Prediction 3728

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Sergipe

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in SE


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 10.48 2.28 2.96 3.65 6.24 18.01 31.71 42.19 55.02
2022-10-16 10.37 2.36 2.92 4.15 6.08 19.09 30.94 43.08 61.50
2022-10-23 11.01 1.78 2.17 3.22 5.81 19.57 40.78 64.34 96.40
2022-10-30 9.50 1.97 2.28 2.90 5.40 16.51 30.63 45.00 64.02
2022-11-06 12.92 2.30 2.58 3.63 6.94 24.65 52.66 75.80 110.60
2022-11-13 11.61 2.34 2.75 3.68 6.59 21.10 37.83 64.02 86.41
2022-11-20 8.92 1.86 2.47 3.00 5.08 17.47 37.88 50.92 65.73
2022-11-27 8.39 1.39 1.99 2.86 4.46 13.31 26.15 34.66 44.40
2022-12-04 7.62 1.55 2.08 2.57 4.88 12.76 24.92 35.48 53.07
2022-12-11 8.01 1.49 1.72 2.43 4.39 15.76 27.05 39.25 69.73
2022-12-18 3.62 0.70 0.91 1.21 2.04 6.78 12.32 17.28 24.77
2022-12-25 2.15 0.45 0.52 0.69 1.08 4.93 9.84 16.18 21.39
2023-01-01 8.93 1.96 2.28 3.15 5.05 16.53 28.51 39.92 54.08
2023-01-08 12.43 2.98 3.51 4.25 6.67 22.72 39.25 59.05 83.60
2023-01-15 11.93 2.80 3.58 4.79 7.11 20.99 35.04 49.94 80.16
2023-01-22 14.58 3.34 4.19 5.59 9.06 26.36 46.18 63.26 91.99
2023-01-29 13.43 3.46 4.19 5.51 8.63 22.70 37.92 52.56 72.82
2023-02-05 18.26 4.11 5.12 6.39 10.53 31.99 54.98 80.03 119.86
2023-02-12 25.00 6.25 7.82 10.14 15.19 40.93 68.41 101.20 130.36
2023-02-19 24.29 6.16 8.04 10.24 15.68 40.27 64.05 96.36 139.09
2023-02-26 34.54 9.00 10.94 13.16 20.77 60.99 99.75 138.88 167.92
2023-03-05 39.63 9.47 12.39 15.77 25.10 71.47 116.35 146.35 204.93
2023-03-12 50.04 12.92 14.47 19.11 31.37 82.33 144.90 208.84 333.02
2023-03-19 64.09 12.95 15.85 23.11 33.53 109.14 202.13 285.94 372.28
2023-03-26 60.28 13.73 16.00 22.83 35.85 105.79 199.36 271.31 364.27
2023-04-02 77.24 18.05 23.10 28.22 44.94 126.06 209.03 292.11 397.55
2023-04-09 91.96 25.68 29.82 36.90 56.21 152.87 260.53 356.91 483.95
2023-04-16 104.88 27.74 33.12 41.78 66.86 185.17 283.94 456.37 593.99
2023-04-23 120.34 28.43 37.50 45.43 72.86 203.05 332.09 436.93 545.23
2023-04-30 132.06 41.76 48.74 59.64 87.15 206.57 329.57 459.79 603.02
2023-05-07 164.50 38.19 49.89 64.01 104.52 289.35 469.81 680.10 945.46
2023-05-14 162.59 43.79 51.03 65.82 95.81 270.49 416.69 559.74 784.40
2023-05-21 162.10 38.83 46.17 58.62 91.62 276.98 459.91 602.96 921.02
2023-05-28 156.60 39.81 49.95 64.54 99.23 272.60 447.30 639.21 1068.87
2023-06-04 134.23 36.15 45.59 56.17 85.23 211.87 324.09 532.94 812.36
2023-06-11 111.38 30.15 36.42 42.74 68.81 195.14 325.76 423.03 541.10
2023-06-18 92.76 24.83 30.68 39.71 61.40 145.18 243.45 356.79 495.45
2023-06-25 82.38 22.77 27.69 34.67 51.60 136.58 218.97 327.37 461.48
2023-07-02 71.33 19.69 23.53 30.09 42.68 119.25 181.61 243.13 341.25
2023-07-09 68.66 16.56 21.52 28.55 41.02 116.73 219.02 301.72 350.34
2023-07-16 59.57 14.34 18.10 23.91 36.36 99.81 151.28 233.84 351.74
2023-07-23 47.60 13.33 16.87 20.95 30.71 90.21 150.65 202.11 245.13
2023-07-30 46.89 10.82 13.93 17.05 26.65 76.54 127.69 208.47 319.46
2023-08-06 45.47 8.67 11.23 15.94 26.60 76.13 150.26 229.19 334.18
2023-08-13 41.29 7.91 9.85 14.05 23.40 71.63 128.97 179.25 276.10
2023-08-20 33.31 7.53 9.61 11.16 18.62 59.03 96.87 144.16 213.67
2023-08-27 30.42 6.40 7.68 9.42 16.46 56.30 119.28 173.81 225.69
2023-09-03 26.71 4.99 6.28 8.28 13.80 51.56 94.06 126.49 155.16
2023-09-10 22.12 3.56 5.13 7.07 12.57 38.55 69.27 94.54 133.93
2023-09-17 18.62 4.20 5.24 6.62 10.70 33.08 57.91 92.46 139.09
2023-09-24 17.37 3.23 4.52 6.00 9.84 30.33 50.54 70.43 101.56
2023-10-01 20.09 4.02 5.12 6.39 11.32 38.81 64.99 84.21 123.47
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