Prediction 3735

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Mato Grosso

Description:

Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in MT


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 140.92 69.89 75.84 86.20 108.43 196.17 255.56 295.36 378.18
2023-10-15 166.71 82.25 90.87 101.89 133.67 227.88 316.82 371.72 397.40
2023-10-22 186.49 81.74 91.37 106.23 142.26 250.11 334.44 392.52 452.85
2023-10-29 177.11 86.51 97.15 111.93 140.39 250.64 327.47 400.17 506.95
2023-11-05 267.49 123.95 139.73 158.09 201.47 349.18 469.46 568.80 687.05
2023-11-12 281.03 142.59 159.75 184.08 217.29 364.54 495.08 563.00 677.00
2023-11-19 350.05 163.28 177.67 202.94 269.11 460.98 588.59 747.68 924.99
2023-11-26 402.15 185.73 211.31 242.30 312.19 540.25 762.02 946.83 1108.50
2023-12-03 497.89 207.66 240.54 274.30 366.60 736.60 983.31 1219.24 1434.39
2023-12-10 530.14 231.78 258.21 302.65 385.63 731.12 1013.32 1201.54 1344.95
2023-12-17 322.71 138.60 166.32 197.61 241.21 446.84 597.93 770.87 933.22
2023-12-24 233.66 91.34 117.68 135.54 183.77 328.29 432.87 533.80 678.61
2023-12-31 675.52 353.06 390.09 439.82 526.36 889.32 1113.05 1284.96 1552.23
2024-01-07 867.34 480.35 502.96 578.57 690.12 1123.31 1436.90 1654.27 1963.16
2024-01-14 969.00 542.20 579.70 650.41 769.71 1236.11 1587.90 1886.24 2201.43
2024-01-21 1174.23 643.84 698.23 759.91 920.79 1449.86 1818.45 2061.68 2257.99
2024-01-28 1269.92 707.97 780.09 854.46 1045.41 1592.54 2005.31 2293.07 2576.23
2024-02-04 1403.03 833.08 859.95 934.83 1109.76 1728.38 2148.24 2402.22 2755.22
2024-02-11 1397.22 852.99 916.27 1022.54 1157.88 1728.93 2035.31 2365.40 2570.77
2024-02-18 1323.65 774.27 885.42 981.83 1105.28 1540.84 1865.60 2070.09 2235.56
2024-02-25 1557.74 948.50 1008.04 1103.36 1282.95 1891.56 2225.56 2543.47 2816.58
2024-03-03 1595.21 947.23 1026.24 1133.52 1344.00 1891.29 2193.08 2436.66 2645.84
2024-03-10 1722.41 1124.82 1212.54 1310.96 1485.30 2014.28 2318.53 2645.61 2824.37
2024-03-17 1768.06 1077.74 1169.97 1294.80 1502.36 2098.58 2406.09 2599.41 2895.83
2024-03-24 1713.86 1114.63 1189.67 1292.91 1459.95 1997.83 2355.54 2556.43 2763.32
2024-03-31 1763.12 1098.62 1214.31 1331.51 1527.73 2060.91 2354.11 2651.32 2829.22
2024-04-07 1875.65 1194.51 1252.61 1369.09 1596.14 2229.15 2493.37 2742.65 2939.40
2024-04-14 1759.50 1120.99 1241.78 1351.58 1536.18 2009.10 2300.68 2485.18 2621.80
2024-04-21 1699.75 1080.23 1147.26 1267.31 1462.95 1976.68 2267.79 2552.06 2767.86
2024-04-28 1768.79 1178.01 1271.79 1346.68 1518.16 2053.95 2350.67 2657.85 2929.67
2024-05-05 1666.41 1041.44 1146.40 1238.83 1416.56 1928.72 2285.66 2514.96 2658.94
2024-05-12 1428.94 955.94 1027.77 1101.94 1244.11 1696.63 1957.78 2085.72 2271.28
2024-05-19 1159.78 773.23 813.29 869.75 1003.68 1360.54 1699.53 1790.00 1930.45
2024-05-26 1017.69 619.53 685.70 738.64 854.51 1216.42 1425.41 1545.72 1677.20
2024-06-02 840.72 547.69 580.40 624.99 707.19 1021.65 1219.96 1367.88 1520.91
2024-06-09 714.68 449.10 475.43 519.69 590.84 871.30 1011.34 1091.72 1202.90
2024-06-16 667.83 410.49 432.11 475.26 546.09 807.78 980.67 1072.80 1219.85
2024-06-23 504.86 311.64 331.48 361.77 430.84 607.68 743.58 825.64 897.76
2024-06-30 422.98 248.55 265.74 294.38 343.59 517.70 623.19 724.18 827.45
2024-07-07 378.32 209.34 229.61 250.35 306.78 459.84 549.65 626.16 686.21
2024-07-14 319.48 184.45 197.99 221.77 268.41 405.81 487.26 558.23 681.96
2024-07-21 265.00 156.58 174.09 186.52 216.30 317.26 380.38 418.81 485.10
2024-07-28 218.58 120.39 127.49 140.02 174.10 277.58 348.86 385.45 445.51
2024-08-04 182.07 101.62 108.62 120.80 143.01 224.65 277.03 315.52 331.12
2024-08-11 197.20 106.38 119.20 129.09 153.47 247.81 312.56 351.26 408.16
2024-08-18 170.33 94.34 103.05 112.72 133.72 216.51 268.11 298.63 334.62
2024-08-25 144.46 72.23 80.05 90.98 112.29 183.60 238.26 269.21 314.82
2024-09-01 158.04 84.40 90.06 101.10 125.26 207.44 263.05 306.27 339.58
2024-09-08 172.26 86.67 96.84 106.88 132.13 233.15 301.23 350.99 413.74
2024-09-15 166.50 80.86 89.83 101.92 124.28 220.59 296.77 346.71 406.35
2024-09-22 169.38 77.17 85.69 102.06 132.61 225.37 304.73 353.46 423.36
2024-09-29 172.07 89.14 98.44 109.90 136.01 217.33 291.07 342.94 408.32
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