Prediction 3724

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Maranhão

Description:

Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in MA


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 24.81 6.19 7.14 9.44 15.49 41.98 80.54 119.45 179.17
2024-10-13 17.82 4.27 5.39 6.95 11.41 30.19 53.52 74.03 100.93
2024-10-20 15.51 4.74 5.79 7.07 10.30 26.81 46.28 69.25 89.89
2024-10-27 14.41 3.74 4.55 5.65 9.09 26.60 53.12 74.55 132.51
2024-11-03 19.33 4.28 5.20 7.36 11.72 34.72 62.06 113.59 151.64
2024-11-10 16.46 4.79 5.92 6.73 10.06 27.54 47.23 67.78 83.82
2024-11-17 13.70 3.49 4.09 5.30 8.90 24.57 44.70 63.13 98.84
2024-11-24 11.62 3.15 3.96 4.56 6.85 20.46 34.95 52.07 68.23
2024-12-01 15.58 4.16 5.03 5.92 8.62 27.39 48.94 74.19 113.77
2024-12-08 9.83 2.34 3.07 3.81 5.86 17.44 30.31 39.46 62.11
2024-12-15 7.71 1.85 2.46 3.21 5.06 14.14 25.94 40.50 54.38
2024-12-22 10.66 2.27 2.99 3.69 6.43 19.52 36.74 52.47 70.92
2024-12-29 20.78 5.22 6.07 8.08 12.50 38.90 61.71 96.17 134.63
2025-01-05 26.84 8.00 9.69 11.49 17.05 49.55 82.50 107.33 153.50
2025-01-12 25.58 8.02 9.48 11.76 17.80 42.93 71.41 104.24 176.04
2025-01-19 27.97 8.74 11.06 13.17 19.19 44.24 76.92 103.20 141.14
2025-01-26 32.52 10.24 12.26 15.10 22.08 51.71 80.22 113.36 156.72
2025-02-02 42.42 11.76 14.37 17.29 25.35 67.94 106.25 139.98 188.95
2025-02-09 38.77 12.63 15.52 18.73 26.50 63.73 99.48 141.21 172.84
2025-02-16 42.27 12.97 15.99 18.98 28.47 70.66 113.97 166.23 191.58
2025-02-23 55.69 17.34 19.26 22.82 35.51 97.68 166.46 245.01 313.29
2025-03-02 58.00 17.35 20.02 24.84 37.23 98.54 159.30 203.11 261.76
2025-03-09 76.37 21.18 27.31 33.84 48.20 118.12 196.69 287.11 397.52
2025-03-16 65.01 23.33 28.87 33.17 45.47 101.71 166.83 215.41 349.20
2025-03-23 68.19 22.93 29.25 35.55 46.66 113.37 173.99 240.72 342.80
2025-03-30 117.47 37.81 43.76 52.58 76.25 187.83 306.38 381.59 447.25
2025-04-06 107.63 38.37 43.86 54.80 73.41 163.24 256.84 313.76 393.31
2025-04-13 122.59 45.43 50.86 63.87 82.98 185.73 285.07 391.60 537.80
2025-04-20 157.73 62.81 70.28 83.51 110.38 238.88 378.75 458.57 601.80
2025-04-27 179.93 63.48 75.97 88.27 125.12 286.89 446.73 570.91 805.54
2025-05-04 175.04 70.54 77.98 91.93 127.27 263.69 407.91 533.33 716.91
2025-05-11 167.61 61.28 72.93 82.27 116.13 238.00 361.10 473.21 547.43
2025-05-18 144.20 53.09 64.46 77.26 104.25 210.33 292.74 407.50 540.10
2025-05-25 144.20 67.94 73.51 79.48 103.18 211.68 293.60 385.42 511.77
2025-06-01 147.11 58.61 67.43 80.41 106.93 216.20 339.88 453.47 567.13
2025-06-08 137.73 52.39 59.31 70.59 95.28 206.26 305.41 427.33 503.57
2025-06-15 113.69 48.59 56.14 63.40 81.60 165.75 245.26 327.59 415.90
2025-06-22 112.64 42.56 48.55 58.24 79.49 168.91 250.04 313.65 359.15
2025-06-29 108.75 45.14 49.90 56.65 75.75 182.34 244.81 325.41 501.56
2025-07-06 113.26 38.24 44.62 53.24 74.29 174.24 285.08 389.33 558.97
2025-07-13 100.97 36.45 39.65 47.87 68.14 153.81 257.64 360.51 456.49
2025-07-20 84.42 28.28 34.45 38.61 54.88 131.57 243.25 319.70 422.28
2025-07-27 71.67 24.56 27.87 34.84 50.88 104.42 155.70 194.40 238.03
2025-08-03 70.89 24.94 28.42 36.23 47.95 114.55 178.92 241.79 293.96
2025-08-10 67.05 20.99 25.12 32.47 45.09 108.69 169.99 244.70 400.70
2025-08-17 56.96 18.43 21.46 26.40 38.91 90.98 144.61 212.03 283.83
2025-08-24 54.92 16.63 20.41 24.45 35.17 90.94 138.59 182.37 284.62
2025-08-31 49.27 13.76 15.47 19.89 30.66 85.26 138.55 184.32 268.99
2025-09-07 41.66 12.64 14.14 18.45 26.31 70.10 117.55 177.19 241.70
2025-09-14 40.61 11.05 12.43 16.52 24.62 63.47 106.18 135.37 156.42
2025-09-21 35.77 10.88 12.57 15.98 23.64 58.98 101.53 150.54 206.73
2025-09-28 35.90 10.96 12.71 15.16 22.51 60.25 114.44 169.17 233.55
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