Prediction 3726

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Alagoas

Description:

Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in AL


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 78.13 20.37 24.19 33.85 48.93 132.23 219.15 302.01 386.53
2023-10-15 69.25 20.00 23.07 30.19 42.48 107.07 177.66 237.82 309.84
2023-10-22 76.57 20.06 26.07 33.39 48.98 127.97 204.33 285.04 332.33
2023-10-29 85.83 20.19 24.06 31.39 50.87 149.57 262.16 392.15 539.87
2023-11-05 81.09 20.76 25.95 33.73 52.26 124.05 193.13 247.36 297.88
2023-11-12 64.69 18.15 22.20 28.34 42.62 109.52 167.39 205.63 257.60
2023-11-19 64.85 20.42 23.20 28.92 42.21 103.62 166.11 209.52 301.52
2023-11-26 57.27 15.57 19.71 25.64 38.00 94.02 140.85 171.98 233.51
2023-12-03 69.32 17.56 21.13 27.90 41.83 108.16 189.65 267.95 356.97
2023-12-10 56.15 16.80 18.92 22.46 32.83 89.86 146.77 186.99 260.47
2023-12-17 37.56 11.18 13.34 16.29 23.16 62.82 110.72 169.76 222.39
2023-12-24 19.97 3.74 5.16 7.12 11.46 37.37 63.55 85.73 103.02
2023-12-31 69.46 20.79 23.48 28.71 42.38 108.37 164.15 200.71 281.99
2024-01-07 86.97 24.43 27.81 37.60 55.03 129.91 201.87 290.79 354.40
2024-01-14 91.96 32.16 35.18 43.82 57.45 155.05 253.30 332.72 410.74
2024-01-21 123.42 37.19 42.10 55.86 76.98 198.28 339.53 501.33 607.33
2024-01-28 187.09 48.52 52.85 70.77 107.25 289.13 463.85 623.04 904.17
2024-02-04 196.01 64.82 76.75 92.58 128.33 343.85 557.52 781.39 1318.49
2024-02-11 250.01 76.76 94.57 118.32 164.36 399.85 665.79 852.77 1059.30
2024-02-18 248.63 73.43 83.23 101.25 153.48 417.49 679.20 936.73 1149.28
2024-02-25 302.70 97.73 110.28 137.44 191.98 502.77 763.35 1057.96 1435.80
2024-03-03 346.49 103.36 133.04 169.83 220.89 533.26 836.39 1044.57 1270.72
2024-03-10 451.03 146.04 172.57 200.16 284.17 702.01 1101.99 1452.23 1870.00
2024-03-17 449.72 153.16 170.98 218.75 297.46 694.83 1107.15 1450.99 1850.99
2024-03-24 481.88 162.93 204.79 245.70 330.26 745.72 1187.88 1523.49 1844.58
2024-03-31 613.06 211.66 247.90 301.37 407.06 909.25 1370.23 1926.68 2427.34
2024-04-07 615.29 226.26 260.50 323.75 420.96 922.32 1417.06 1911.27 2489.03
2024-04-14 678.11 267.96 301.59 362.35 489.76 970.29 1455.36 1765.23 2332.72
2024-04-21 902.33 340.14 403.15 478.21 623.20 1360.39 1948.14 2450.52 2912.81
2024-04-28 1019.31 407.15 474.01 565.41 711.65 1477.22 2016.78 2712.24 3446.58
2024-05-05 1094.08 409.97 466.49 568.29 759.55 1581.95 2165.63 2630.65 3054.93
2024-05-12 1044.32 417.30 499.64 573.20 760.58 1543.70 2076.90 2635.89 3191.40
2024-05-19 1077.67 433.78 465.77 549.21 769.09 1466.15 2085.08 2535.65 3222.46
2024-05-26 998.84 391.28 453.86 541.28 728.43 1432.86 2060.06 2514.15 3022.97
2024-06-02 874.38 327.41 355.64 463.87 614.99 1227.35 1721.71 2381.18 3015.57
2024-06-09 791.06 296.81 345.72 409.88 550.52 1164.47 1620.99 1924.20 2641.43
2024-06-16 593.63 232.63 274.00 324.73 422.27 929.99 1367.96 1640.69 1891.02
2024-06-23 607.68 211.93 257.14 314.92 421.92 865.08 1294.96 1695.03 1990.39
2024-06-30 644.42 226.31 269.69 331.25 442.68 946.79 1409.27 1792.28 2053.84
2024-07-07 559.13 206.32 229.72 261.82 368.78 869.93 1292.52 1744.91 2140.00
2024-07-14 479.61 167.31 191.75 241.07 328.65 701.78 1020.95 1354.81 1991.43
2024-07-21 470.26 141.88 163.68 201.61 297.04 716.87 1220.09 1718.86 2263.54
2024-07-28 399.71 118.33 138.90 179.11 257.12 628.98 997.57 1356.96 1641.54
2024-08-04 337.04 121.89 142.05 172.18 226.55 528.25 778.33 1031.00 1322.55
2024-08-11 304.03 104.70 119.88 147.25 195.30 513.36 821.00 1047.13 1348.55
2024-08-18 271.35 85.53 106.96 127.41 185.12 408.82 640.86 764.50 958.41
2024-08-25 211.58 59.24 72.04 88.16 137.40 318.93 454.13 693.75 909.43
2024-09-01 199.78 62.07 72.58 92.24 132.27 295.97 435.82 583.00 762.49
2024-09-08 173.66 59.55 66.89 82.59 114.04 279.45 445.75 572.73 851.95
2024-09-15 173.07 52.18 61.78 79.61 111.62 280.66 404.94 558.47 668.57
2024-09-22 133.77 37.86 46.41 60.24 87.02 206.44 321.26 427.03 577.53
2024-09-29 129.01 36.98 44.53 58.07 85.76 211.85 322.71 471.62 654.17
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