Prediction 3737

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Mato Grosso do Sul

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in MS


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 126.06 27.21 34.01 42.97 71.44 226.89 427.00 588.86 840.04
2022-10-16 156.63 41.21 51.77 63.02 99.78 289.87 561.81 856.65 1318.24
2022-10-23 152.84 39.19 47.36 56.21 85.07 272.74 459.97 720.78 1328.47
2022-10-30 157.50 38.12 49.50 63.65 97.37 298.73 585.88 937.87 1493.56
2022-11-06 238.77 54.41 75.43 92.15 137.85 427.45 883.63 1498.78 2226.36
2022-11-13 304.82 63.16 90.41 114.49 183.61 568.45 1034.83 1437.53 1951.13
2022-11-20 424.90 96.92 115.96 162.28 250.39 747.96 1441.84 1981.30 3069.76
2022-11-27 409.80 106.01 123.41 147.22 222.16 772.88 1467.70 2268.75 3373.39
2022-12-04 504.82 109.13 143.12 182.67 279.61 970.20 1938.98 2735.91 3870.12
2022-12-11 568.27 133.72 161.78 201.83 306.31 999.19 1859.09 2955.66 4430.97
2022-12-18 362.07 92.33 114.15 141.21 222.83 790.54 1386.41 1931.20 2594.84
2022-12-25 249.42 67.70 73.71 96.59 136.22 493.62 850.96 1410.84 2129.82
2023-01-01 765.96 217.22 269.69 331.74 490.05 1324.32 2299.86 3153.78 4414.71
2023-01-08 868.28 227.64 263.81 345.74 533.61 1345.05 2127.64 3052.88 4015.38
2023-01-15 1112.00 346.74 404.65 476.89 695.50 1900.11 3198.89 4374.37 5862.52
2023-01-22 1342.18 420.55 479.30 616.16 895.08 2081.29 3394.89 4769.83 6932.25
2023-01-29 1435.56 492.48 576.79 727.45 997.49 2143.72 3562.08 4788.73 6751.95
2023-02-05 1402.35 475.55 553.64 693.60 939.99 2305.89 3931.51 5397.72 7689.34
2023-02-12 1534.01 603.05 688.96 811.47 1064.67 2240.13 3468.53 4464.70 6012.05
2023-02-19 1446.26 504.91 589.44 700.26 995.66 2130.23 3042.76 4209.21 5191.09
2023-02-26 1643.26 600.79 680.53 859.41 1192.49 2470.15 3565.20 4902.96 6204.08
2023-03-05 1837.97 683.48 806.02 928.23 1245.59 2561.45 3719.29 5116.89 6518.70
2023-03-12 1840.89 804.74 901.39 1001.97 1300.04 2515.07 3679.63 4800.40 6848.35
2023-03-19 1813.10 734.13 823.14 993.62 1306.34 2606.73 3540.42 4084.64 4967.04
2023-03-26 1785.67 743.93 869.27 978.45 1291.53 2664.22 3979.40 5284.83 6546.69
2023-04-02 2012.56 878.83 983.36 1079.09 1435.90 2847.82 4278.99 5221.31 6633.90
2023-04-09 1923.84 792.69 929.60 1064.39 1417.70 2692.28 3847.20 5097.60 6541.48
2023-04-16 1902.64 797.58 916.31 1058.34 1365.93 2695.50 3825.12 4648.40 5367.92
2023-04-23 1751.95 790.46 886.72 1039.85 1315.98 2470.39 3480.48 4433.98 5426.92
2023-04-30 1834.19 823.54 939.68 1049.17 1384.77 2552.73 3980.59 4770.02 5706.10
2023-05-07 1732.38 805.02 874.53 985.73 1268.93 2357.78 3429.58 4532.50 5663.30
2023-05-14 1571.73 658.74 755.71 897.04 1168.14 2294.68 3197.61 4259.37 5163.90
2023-05-21 1234.18 533.29 578.63 677.49 899.44 1770.88 2527.24 3592.07 4655.24
2023-05-28 1090.39 438.94 502.34 595.89 780.63 1700.30 2473.39 3079.16 3735.94
2023-06-04 919.82 361.05 409.99 476.00 640.71 1332.05 1930.65 2494.10 3016.61
2023-06-11 758.37 312.29 364.25 417.01 543.72 1103.92 1613.55 2256.12 2841.65
2023-06-18 729.00 281.33 321.47 369.47 496.23 1166.13 1811.10 2534.03 3166.76
2023-06-25 535.28 208.15 240.46 276.20 368.20 782.17 1307.10 1599.83 2191.51
2023-07-02 428.94 172.68 195.71 224.82 305.20 688.81 1067.03 1485.05 1980.98
2023-07-09 355.31 129.25 143.61 169.18 234.63 562.62 876.36 1141.57 1253.55
2023-07-16 310.37 112.95 128.79 150.16 214.36 488.07 756.85 1230.69 1665.72
2023-07-23 291.55 101.91 117.72 139.54 190.33 466.12 790.17 1193.82 1450.07
2023-07-30 296.92 83.84 99.94 123.92 182.96 496.24 856.72 1371.58 1794.77
2023-08-06 192.97 68.70 78.83 96.74 132.79 300.45 474.50 633.09 816.13
2023-08-13 209.56 64.57 77.16 104.19 139.91 348.78 556.50 777.84 1012.09
2023-08-20 201.60 53.74 68.68 82.78 134.76 318.55 557.11 968.54 1574.38
2023-08-27 183.18 52.39 61.17 73.98 113.79 331.34 595.09 932.92 1258.43
2023-09-03 178.99 42.98 55.44 69.63 113.68 325.46 602.76 954.05 1280.80
2023-09-10 170.23 45.60 58.54 71.58 102.80 289.62 422.83 594.99 837.50
2023-09-17 191.36 48.12 61.76 78.29 120.35 324.57 627.39 998.70 1313.12
2023-09-24 213.92 47.10 56.84 76.70 124.52 418.03 831.23 1385.23 1951.28
2023-10-01 264.89 58.98 75.32 97.14 153.45 483.08 897.65 1233.63 1994.04
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