Prediction 3729

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Sergipe

Description:

Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in SE


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 41.31 13.96 16.48 19.60 29.00 63.99 90.42 112.58 141.40
2023-10-15 39.81 14.05 17.07 19.95 27.73 61.69 91.94 112.31 144.39
2023-10-22 39.84 12.10 15.11 18.81 27.15 60.72 92.52 114.00 149.99
2023-10-29 43.72 12.52 14.85 19.27 28.13 66.61 93.54 137.36 169.57
2023-11-05 36.43 10.76 13.34 16.42 24.34 54.88 85.68 111.09 163.83
2023-11-12 33.45 9.21 11.71 14.62 21.04 49.95 77.13 99.78 132.03
2023-11-19 32.02 9.77 12.60 14.92 20.42 52.65 77.16 96.55 119.62
2023-11-26 29.59 9.15 11.86 13.83 18.61 46.68 74.08 90.93 114.37
2023-12-03 32.65 9.71 11.70 14.67 21.27 49.02 66.89 86.56 110.67
2023-12-10 25.22 8.09 9.91 11.74 17.12 37.43 59.69 77.81 88.63
2023-12-17 18.66 5.39 6.65 7.98 12.56 29.10 46.98 59.41 69.39
2023-12-24 11.62 2.78 3.52 4.48 6.85 18.46 29.82 40.66 54.59
2023-12-31 29.22 8.67 10.69 13.23 19.93 45.66 73.44 97.14 114.16
2024-01-07 31.87 10.89 12.44 16.03 21.83 51.52 77.06 101.15 115.15
2024-01-14 37.92 11.21 14.97 17.59 24.87 54.57 78.80 101.54 138.62
2024-01-21 42.47 13.80 16.81 21.17 28.60 64.60 102.73 142.95 177.75
2024-01-28 56.05 17.98 21.10 26.16 37.30 83.95 127.68 166.20 212.53
2024-02-04 67.02 20.59 25.25 30.55 43.55 107.31 198.76 233.64 347.33
2024-02-11 83.72 28.18 33.05 39.32 54.47 128.37 214.98 296.65 377.04
2024-02-18 84.45 28.17 33.19 39.37 53.90 130.53 218.58 260.99 339.42
2024-02-25 97.96 34.29 41.82 48.48 67.42 145.48 224.70 303.20 436.39
2024-03-03 119.36 42.47 49.14 59.38 80.79 176.21 257.81 311.90 414.68
2024-03-10 145.69 49.99 58.01 65.88 97.11 222.43 372.07 493.92 658.31
2024-03-17 140.10 50.97 59.21 67.37 94.33 213.96 324.82 435.36 569.50
2024-03-24 158.51 62.34 71.86 82.15 109.93 236.59 345.72 438.61 527.52
2024-03-31 191.32 67.49 84.85 98.46 139.40 281.59 445.21 583.14 731.38
2024-04-07 206.45 82.71 92.68 111.16 147.29 306.22 438.42 536.60 676.03
2024-04-14 240.97 87.29 104.29 120.39 163.83 343.23 494.04 650.55 847.79
2024-04-21 300.16 114.99 137.92 153.57 206.29 436.86 660.39 788.56 924.36
2024-04-28 357.30 125.51 142.74 165.81 234.05 523.81 711.34 880.85 1014.68
2024-05-05 340.01 119.70 146.17 172.26 242.99 492.11 685.69 814.82 1093.29
2024-05-12 381.69 138.12 159.25 195.10 264.28 556.41 843.80 1127.20 1413.30
2024-05-19 358.08 130.04 161.94 193.27 256.63 530.79 740.33 923.30 1042.72
2024-05-26 354.29 137.52 153.94 182.06 252.11 499.38 690.97 829.27 974.29
2024-06-02 327.38 129.70 148.73 176.69 227.13 468.94 676.97 823.98 987.92
2024-06-09 278.88 114.31 126.53 144.67 206.15 399.46 532.97 637.25 778.71
2024-06-16 240.12 94.22 111.63 136.85 179.28 354.08 495.06 701.21 884.07
2024-06-23 235.01 83.06 98.23 119.74 167.26 310.15 419.24 515.89 658.52
2024-06-30 219.71 74.29 93.14 112.83 149.88 341.84 539.34 716.00 913.59
2024-07-07 211.02 74.84 86.77 100.28 143.27 310.22 444.34 564.74 662.64
2024-07-14 193.84 64.72 80.01 97.96 132.27 279.95 394.78 495.01 599.86
2024-07-21 171.96 57.39 70.67 83.90 115.32 283.84 477.90 713.57 1007.99
2024-07-28 149.00 51.24 60.07 72.49 105.60 226.10 354.49 438.33 563.86
2024-08-04 141.08 48.03 54.78 67.28 95.44 202.50 299.51 375.05 453.93
2024-08-11 121.15 39.09 44.85 58.85 82.96 202.86 303.39 391.20 483.24
2024-08-18 107.02 33.87 40.84 50.34 72.91 158.58 242.36 373.65 485.15
2024-08-25 90.05 26.62 32.98 40.70 58.76 137.91 199.42 267.04 332.73
2024-09-01 84.97 26.36 30.42 37.61 53.12 127.34 201.05 252.10 301.68
2024-09-08 72.76 21.26 25.37 31.78 44.81 111.49 172.25 235.92 289.13
2024-09-15 68.26 19.53 23.50 29.26 44.00 114.12 167.23 248.15 326.99
2024-09-22 59.12 18.49 22.06 25.58 38.63 90.42 123.17 153.28 191.93
2024-09-29 54.57 15.08 17.12 22.70 36.07 80.95 129.00 168.92 213.26
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