Prediction 3734

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Mato Grosso

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in MT


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 90.37 22.33 28.74 35.94 54.90 151.50 230.71 310.34 394.34
2022-10-16 116.47 39.23 44.22 52.79 76.94 183.65 319.28 398.31 584.97
2022-10-23 121.41 37.76 46.12 53.96 79.14 201.59 319.94 473.62 699.18
2022-10-30 113.95 38.98 46.10 57.76 77.56 186.38 269.76 359.99 464.83
2022-11-06 180.07 56.87 68.18 81.99 118.47 277.84 474.38 637.14 813.21
2022-11-13 219.87 73.82 91.57 109.86 151.17 346.25 540.63 708.74 1022.69
2022-11-20 277.12 101.24 114.61 135.02 182.35 452.51 690.74 982.88 1518.19
2022-11-27 279.49 92.59 108.25 139.91 188.54 448.68 702.49 1064.74 1384.68
2022-12-04 368.79 119.96 148.21 181.24 256.35 605.91 1004.90 1385.59 1930.27
2022-12-11 367.98 119.05 140.41 167.57 243.21 566.72 999.66 1347.62 1693.02
2022-12-18 277.03 97.78 106.36 130.07 182.01 456.86 748.50 963.43 1453.75
2022-12-25 178.42 65.33 75.74 91.13 119.97 267.39 497.53 681.56 1063.99
2023-01-01 507.96 196.06 221.05 265.44 360.14 807.79 1197.86 1676.19 2072.70
2023-01-08 534.54 218.16 263.96 306.48 383.79 774.89 1108.74 1431.78 1680.30
2023-01-15 759.17 326.24 377.29 430.86 560.71 1105.01 1632.41 2086.71 2716.08
2023-01-22 834.65 307.05 390.71 453.39 592.35 1149.74 1629.65 2078.11 2750.79
2023-01-29 900.73 375.06 441.62 511.17 664.88 1212.02 1604.51 2053.46 2520.70
2023-02-05 984.06 417.94 486.09 559.48 737.41 1384.37 1954.06 2464.48 3120.65
2023-02-12 911.20 481.48 529.80 596.01 729.66 1200.85 1650.27 2050.13 2360.51
2023-02-19 883.11 438.71 473.36 524.65 668.23 1161.26 1529.47 1771.13 2006.56
2023-02-26 1076.56 543.87 579.63 690.51 854.22 1363.66 1797.30 2223.64 2607.78
2023-03-05 1084.07 548.44 627.20 715.75 870.27 1422.37 1778.72 2114.28 2408.06
2023-03-12 1131.18 618.11 687.37 771.59 904.95 1439.22 1899.38 2302.87 2595.67
2023-03-19 1139.12 625.84 688.41 753.41 885.60 1510.64 1872.51 2222.46 2532.71
2023-03-26 1136.20 597.21 640.34 744.29 906.53 1460.19 1799.99 2142.57 2496.01
2023-04-02 1303.83 707.71 764.60 851.10 1043.00 1627.73 2030.94 2352.24 2635.47
2023-04-09 1263.25 638.60 685.15 782.04 972.80 1605.65 2127.86 2332.11 2626.56
2023-04-16 1178.76 644.19 723.10 801.94 947.21 1516.44 1880.54 2089.28 2319.07
2023-04-23 1088.95 592.04 665.37 747.39 897.91 1379.98 1764.47 1972.04 2223.79
2023-04-30 1118.52 631.74 708.15 772.64 918.85 1426.54 1773.25 2122.25 2497.41
2023-05-07 1009.38 600.85 646.41 704.67 824.61 1264.13 1498.45 1695.65 2002.68
2023-05-14 974.28 502.09 560.80 624.75 776.06 1197.85 1531.87 1755.51 1989.77
2023-05-21 756.30 394.44 444.95 497.62 613.78 966.53 1261.43 1460.21 1615.93
2023-05-28 686.19 330.06 362.93 413.79 525.47 914.45 1126.63 1392.14 1659.33
2023-06-04 553.69 294.49 326.58 359.35 428.81 701.68 949.15 1216.53 1407.90
2023-06-11 486.85 249.99 271.66 311.42 382.45 621.73 808.99 986.14 1097.73
2023-06-18 462.23 221.81 253.13 283.03 353.72 613.25 828.45 1011.99 1168.77
2023-06-25 335.74 173.55 193.54 212.34 258.55 444.25 570.17 680.16 763.59
2023-07-02 285.51 135.66 160.96 178.29 221.46 383.98 495.57 607.10 753.09
2023-07-09 224.82 107.94 123.36 141.12 173.40 295.97 416.08 476.66 607.08
2023-07-16 202.48 89.08 103.80 122.34 153.88 273.34 365.99 423.89 500.74
2023-07-23 202.35 83.76 95.64 112.22 148.60 275.58 390.10 525.96 642.82
2023-07-30 176.16 77.85 85.67 97.62 131.80 244.84 353.91 443.73 523.01
2023-08-06 131.72 55.72 62.58 71.92 93.34 177.24 239.43 290.67 337.92
2023-08-13 146.83 55.44 68.30 77.67 101.95 209.56 278.33 367.79 415.50
2023-08-20 144.31 54.77 63.32 69.78 96.92 204.72 318.06 413.95 509.71
2023-08-27 131.63 46.40 54.48 66.78 87.79 203.50 329.79 432.56 548.02
2023-09-03 116.69 42.07 49.36 59.25 80.42 177.56 262.82 349.79 438.74
2023-09-10 116.11 44.18 51.93 63.54 82.76 172.38 255.57 338.87 430.02
2023-09-17 139.38 45.47 57.39 68.56 95.23 197.94 319.57 388.63 478.44
2023-09-24 158.15 44.27 55.46 70.49 101.74 248.30 410.77 589.23 817.67
2023-10-01 192.12 46.84 58.32 73.01 116.33 295.28 480.53 679.20 846.53
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