Prediction 3732

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Distrito Federal

Description:

Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in DF


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 279.61 50.09 64.21 93.57 155.82 503.01 794.34 1076.15 1405.09
2023-10-15 326.18 52.23 65.16 99.04 160.77 537.64 861.04 1051.93 1422.28
2023-10-22 278.22 44.95 59.59 97.04 153.23 476.64 787.91 1043.06 1239.96
2023-10-29 258.21 45.74 59.20 87.70 146.84 428.03 641.74 917.88 1232.27
2023-11-05 304.25 48.63 66.06 92.66 162.71 557.46 909.60 1164.34 1627.39
2023-11-12 348.92 67.70 92.95 126.12 214.16 623.38 1068.22 1429.32 1854.57
2023-11-19 396.12 68.57 85.40 120.96 214.10 687.63 1196.44 1630.17 1890.74
2023-11-26 421.03 79.10 101.07 136.28 233.91 761.69 1407.23 2097.56 2607.03
2023-12-03 460.02 87.01 110.01 143.87 266.35 769.02 1254.00 1796.97 2300.59
2023-12-10 478.46 82.12 101.44 137.31 241.45 849.60 1381.17 1953.36 2693.74
2023-12-17 309.42 47.43 62.78 97.84 171.79 609.55 1023.41 1399.15 1888.51
2023-12-24 254.15 36.57 49.26 73.71 127.29 495.76 857.06 1262.48 1524.44
2023-12-31 873.09 204.52 250.21 323.48 536.75 1442.68 2323.30 3011.27 3553.62
2024-01-07 1044.65 283.35 353.72 472.40 700.19 1511.98 2324.99 2853.37 3322.90
2024-01-14 1023.41 324.93 398.97 488.25 697.60 1467.59 2090.66 2547.51 2918.73
2024-01-21 1133.20 337.96 400.14 535.23 777.10 1727.73 2249.40 2774.75 3287.70
2024-01-28 1334.43 433.56 493.74 614.92 841.47 1979.27 2959.79 3563.61 4183.30
2024-02-04 1487.37 558.67 654.59 790.60 1087.75 2147.34 2920.37 3515.61 3889.14
2024-02-11 1403.05 551.10 647.14 810.01 1060.95 1970.86 2620.30 3092.77 3614.31
2024-02-18 1393.47 583.51 683.55 803.17 1043.51 1985.96 2562.15 2957.62 3459.79
2024-02-25 1572.73 640.85 714.15 838.40 1173.08 2249.70 2897.80 3416.08 3747.80
2024-03-03 1872.87 767.56 912.95 1046.43 1360.00 2575.62 3280.64 3827.69 4367.19
2024-03-10 2004.17 749.18 899.29 1097.99 1485.85 2525.44 3223.12 3665.04 4439.36
2024-03-17 2323.72 996.81 1229.37 1357.25 1755.63 2996.64 3807.68 4270.48 4548.69
2024-03-24 2151.48 895.38 1039.01 1198.45 1584.67 2875.71 3856.03 4485.77 5086.59
2024-03-31 2090.25 831.16 960.65 1188.30 1568.25 2781.41 3522.73 4072.33 4416.21
2024-04-07 2306.45 980.11 1116.31 1427.26 1778.35 3235.68 4160.64 4983.32 5644.85
2024-04-14 2308.95 1007.61 1147.52 1341.28 1690.55 3075.45 3957.46 4855.24 5532.71
2024-04-21 2053.42 828.28 979.85 1151.75 1517.96 2812.46 3711.85 4326.55 4682.98
2024-04-28 2089.45 1019.62 1119.74 1277.51 1594.75 2785.57 3488.81 3949.29 4428.26
2024-05-05 1962.25 869.64 1047.65 1197.54 1515.79 2569.67 3167.75 3610.38 4205.52
2024-05-12 1766.41 811.37 901.04 1025.30 1315.96 2339.18 2901.22 3435.18 4052.36
2024-05-19 1331.76 627.64 690.57 808.02 1001.78 1736.82 2264.26 2740.44 3174.85
2024-05-26 1172.43 479.85 548.20 643.16 851.35 1514.93 1984.22 2300.94 2640.54
2024-06-02 988.05 387.05 498.71 560.26 731.71 1284.98 1686.70 2077.08 2436.61
2024-06-09 826.32 342.90 377.61 471.59 622.03 1133.00 1505.82 1724.31 1975.32
2024-06-16 762.60 318.84 372.80 445.05 577.82 981.21 1284.43 1513.29 1738.81
2024-06-23 551.81 199.71 239.21 289.78 404.09 805.41 1119.52 1333.01 1627.26
2024-06-30 515.44 201.88 225.46 269.06 377.00 708.56 914.88 1074.56 1271.01
2024-07-07 444.96 142.45 176.13 214.62 320.25 621.94 850.01 1088.54 1269.05
2024-07-14 409.30 112.32 139.47 185.13 272.76 603.65 863.98 1048.91 1243.71
2024-07-21 325.59 101.12 122.81 151.63 225.85 478.03 725.57 851.31 957.63
2024-07-28 302.42 89.74 112.97 137.57 194.05 454.17 665.01 813.39 1061.73
2024-08-04 307.19 98.65 115.31 139.68 198.37 496.03 763.00 972.67 1094.93
2024-08-11 319.23 74.47 107.35 139.85 203.77 544.69 778.31 992.06 1161.98
2024-08-18 321.11 87.39 109.09 136.25 206.24 490.50 774.61 913.86 1143.02
2024-08-25 282.73 57.89 73.35 98.75 165.29 481.58 809.97 1064.35 1335.27
2024-09-01 314.17 66.57 81.63 108.59 200.71 540.25 840.31 1155.13 1415.69
2024-09-08 336.00 66.91 84.80 119.58 193.65 556.29 943.04 1325.82 1652.12
2024-09-15 320.07 47.92 55.77 78.01 152.03 572.23 1001.62 1453.09 1957.37
2024-09-22 301.10 52.83 66.19 92.31 161.41 546.92 944.23 1286.37 1714.45
2024-09-29 332.09 57.92 75.35 104.32 182.30 575.79 970.88 1380.78 2014.87
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