419.68 788.47 1104.26 1316.14 1505.08
2024-06-23 556.81 257.99 282.40 318.84 416.00 723.25 966.84 1366.12 1770.60
2024-06-30 573.06 240.96 266.73 317.64 416.45 819.23 1145.92 1465.94 1731.03
2024-07-07 512.49 199.06 238.75 283.51 354.77 717.52 1092.29 1573.69 1971.60
2024-07-14 435.67 200.91 219.31 242.28 307.99 613.10 902.33 1099.27 1368.66
2024-07-21 434.14 156.80 180.39 222.36 308.72 644.48 907.57 1215.83 1717.89
2024-07-28 347.45 140.90 160.10 181.56 242.70 494.02 767.80 930.84 1244.68
2024-08-04 300.10 116.17 137.44 165.27 217.27 433.12 662.61 802.96 1012.69
2024-08-11 277.66 99.17 115.20 152.80 207.37 424.80 641.34 856.36 1059.31
2024-08-18 240.25 92.36 102.08 120.09 170.25 368.42 521.48 694.53 890.21
2024-08-25 174.26 66.09 77.02 90.28 121.12 267.41 437.17 594.57 721.35
2024-09-01 175.46 63.89 75.61 91.76 122.51 261.98 376.79 493.20 596.66
2024-09-08 153.75 58.34 66.06 78.76 110.62 232.43 336.67 445.73 551.72
2024-09-15 157.84 53.86 60.01 71.42 99.83 248.05 382.52 534.27 749.93
2024-09-22 122.34 42.91 52.37 62.99 82.65 187.17 267.04 338.49 454.09
2024-09-29 115.20 48.01 53.25 59.97 78.92 179.13 256.81 351.84 439.25
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