Prediction 3727

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Alagoas

Description:

Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in AL


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 139.64 37.72 44.91 59.89 93.33 218.92 315.61 424.40 506.94
2024-10-13 129.32 42.06 51.19 59.48 83.28 199.55 297.39 359.65 451.94
2024-10-20 111.64 31.27 37.89 48.80 67.96 181.85 291.62 398.80 540.58
2024-10-27 105.05 31.08 37.65 48.03 70.47 173.61 255.22 327.67 382.90
2024-11-03 99.92 27.93 34.55 44.30 64.23 157.04 239.38 315.28 367.45
2024-11-10 103.52 27.02 31.33 40.15 63.47 159.40 234.37 286.36 366.02
2024-11-17 93.40 23.94 32.06 41.12 59.08 142.04 215.32 273.88 343.54
2024-11-24 87.13 27.16 32.00 39.39 57.06 126.27 182.39 230.67 304.59
2024-12-01 91.79 27.63 32.42 39.67 57.16 137.77 193.94 253.04 322.54
2024-12-08 72.99 23.42 26.70 32.79 47.37 119.20 182.53 234.78 281.50
2024-12-15 70.66 14.09 19.62 28.02 38.86 117.41 188.72 285.40 378.28
2024-12-22 50.71 11.10 13.65 17.56 28.90 95.94 161.39 221.39 283.83
2024-12-29 82.15 18.67 22.85 31.56 51.74 142.54 227.77 336.60 417.36
2025-01-05 99.70 29.04 33.52 43.55 61.72 160.33 252.73 346.88 456.03
2025-01-12 114.32 29.07 38.29 46.32 68.49 193.04 296.65 398.74 454.18
2025-01-19 102.65 27.77 31.42 40.05 60.28 185.33 286.96 373.16 559.51
2025-01-26 132.96 33.24 37.39 49.89 81.58 222.23 364.97 520.55 631.21
2025-02-02 158.29 36.15 44.12 59.67 90.94 262.00 492.75 631.37 849.77
2025-02-09 162.76 44.91 56.00 73.02 107.52 275.98 430.16 549.49 713.31
2025-02-16 164.69 36.67 43.19 57.76 100.02 280.09 441.97 741.95 932.65
2025-02-23 211.50 54.49 67.08 82.86 124.99 343.93 552.00 810.65 1236.77
2025-03-02 243.81 69.48 79.61 100.91 141.24 413.05 736.25 1131.37 1738.92
2025-03-09 253.86 62.62 78.26 95.18 147.84 481.05 726.74 1126.08 1556.04
2025-03-16 229.96 70.26 83.70 105.56 148.21 382.14 609.73 781.68 1064.17
2025-03-23 228.35 69.08 89.22 106.38 154.27 352.00 528.83 764.12 981.31
2025-03-30 361.41 120.30 137.80 167.94 233.44 597.73 926.92 1226.12 1747.03
2025-04-06 378.84 111.79 140.00 167.43 248.93 591.24 885.15 1150.01 1585.33
2025-04-13 416.96 125.29 147.79 190.04 288.62 672.43 1033.53 1473.71 1743.35
2025-04-20 492.88 149.24 186.15 217.81 335.08 779.86 1180.78 1518.98 1876.19
2025-04-27 525.84 186.35 223.65 261.81 372.06 766.84 1065.43 1346.22 1754.57
2025-05-04 574.67 206.25 235.22 287.12 403.62 871.09 1182.29 1528.36 1916.30
2025-05-11 575.63 211.51 244.51 277.21 398.33 851.24 1150.39 1396.22 1637.68
2025-05-18 520.19 182.76 218.09 271.14 350.28 748.58 990.88 1222.52 1451.26
2025-05-25 598.07 221.73 255.30 305.81 422.83 860.68 1192.52 1459.59 1733.57
2025-06-01 560.93 224.38 242.05 307.02 393.32 841.95 1194.13 1616.76 1903.18
2025-06-08 510.09 194.23 228.58 269.16 358.17 768.84 1102.91 1357.29 1521.28
2025-06-15 500.06 196.64 220.46 268.28 347.97 722.66 995.26 1184.95 1308.10
2025-06-22 482.80 201.77 220.22 264.25 346.21 666.50 903.02 1083.50 1309.77
2025-06-29 464.47 160.12 203.14 244.06 325.26 635.73 918.26 1196.01 1510.64
2025-07-06 465.81 163.19 201.86 237.43 324.78 637.88 973.11 1213.12 1544.40
2025-07-13 417.35 149.78 172.79 199.44 298.81 597.96 881.84 1065.87 1239.02
2025-07-20 360.08 124.32 155.44 192.54 252.96 515.14 728.90 929.67 1115.99
2025-07-27 330.68 127.90 141.27 169.06 227.92 472.79 653.48 804.76 941.29
2025-08-03 327.20 118.10 136.68 161.27 225.25 475.86 668.36 778.12 930.40
2025-08-10 302.90 105.84 125.90 148.62 206.45 415.48 570.77 704.10 862.56
2025-08-17 262.40 83.83 105.68 128.68 183.80 377.43 538.77 657.04 822.00
2025-08-24 220.80 72.00 93.52 110.34 148.20 342.98 532.64 687.61 839.89
2025-08-31 220.89 71.47 82.88 99.29 146.36 314.00 469.56 621.91 755.37
2025-09-07 180.74 57.66 69.17 86.65 122.62 288.64 421.50 552.64 730.46
2025-09-14 175.92 62.00 74.41 89.24 122.05 265.91 394.15 488.29 774.87
2025-09-21 165.97 55.67 65.76 79.62 110.53 224.59 315.79 407.61 487.64
2025-09-28 163.76 54.12 67.19 80.35 108.69 251.74 407.43 495.28 576.09
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