Prediction 3730

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Sergipe

Description:

Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in SE


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 10.92 2.08 2.53 3.45 5.86 19.51 32.05 50.23 70.20
2024-10-13 8.54 1.77 2.19 2.72 4.65 15.00 27.93 37.50 49.90
2024-10-20 7.01 1.32 1.68 2.54 3.98 14.06 24.37 36.37 49.86
2024-10-27 6.97 1.35 1.63 2.28 3.82 12.91 26.03 44.40 54.04
2024-11-03 7.30 1.53 1.91 2.54 4.02 14.44 26.79 35.63 43.41
2024-11-10 6.11 1.45 1.74 2.25 3.64 11.87 19.66 27.80 41.84
2024-11-17 5.39 1.15 1.32 1.88 3.11 9.73 18.66 27.14 38.67
2024-11-24 4.84 0.99 1.20 1.62 2.63 8.56 17.70 25.15 36.12
2024-12-01 5.69 1.34 1.63 2.03 3.05 11.59 19.60 30.06 48.37
2024-12-08 4.55 0.79 1.01 1.53 2.51 8.04 16.33 24.19 34.16
2024-12-15 3.34 0.57 0.70 1.08 1.84 6.40 14.00 24.61 40.31
2024-12-22 3.77 0.52 0.70 0.91 1.73 8.31 15.66 25.22 42.30
2024-12-29 6.98 1.28 1.66 2.09 3.70 12.84 24.36 34.93 45.69
2025-01-05 8.74 1.48 2.02 2.66 4.85 15.53 25.08 39.22 50.83
2025-01-12 9.68 2.09 2.45 3.07 5.45 17.32 29.25 38.51 57.32
2025-01-19 9.89 2.15 2.90 3.57 5.61 17.44 29.34 38.46 48.79
2025-01-26 10.07 1.88 2.51 3.27 5.67 18.67 35.63 58.56 90.61
2025-02-02 13.75 2.76 3.63 5.16 8.30 24.21 46.64 71.09 101.21
2025-02-09 14.43 3.04 3.72 4.99 8.53 27.93 48.51 66.14 79.18
2025-02-16 14.34 2.87 3.87 5.22 8.38 28.57 48.33 70.02 125.98
2025-02-23 19.64 3.85 4.93 6.71 10.54 36.17 66.00 93.57 122.33
2025-03-02 21.01 4.54 5.48 7.57 12.78 39.45 68.93 99.57 148.35
2025-03-09 25.74 6.17 7.61 9.44 14.90 47.48 78.90 114.22 151.34
2025-03-16 23.36 5.86 6.84 9.50 14.08 38.61 64.04 95.44 133.31
2025-03-23 23.00 5.98 7.26 9.57 14.47 41.35 68.24 99.15 119.14
2025-03-30 40.98 8.42 11.49 14.45 24.27 72.20 120.14 171.30 239.28
2025-04-06 40.85 11.61 14.36 16.83 25.45 62.94 102.75 135.47 176.39
2025-04-13 45.03 11.05 12.95 18.30 26.19 75.57 118.52 158.05 202.73
2025-04-20 57.84 15.49 17.88 24.67 36.28 88.56 150.15 224.56 270.55
2025-04-27 67.25 20.39 23.67 29.01 43.19 113.86 183.44 238.02 276.68
2025-05-04 81.53 21.92 25.89 32.22 48.57 132.65 225.30 281.24 394.26
2025-05-11 68.44 18.77 22.90 29.82 41.30 109.90 177.94 251.85 353.31
2025-05-18 65.29 19.72 24.35 28.84 41.33 101.25 166.06 201.21 269.33
2025-05-25 67.29 19.41 23.01 28.54 41.58 105.05 165.25 208.95 259.36
2025-06-01 71.95 18.98 24.13 28.85 44.58 116.07 184.28 283.67 360.66
2025-06-08 60.68 18.01 22.25 28.90 40.92 98.52 166.61 206.87 285.77
2025-06-15 55.64 16.28 20.18 24.96 35.94 89.75 134.98 179.73 241.27
2025-06-22 54.60 16.23 17.32 24.29 33.61 88.32 139.21 171.23 233.08
2025-06-29 56.56 15.10 18.80 23.25 35.34 93.25 182.15 240.18 316.44
2025-07-06 53.45 13.95 16.85 21.42 30.58 95.14 156.29 246.42 419.04
2025-07-13 45.35 10.77 12.79 18.32 26.45 80.06 146.46 188.19 282.56
2025-07-20 38.92 8.99 11.52 14.99 23.21 70.44 126.51 174.19 223.73
2025-07-27 37.54 7.87 10.81 12.99 20.41 64.43 111.60 160.17 219.05
2025-08-03 35.13 7.87 9.94 12.77 21.41 70.00 122.28 164.48 269.00
2025-08-10 28.88 7.07 9.22 11.85 17.18 54.32 91.49 125.56 191.26
2025-08-17 30.42 5.64 7.60 9.91 16.10 53.46 91.20 135.63 177.95
2025-08-24 26.31 5.77 7.26 9.33 15.21 47.75 89.80 119.17 196.47
2025-08-31 20.61 4.28 5.38 6.87 11.54 45.19 90.17 131.79 229.95
2025-09-07 17.12 3.62 4.16 5.89 9.82 34.40 69.81 97.01 132.32
2025-09-14 18.00 3.34 4.26 5.91 10.19 36.99 66.96 93.34 127.97
2025-09-21 16.34 2.99 4.31 5.62 9.12 32.91 60.84 90.85 124.33
2025-09-28 15.97 3.37 4.46 5.42 8.59 30.49 60.18 81.87 110.91
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