Prediction 3738

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Mato Grosso do Sul

Description:

Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in MS


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 233.29 84.00 100.56 117.45 162.02 365.34 594.09 829.15 1118.08
2023-10-15 289.87 104.60 116.00 131.39 190.38 450.42 673.31 938.98 1247.41
2023-10-22 286.47 89.78 114.40 143.60 200.40 449.90 696.26 977.78 1314.00
2023-10-29 275.24 99.03 116.32 138.70 193.82 402.00 597.92 844.75 1113.02
2023-11-05 401.57 150.90 171.32 201.70 280.76 639.77 973.56 1265.45 1695.86
2023-11-12 444.48 172.67 200.74 235.69 313.58 691.51 1108.47 1474.83 1710.38
2023-11-19 533.09 177.82 213.48 274.56 354.26 794.78 1234.18 1804.96 2617.06
2023-11-26 628.94 214.16 239.41 296.83 422.85 1012.64 1685.37 2223.18 3075.25
2023-12-03 752.06 237.07 270.00 334.39 460.01 1157.93 1748.93 2291.40 2838.36
2023-12-10 759.42 248.73 298.77 350.67 491.66 1233.84 2025.77 2742.66 3682.75
2023-12-17 504.48 165.58 199.23 236.39 330.21 817.19 1444.35 1977.68 2643.78
2023-12-24 399.85 115.45 140.84 165.29 230.16 674.60 1052.18 1624.59 2193.93
2023-12-31 1165.35 394.08 458.81 562.05 783.81 1680.81 2532.04 3314.39 4319.79
2024-01-07 1389.33 547.77 651.66 748.79 994.40 2014.24 3043.42 3966.03 4594.52
2024-01-14 1747.15 725.66 842.76 961.82 1223.57 2507.60 3646.91 4702.57 5786.30
2024-01-21 1935.18 820.17 933.80 1134.18 1424.18 2824.86 4432.01 5609.27 7401.70
2024-01-28 2130.87 814.08 957.26 1142.72 1597.29 3059.74 4662.63 6326.23 7651.56
2024-02-04 2472.95 1043.65 1160.02 1370.83 1810.22 3499.28 4962.45 6482.56 8335.98
2024-02-11 2458.10 1108.41 1274.64 1497.96 1867.55 3428.69 4610.40 5781.45 7154.84
2024-02-18 2231.37 957.92 1098.23 1248.98 1717.55 3067.52 4135.25 5416.70 6475.20
2024-02-25 2738.82 1255.11 1413.22 1586.42 2018.72 3727.88 5024.28 5948.90 6758.18
2024-03-03 2762.18 1253.30 1441.88 1666.12 2045.16 3612.79 4743.43 5764.36 7080.04
2024-03-10 3024.68 1473.78 1661.88 1839.49 2395.05 4225.89 5535.25 6328.55 7267.30
2024-03-17 3127.90 1567.01 1712.96 1977.07 2422.03 4056.21 5262.74 6241.26 7297.72
2024-03-24 3086.33 1509.45 1778.34 1970.17 2402.62 4102.22 5276.61 6633.56 7687.67
2024-03-31 3027.47 1563.00 1685.19 1950.69 2465.15 3963.99 5157.72 6529.37 6969.30
2024-04-07 3178.49 1771.06 1899.03 2108.09 2525.94 4277.37 5644.98 6460.85 7872.81
2024-04-14 3113.33 1631.00 1811.26 2032.66 2476.63 4137.97 5079.81 5815.62 6793.79
2024-04-21 2836.33 1351.08 1566.03 1764.74 2167.70 3873.73 5164.95 6041.51 6628.14
2024-04-28 3026.82 1673.10 1829.86 2020.69 2381.03 4165.44 5437.16 6040.89 6775.96
2024-05-05 2869.37 1486.35 1680.76 1895.81 2284.86 3747.55 5028.09 5975.40 6799.05
2024-05-12 2553.81 1309.51 1493.63 1639.25 1995.42 3331.12 4309.12 4920.29 5528.19
2024-05-19 2055.19 1011.67 1146.21 1281.84 1598.70 2745.91 3738.14 4352.00 5689.39
2024-05-26 1675.11 865.31 909.98 1031.81 1320.61 2222.62 2907.95 3472.36 3926.70
2024-06-02 1506.30 730.84 823.12 923.96 1179.80 2005.19 2593.49 3040.87 3692.47
2024-06-09 1233.62 609.96 676.49 741.02 930.30 1663.36 2072.05 2432.83 2811.23
2024-06-16 1108.03 541.31 588.77 688.49 860.24 1556.79 2277.67 2694.32 3256.12
2024-06-23 869.95 427.80 460.24 513.79 641.03 1143.68 1548.77 1885.22 2206.43
2024-06-30 743.93 334.76 373.75 410.64 541.49 1084.89 1523.04 1769.14 2252.49
2024-07-07 614.70 279.13 324.97 372.36 457.67 827.14 1258.09 1643.15 2019.68
2024-07-14 558.53 233.08 258.41 294.45 388.89 739.92 1104.34 1373.55 1548.69
2024-07-21 440.17 199.06 228.71 267.07 331.78 598.83 785.05 908.45 1071.00
2024-07-28 379.37 158.82 186.27 210.54 269.45 553.43 810.51 1047.37 1374.89
2024-08-04 330.20 140.58 157.58 177.42 226.51 465.54 667.80 827.50 936.66
2024-08-11 354.73 133.44 158.00 184.08 248.59 519.11 747.82 939.84 1101.41
2024-08-18 299.31 116.31 133.19 160.10 217.89 423.21 611.91 782.43 980.85
2024-08-25 260.81 94.42 110.11 135.34 180.25 392.58 578.87 780.57 1036.62
2024-09-01 293.17 113.68 135.42 155.40 214.50 428.04 665.00 785.43 1074.42
2024-09-08 324.67 114.31 132.92 157.29 224.86 488.14 739.35 902.60 1252.07
2024-09-15 274.22 104.57 119.95 144.34 197.96 438.62 710.10 929.94 1160.19
2024-09-22 305.40 113.13 131.44 157.64 213.52 447.48 630.12 911.49 1210.09
2024-09-29 285.23 111.81 127.87 152.11 188.15 460.19 713.80 1012.68 1209.85
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