Prediction 3739
Model | Dengue oracle - M2 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | Mato Grosso do Sul |
Description:
Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in MS
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-10-06 | 72.68 | 22.28 | 25.25 | 32.65 | 47.29 | 109.53 | 177.15 | 236.09 | 345.82 |
2024-10-13 | 83.34 | 27.86 | 32.17 | 40.52 | 54.67 | 129.65 | 207.58 | 265.68 | 339.11 |
2024-10-20 | 76.49 | 24.94 | 29.69 | 36.76 | 53.14 | 125.01 | 197.13 | 295.09 | 369.48 |
2024-10-27 | 114.61 | 28.88 | 35.94 | 44.43 | 67.92 | 197.04 | 349.78 | 461.56 | 836.22 |
2024-11-03 | 163.69 | 44.87 | 57.48 | 71.92 | 103.63 | 271.34 | 467.82 | 716.59 | 998.78 |
2024-11-10 | 122.54 | 42.84 | 49.14 | 59.84 | 83.05 | 183.80 | 296.93 | 426.90 | 580.61 |
2024-11-17 | 186.04 | 57.69 | 65.71 | 85.60 | 118.52 | 317.16 | 656.82 | 875.18 | 1133.03 |
2024-11-24 | 186.95 | 61.70 | 79.34 | 90.72 | 123.59 | 300.89 | 511.14 | 779.83 | 1147.11 |
2024-12-01 | 251.28 | 61.45 | 75.22 | 93.25 | 140.54 | 474.76 | 1021.37 | 1464.12 | 2164.49 |
2024-12-08 | 254.65 | 67.60 | 79.67 | 100.56 | 148.39 | 486.85 | 915.35 | 1395.41 | 1704.13 |
2024-12-15 | 168.42 | 45.67 | 53.86 | 65.44 | 99.82 | 315.59 | 587.15 | 968.15 | 1455.44 |
2024-12-22 | 110.66 | 35.31 | 40.96 | 53.23 | 73.47 | 184.82 | 356.52 | 537.92 | 721.46 |
2024-12-29 | 309.36 | 96.28 | 112.31 | 139.69 | 195.64 | 554.81 | 987.61 | 1296.14 | 1575.39 |
2025-01-05 | 412.80 | 119.21 | 150.54 | 180.69 | 251.49 | 782.42 | 1380.74 | 1942.31 | 3041.75 |
2025-01-12 | 530.44 | 147.13 | 172.40 | 226.33 | 325.93 | 958.05 | 1625.16 | 2492.40 | 3855.47 |
2025-01-19 | 543.46 | 178.07 | 201.36 | 250.19 | 348.20 | 915.62 | 1583.46 | 2021.41 | 2680.58 |
2025-01-26 | 697.91 | 225.04 | 265.29 | 327.56 | 442.77 | 1069.65 | 1960.59 | 3345.89 | 4111.52 |
2025-02-02 | 710.84 | 188.87 | 236.20 | 298.10 | 453.86 | 1132.59 | 1747.39 | 2669.04 | 3825.85 |
2025-02-09 | 785.36 | 272.99 | 314.93 | 367.17 | 519.91 | 1301.85 | 2348.97 | 3478.52 | 4852.57 |
2025-02-16 | 770.38 | 219.49 | 264.17 | 343.04 | 483.20 | 1201.64 | 2424.59 | 3455.67 | 5272.31 |
2025-02-23 | 902.73 | 313.64 | 354.51 | 435.06 | 593.45 | 1321.14 | 2670.41 | 3797.81 | 5023.51 |
2025-03-02 | 861.82 | 244.90 | 309.63 | 375.66 | 532.73 | 1401.47 | 2104.50 | 3239.37 | 4464.36 |
2025-03-09 | 1019.16 | 325.89 | 377.19 | 470.14 | 661.37 | 1687.83 | 2951.65 | 5220.85 | 8115.18 |
2025-03-16 | 1054.81 | 332.15 | 387.63 | 486.61 | 705.93 | 1606.97 | 2589.85 | 3819.64 | 6166.19 |
2025-03-23 | 1191.17 | 353.14 | 440.92 | 532.63 | 761.81 | 2049.62 | 3490.16 | 5360.00 | 7925.64 |
2025-03-30 | 1320.72 | 436.29 | 508.72 | 602.11 | 805.67 | 2136.19 | 3771.18 | 5694.91 | 7608.96 |
2025-04-06 | 1209.86 | 405.72 | 475.30 | 589.82 | 794.00 | 2018.91 | 3510.79 | 5823.48 | 8632.71 |
2025-04-13 | 1191.93 | 461.76 | 540.43 | 627.73 | 827.85 | 1757.19 | 2842.42 | 3807.37 | 5082.35 |
2025-04-20 | 1172.25 | 415.24 | 523.44 | 608.95 | 839.51 | 1826.31 | 2960.50 | 4029.06 | 5209.82 |
2025-04-27 | 1139.94 | 431.50 | 499.53 | 595.33 | 826.26 | 1802.13 | 2748.84 | 3904.22 | 4789.59 |
2025-05-04 | 1159.20 | 389.69 | 468.94 | 576.61 | 800.29 | 1877.47 | 2889.15 | 4224.29 | 5984.37 |
2025-05-11 | 1057.59 | 356.67 | 397.19 | 471.11 | 696.07 | 1797.02 | 3218.01 | 4069.54 | 5675.68 |
2025-05-18 | 877.34 | 263.79 | 348.31 | 400.36 | 590.83 | 1459.02 | 2443.06 | 4046.61 | 6044.74 |
2025-05-25 | 803.53 | 256.31 | 295.48 | 356.02 | 510.35 | 1294.89 | 2010.72 | 2592.52 | 3944.04 |
2025-06-01 | 653.53 | 238.80 | 294.74 | 334.12 | 459.82 | 1077.91 | 1798.20 | 2366.17 | 3896.01 |
2025-06-08 | 588.85 | 200.93 | 228.07 | 272.23 | 405.29 | 963.58 | 1514.38 | 2591.06 | 3761.37 |
2025-06-15 | 444.04 | 141.13 | 158.67 | 205.19 | 281.86 | 811.99 | 1295.15 | 1988.40 | 2749.05 |
2025-06-22 | 349.38 | 92.89 | 123.83 | 150.61 | 224.63 | 567.04 | 1068.80 | 1743.38 | 2690.78 |
2025-06-29 | 290.11 | 101.06 | 112.61 | 134.43 | 187.65 | 494.42 | 882.59 | 1293.26 | 2305.28 |
2025-07-06 | 255.51 | 76.57 | 93.41 | 113.98 | 154.61 | 463.68 | 800.79 | 1079.13 | 1418.51 |
2025-07-13 | 224.94 | 64.06 | 81.53 | 97.52 | 139.64 | 379.01 | 675.84 | 938.14 | 1242.32 |
2025-07-20 | 190.91 | 56.75 | 65.14 | 82.41 | 122.03 | 314.74 | 537.22 | 845.46 | 1012.94 |
2025-07-27 | 154.24 | 60.24 | 68.37 | 78.38 | 102.25 | 234.64 | 392.96 | 533.21 | 730.39 |
2025-08-03 | 108.75 | 41.56 | 47.42 | 55.68 | 74.90 | 160.44 | 240.36 | 297.25 | 372.32 |
2025-08-10 | 108.93 | 31.78 | 38.89 | 49.37 | 70.55 | 186.90 | 322.57 | 557.34 | 778.68 |
2025-08-17 | 90.14 | 30.71 | 35.53 | 42.72 | 58.33 | 149.90 | 254.48 | 383.23 | 489.39 |
2025-08-24 | 94.38 | 28.53 | 34.57 | 41.03 | 59.95 | 145.14 | 240.63 | 314.54 | 440.28 |
2025-08-31 | 80.95 | 27.51 | 33.31 | 40.10 | 56.10 | 129.02 | 209.12 | 332.48 | 455.39 |
2025-09-07 | 92.93 | 31.49 | 38.53 | 46.97 | 62.85 | 141.46 | 215.19 | 310.08 | 385.37 |
2025-09-14 | 91.34 | 38.59 | 45.02 | 52.95 | 66.72 | 138.10 | 205.09 | 280.72 | 371.76 |
2025-09-21 | 86.22 | 29.41 | 34.98 | 41.35 | 59.40 | 131.92 | 189.62 | 268.44 | 318.96 |
2025-09-28 | 92.59 | 28.79 | 34.88 | 42.23 | 62.42 | 146.66 | 235.66 | 292.64 | 344.68 |