Prediction 3725

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Alagoas

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in AL


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 56.81 17.53 20.07 25.25 35.05 98.18 158.67 209.30 272.96
2022-10-16 57.62 14.17 16.75 21.20 33.39 94.19 155.60 241.44 338.73
2022-10-23 54.52 12.48 15.16 19.33 32.45 100.74 189.56 269.50 398.19
2022-10-30 51.17 14.11 16.42 21.28 31.87 83.62 151.64 252.15 322.51
2022-11-06 60.33 17.61 19.62 24.96 37.88 102.40 168.73 264.39 366.78
2022-11-13 58.84 14.58 18.28 21.85 32.21 101.68 182.46 251.03 365.09
2022-11-20 44.35 10.75 12.90 17.64 26.16 70.42 120.34 163.19 227.50
2022-11-27 43.17 9.44 11.96 16.54 24.38 71.37 123.18 174.73 273.38
2022-12-04 37.93 10.88 13.04 16.23 23.22 59.10 104.37 142.42 187.91
2022-12-11 41.76 11.80 13.74 15.97 25.50 73.61 131.67 198.20 264.62
2022-12-18 21.10 5.85 6.66 9.09 12.68 34.72 61.08 81.45 110.72
2022-12-25 12.84 2.87 3.63 4.61 7.60 23.82 45.72 65.08 93.36
2023-01-01 42.90 11.01 14.74 18.46 26.62 73.22 120.18 169.13 238.91
2023-01-08 64.34 15.80 20.01 24.31 37.93 109.13 176.64 233.70 356.00
2023-01-15 61.15 15.92 22.01 27.18 42.91 99.05 167.50 221.94 274.50
2023-01-22 67.94 21.54 24.97 29.00 44.04 109.69 193.92 242.55 321.81
2023-01-29 72.77 19.75 23.36 30.02 46.02 126.05 213.88 323.06 435.43
2023-02-05 88.16 23.53 29.91 35.45 52.60 151.73 262.23 352.34 469.14
2023-02-12 105.28 34.41 40.22 46.62 67.59 171.44 268.25 330.90 451.38
2023-02-19 102.11 30.84 41.18 51.51 71.45 180.11 297.22 451.54 560.94
2023-02-26 158.17 49.39 57.49 69.14 101.22 270.20 459.22 620.62 872.57
2023-03-05 169.37 56.18 63.58 78.94 115.72 278.57 532.52 667.38 885.15
2023-03-12 213.47 61.92 77.03 92.55 140.52 357.77 565.27 765.81 1085.05
2023-03-19 245.94 73.69 87.27 105.88 158.64 423.47 682.60 1028.10 1396.20
2023-03-26 245.35 74.07 87.28 105.01 151.35 377.73 601.63 819.37 1182.86
2023-04-02 304.25 95.59 117.95 141.63 195.05 486.89 758.96 1046.20 1451.59
2023-04-09 376.11 116.23 146.81 179.67 255.71 611.09 1004.21 1348.06 1961.45
2023-04-16 418.53 131.92 155.00 192.01 270.46 667.69 1087.36 1523.02 1785.58
2023-04-23 472.38 148.16 172.80 207.72 287.54 757.75 1241.92 1655.22 2050.97
2023-04-30 535.95 175.71 215.57 266.82 370.97 810.94 1291.91 1858.16 2235.47
2023-05-07 606.05 180.85 206.29 254.89 377.03 968.18 1521.41 2115.36 3056.23
2023-05-14 648.30 188.94 229.33 274.42 405.73 971.29 1533.17 2390.99 3280.76
2023-05-21 645.14 190.29 231.11 265.19 391.87 1021.88 1645.39 2087.24 2854.33
2023-05-28 609.56 165.60 219.31 260.87 386.53 1004.82 1758.46 2370.91 3192.57
2023-06-04 477.46 170.99 188.90 222.73 319.82 757.18 1202.13 1712.48 2299.38
2023-06-11 434.65 143.11 165.56 197.90 278.04 658.56 1049.21 1447.64 1739.14
2023-06-18 394.15 119.01 145.76 173.97 245.65 624.93 956.54 1261.75 1698.59
2023-06-25 313.43 104.88 129.06 146.66 215.86 463.83 702.41 893.42 1110.35
2023-07-02 319.17 105.36 118.71 148.22 202.05 492.50 709.32 902.16 1141.80
2023-07-09 281.48 90.51 107.07 137.84 190.09 436.94 714.52 1023.83 1398.89
2023-07-16 262.52 74.94 91.68 110.77 163.55 424.47 709.06 982.21 1264.10
2023-07-23 220.42 64.84 72.12 92.85 136.24 357.78 560.30 726.19 905.81
2023-07-30 196.77 55.78 65.70 80.84 121.09 296.54 473.94 617.47 796.79
2023-08-06 180.26 55.39 64.78 78.08 118.72 293.76 500.07 718.34 949.73
2023-08-13 160.37 47.19 53.74 68.73 100.92 284.83 494.49 690.90 871.50
2023-08-20 133.31 39.12 49.26 56.48 84.32 222.98 413.01 589.96 795.68
2023-08-27 121.93 34.63 41.18 49.13 72.82 202.64 379.77 496.95 677.46
2023-09-03 115.23 32.42 37.16 47.91 71.92 199.95 312.75 520.94 883.39
2023-09-10 92.32 24.24 26.48 35.26 51.34 156.35 250.01 322.57 473.24
2023-09-17 85.31 24.25 28.58 34.15 52.45 138.40 235.77 343.16 455.16
2023-09-24 80.29 23.78 26.79 35.01 50.48 133.37 223.28 316.57 400.53
2023-10-01 83.23 19.20 26.84 31.75 51.66 142.65 239.21 320.72 417.70
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