Prediction 3733

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Distrito Federal

Description:

Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in DF


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 99.91 7.52 10.69 15.96 44.28 205.21 418.58 661.95 1118.27
2024-10-13 134.06 9.41 14.49 26.70 58.69 328.72 639.35 918.58 1299.16
2024-10-20 106.42 7.72 12.31 23.07 46.84 250.81 427.84 644.10 930.95
2024-10-27 141.87 12.43 19.70 32.09 66.60 280.58 561.29 874.47 1275.40
2024-11-03 209.68 22.50 32.47 50.33 91.56 389.45 775.60 1153.32 1493.76
2024-11-10 174.61 23.34 32.85 47.91 92.88 344.16 606.75 908.89 1085.11
2024-11-17 159.06 22.03 27.94 40.78 87.90 353.18 657.13 891.49 1152.95
2024-11-24 154.11 21.83 32.55 46.55 79.54 288.78 562.04 799.80 1089.90
2024-12-01 165.48 12.77 23.75 35.78 81.15 411.38 839.10 1285.78 1872.92
2024-12-08 190.71 13.62 22.93 40.27 80.08 391.52 722.65 979.55 1378.32
2024-12-15 127.63 10.62 16.28 24.04 54.41 299.01 618.56 1028.95 1392.06
2024-12-22 117.45 9.87 13.98 22.73 49.24 234.22 504.63 783.77 1202.52
2024-12-29 197.95 22.05 29.16 41.53 90.97 415.42 767.62 1081.01 1557.96
2025-01-05 265.42 27.96 43.09 61.31 130.53 584.82 1098.53 1942.59 2638.08
2025-01-12 311.06 28.99 43.13 65.37 147.47 703.16 1332.83 1843.62 2621.35
2025-01-19 320.35 33.67 50.00 79.38 145.88 671.38 1302.83 1888.82 2756.06
2025-01-26 374.93 44.47 63.33 97.79 191.90 719.62 1282.18 1731.06 2272.64
2025-02-02 394.26 41.89 56.61 89.11 172.41 744.12 1519.16 2180.58 2757.80
2025-02-09 385.82 43.92 72.38 109.32 206.28 734.76 1411.17 1990.86 2929.52
2025-02-16 400.46 47.31 68.30 103.57 193.30 834.52 1588.89 2590.86 3666.74
2025-02-23 583.26 56.06 83.72 135.58 294.60 1240.32 2467.02 3588.06 5087.54
2025-03-02 614.86 68.75 94.49 140.76 293.46 1172.90 2068.11 2932.73 3629.94
2025-03-09 720.50 78.38 124.60 189.22 337.27 1500.67 3078.95 4079.73 5204.30
2025-03-16 661.64 73.29 92.52 141.57 301.16 1437.52 2599.60 3227.35 4823.52
2025-03-23 709.37 60.05 86.86 156.46 348.93 1514.12 2711.56 5030.41 7197.72
2025-03-30 820.31 66.36 106.95 159.70 340.59 1842.65 3462.16 4953.58 7066.24
2025-04-06 827.68 76.99 108.35 149.48 381.04 1742.64 3352.91 5208.77 7843.50
2025-04-13 791.05 91.39 132.10 195.47 374.73 1722.38 3495.80 4699.58 6191.40
2025-04-20 681.07 88.97 115.82 178.94 323.29 1385.42 2611.36 3252.61 5534.88
2025-04-27 774.44 70.30 104.73 166.72 361.00 1518.23 2768.03 3937.88 5295.13
2025-05-04 709.58 85.54 113.19 163.86 312.19 1504.41 2971.81 4470.90 5920.90
2025-05-11 629.12 66.05 89.63 136.79 302.97 1345.16 2596.73 3860.90 5536.73
2025-05-18 629.66 72.00 92.12 130.43 278.72 1429.00 2660.45 3789.01 5197.01
2025-05-25 557.73 51.20 77.14 116.15 240.54 1207.10 2124.05 3222.63 3846.97
2025-06-01 454.67 43.14 73.83 119.22 231.61 832.55 1293.05 1887.59 3277.68
2025-06-08 463.05 54.52 78.33 118.73 230.70 834.61 1495.68 1987.32 2589.79
2025-06-15 310.02 44.80 58.23 81.52 152.18 578.00 1065.83 1385.37 1946.79
2025-06-22 255.72 35.96 48.75 71.96 131.74 460.62 746.87 1054.34 1369.84
2025-06-29 242.62 40.70 53.17 72.05 132.40 431.35 668.31 935.47 1206.94
2025-07-06 222.01 32.70 52.50 75.23 120.87 409.51 628.70 830.44 1139.40
2025-07-13 164.38 23.13 33.30 51.51 90.54 314.95 520.31 738.07 1071.80
2025-07-20 136.57 15.66 19.30 32.23 63.28 282.72 566.49 754.02 968.78
2025-07-27 160.22 14.80 21.77 39.38 74.51 283.93 514.28 756.78 1142.37
2025-08-03 116.81 8.57 14.45 22.35 53.58 236.72 469.17 712.93 987.98
2025-08-10 121.05 9.54 16.95 28.26 57.38 291.75 538.57 757.75 1260.96
2025-08-17 101.54 9.07 14.48 19.63 44.69 218.36 462.41 686.38 884.21
2025-08-24 83.34 5.19 9.97 16.81 39.02 194.05 373.28 659.09 1134.70
2025-08-31 87.10 5.78 8.64 13.93 32.65 196.25 410.80 647.69 959.90
2025-09-07 90.51 4.12 8.15 12.84 34.32 234.38 538.34 718.24 1049.88
2025-09-14 102.70 9.31 13.68 23.77 45.64 237.48 492.62 641.99 995.98
2025-09-21 89.80 6.72 10.58 16.92 38.21 255.17 652.74 955.04 1355.32
2025-09-28 99.57 5.10 7.29 13.59 34.53 237.96 522.53 765.43 1151.71
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