Prediction 3731

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Distrito Federal

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in DF


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 32.53 1.32 2.10 3.19 11.76 104.94 261.26 500.46 839.37
2022-10-16 39.03 1.75 2.62 5.12 15.00 110.51 285.73 519.61 1007.55
2022-10-23 51.25 1.21 2.10 4.99 15.40 144.29 398.14 712.41 1152.32
2022-10-30 41.42 1.17 2.19 4.46 14.19 137.07 344.11 692.62 1024.16
2022-11-06 65.49 2.73 4.60 7.28 20.91 195.02 466.80 910.81 1937.45
2022-11-13 86.48 3.87 6.53 12.41 33.03 192.80 508.09 868.95 1513.72
2022-11-20 123.93 4.54 7.32 12.05 41.30 321.41 791.98 1325.96 2076.09
2022-11-27 101.64 4.98 8.33 14.81 35.64 314.86 761.51 1385.41 2677.38
2022-12-04 132.15 3.77 9.43 19.06 42.45 353.83 1033.05 1852.05 2477.93
2022-12-11 140.75 7.97 11.71 22.56 56.96 435.75 1191.79 2330.53 3297.20
2022-12-18 101.37 5.16 8.36 14.35 35.10 317.05 800.58 1291.11 1602.69
2022-12-25 67.86 2.81 3.95 7.89 27.47 187.97 460.12 833.98 1393.48
2023-01-01 238.04 13.85 21.50 31.47 76.71 608.07 1342.75 1931.98 3019.08
2023-01-08 278.20 18.76 26.69 50.40 109.95 676.43 1392.29 2356.91 3584.40
2023-01-15 347.92 30.17 41.64 62.79 154.79 768.86 1644.26 2737.06 4339.37
2023-01-22 374.00 31.63 52.62 75.65 172.07 890.23 1956.19 3082.01 4933.56
2023-01-29 422.56 48.00 62.74 93.14 175.65 1034.85 1934.99 2799.34 4303.43
2023-02-05 502.18 29.44 50.13 95.77 179.52 1108.80 2276.70 3641.75 5391.42
2023-02-12 547.89 54.46 77.19 125.61 258.36 1192.91 2038.54 3217.67 4557.74
2023-02-19 467.04 66.45 85.98 132.13 251.45 959.07 1907.07 2933.70 3470.62
2023-02-26 586.60 72.85 89.19 128.14 281.73 1215.36 2334.67 3251.41 4279.54
2023-03-05 658.77 105.37 127.99 179.37 350.83 1370.52 2392.38 3578.36 4639.06
2023-03-12 701.62 135.52 167.28 220.98 394.65 1290.49 2185.34 2914.12 3664.07
2023-03-19 699.24 115.12 165.42 209.86 362.84 1353.02 2440.73 3419.57 4530.99
2023-03-26 618.84 82.46 134.80 191.90 334.00 1095.74 2147.35 3372.82 4596.78
2023-04-02 717.80 121.39 167.92 248.62 420.23 1420.82 2762.51 3981.14 5397.51
2023-04-09 731.80 111.26 173.68 236.65 386.76 1402.99 2510.54 3700.38 5316.40
2023-04-16 749.48 124.22 178.54 244.05 415.70 1273.37 2168.10 3124.87 4571.28
2023-04-23 614.69 125.33 158.60 217.06 351.23 1135.15 1834.47 2600.67 3242.73
2023-04-30 707.47 139.94 172.27 219.16 383.78 1209.78 2284.20 3225.03 4162.83
2023-05-07 619.84 127.57 179.40 237.90 409.50 1079.16 1867.60 2585.12 3049.11
2023-05-14 574.60 110.55 146.48 188.47 331.27 1145.89 1911.27 2736.59 3393.78
2023-05-21 486.07 72.85 92.94 132.21 246.59 928.38 1599.54 2077.55 2736.74
2023-05-28 408.35 76.32 104.36 139.42 211.90 721.49 1284.27 1688.37 2777.22
2023-06-04 299.12 50.66 68.25 89.03 153.35 595.95 1145.92 1699.22 2086.83
2023-06-11 309.47 38.45 57.33 75.22 147.79 547.86 1013.88 1647.17 2235.69
2023-06-18 253.03 31.37 45.78 65.35 135.16 510.75 961.72 1373.50 1740.54
2023-06-25 214.29 19.72 38.74 51.77 104.65 412.42 730.58 997.70 1538.73
2023-07-02 169.23 20.33 26.20 40.28 81.20 371.63 684.74 969.47 1244.78
2023-07-09 132.69 16.04 23.43 36.04 66.03 276.53 497.27 749.50 1076.56
2023-07-16 116.73 11.38 13.84 25.75 52.62 237.64 454.35 626.05 852.00
2023-07-23 103.50 8.42 14.18 25.00 46.89 237.44 472.84 690.51 1042.69
2023-07-30 85.36 5.35 9.06 17.55 36.90 214.06 422.43 744.14 1338.51
2023-08-06 69.58 7.00 10.36 16.23 32.80 152.29 327.94 472.06 694.77
2023-08-13 72.98 8.56 11.20 15.34 32.89 159.77 333.90 564.11 839.30
2023-08-20 67.01 3.94 5.48 10.25 25.61 153.81 360.00 631.39 908.27
2023-08-27 54.44 2.33 3.65 7.66 19.25 172.08 400.51 710.10 941.77
2023-09-03 60.35 3.15 5.26 9.53 21.85 141.65 345.53 572.28 1115.30
2023-09-10 49.70 2.41 4.00 7.44 18.53 146.94 330.00 551.66 771.58
2023-09-17 64.30 3.26 5.59 9.36 20.93 162.71 375.49 700.01 1001.32
2023-09-24 68.89 2.15 4.43 8.02 19.49 207.38 517.17 886.88 1385.81
2023-10-01 61.79 2.56 3.96 6.91 18.69 203.72 520.27 889.26 2046.64
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