Prediction 3736

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Mato Grosso

Description:

Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in MT


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 83.07 38.11 43.53 49.55 63.19 109.77 144.59 179.99 206.32
2024-10-13 108.72 52.18 57.68 67.04 86.43 147.00 203.45 244.82 284.37
2024-10-20 91.53 44.24 49.22 56.10 70.17 122.36 165.16 193.55 228.54
2024-10-27 94.15 46.12 51.14 57.94 74.25 122.73 164.35 198.15 239.94
2024-11-03 132.35 63.01 74.21 81.46 102.94 169.17 217.55 245.57 274.44
2024-11-10 117.51 64.00 70.15 76.41 92.56 146.09 185.07 210.79 225.77
2024-11-17 137.33 74.50 83.82 93.80 111.36 176.85 228.20 255.95 309.87
2024-11-24 145.66 74.56 82.28 91.60 115.89 184.89 230.06 276.47 318.10
2024-12-01 189.54 89.31 100.26 119.82 145.17 269.96 364.21 424.52 485.03
2024-12-08 193.87 87.81 99.29 112.05 144.80 257.45 372.40 437.77 514.40
2024-12-15 135.84 60.16 69.11 77.70 101.98 185.53 240.56 328.19 380.77
2024-12-22 127.25 55.68 64.90 77.21 98.56 174.92 230.58 285.81 341.66
2024-12-29 320.10 142.62 160.45 186.30 237.20 434.03 574.23 679.98 847.79
2025-01-05 452.61 224.67 245.85 286.73 367.70 595.38 760.11 909.32 1210.34
2025-01-12 634.16 260.18 304.89 360.14 462.37 867.70 1147.04 1421.33 1701.36
2025-01-19 623.05 299.86 333.91 381.72 480.14 844.70 1187.79 1399.12 1668.10
2025-01-26 696.57 340.80 363.68 415.05 530.90 925.61 1188.49 1486.58 1706.64
2025-02-02 739.13 341.41 386.38 454.31 574.66 966.06 1240.69 1524.68 1893.41
2025-02-09 836.61 431.25 461.86 522.11 649.84 1059.34 1347.42 1561.30 1766.07
2025-02-16 793.61 448.73 491.84 548.77 646.10 986.03 1299.75 1432.12 1590.27
2025-02-23 858.01 481.89 524.57 587.21 682.58 1045.45 1277.62 1420.70 1633.08
2025-03-02 852.15 483.38 525.02 586.40 694.09 1056.12 1275.61 1467.46 1603.87
2025-03-09 909.77 532.66 564.15 605.45 740.65 1149.32 1403.26 1616.52 1752.87
2025-03-16 853.14 507.12 548.72 606.99 708.23 1058.39 1286.55 1525.04 1666.74
2025-03-23 807.89 429.53 479.67 550.62 654.68 997.25 1194.16 1361.63 1512.24
2025-03-30 815.58 482.76 527.44 575.58 689.28 1016.96 1284.23 1432.89 1762.42
2025-04-06 836.28 484.82 503.26 561.81 687.44 1003.13 1191.30 1376.33 1570.66
2025-04-13 798.92 491.16 527.36 576.94 675.79 957.20 1169.51 1290.67 1489.67
2025-04-20 739.56 442.55 476.60 529.68 621.25 886.76 1037.03 1157.45 1272.89
2025-04-27 774.96 484.63 511.15 567.03 653.58 928.33 1108.05 1250.33 1375.80
2025-05-04 745.86 455.75 480.89 523.01 605.35 895.65 1104.38 1264.70 1385.11
2025-05-11 649.25 389.93 420.04 457.92 534.06 777.07 950.25 1107.53 1188.09
2025-05-18 529.87 312.53 342.57 373.33 449.05 648.24 775.31 934.16 1038.96
2025-05-25 464.16 261.88 273.45 305.71 365.65 558.31 687.64 767.03 905.49
2025-06-01 387.45 232.52 247.20 268.23 319.70 491.63 607.59 699.50 887.05
2025-06-08 349.08 206.43 223.29 241.52 285.43 428.92 532.67 573.43 680.22
2025-06-15 299.90 165.69 178.39 199.33 240.46 374.28 469.88 580.43 625.73
2025-06-22 221.25 128.92 135.49 152.31 179.98 283.11 357.78 456.34 535.13
2025-06-29 205.09 114.19 122.94 134.06 167.45 258.79 356.61 411.91 479.45
2025-07-06 172.20 94.65 103.76 111.86 134.23 213.93 263.97 301.47 352.35
2025-07-13 145.48 75.40 82.84 93.92 113.32 187.67 238.17 290.73 363.12
2025-07-20 137.45 66.43 73.31 82.04 101.06 181.33 238.49 286.89 326.47
2025-07-27 114.11 57.42 64.79 74.61 91.87 140.52 175.95 196.28 219.81
2025-08-03 93.35 51.58 56.91 62.44 74.09 121.04 160.47 184.47 202.80
2025-08-10 94.67 47.61 51.97 58.85 75.68 125.43 167.40 200.91 221.30
2025-08-17 89.62 39.68 46.26 54.46 69.28 111.73 148.45 169.91 194.47
2025-08-24 76.95 38.50 41.07 47.16 58.74 100.42 131.59 158.28 197.13
2025-08-31 77.43 35.88 39.35 46.28 58.54 102.75 134.69 161.71 196.98
2025-09-07 87.23 42.17 45.29 50.69 68.07 117.61 153.82 177.99 206.60
2025-09-14 81.11 39.03 44.44 48.79 63.28 109.36 134.87 155.53 186.99
2025-09-21 81.79 39.11 44.44 49.46 63.15 115.13 161.13 196.39 236.58
2025-09-28 83.11 38.16 41.39 47.67 62.30 103.10 139.03 164.71 195.76
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