Prediction 374
Modelo | Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components |
---|---|
Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for unseen data from the period of 2024-06-16 to 2025-10-05 in the state MG.
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date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-06-16 | 19263.41 | - | 19012.54 | - | - | - | - | 19516.71 | - |
2024-06-23 | 16769.62 | - | 16535.98 | - | - | - | - | 17005.68 | - |
2024-06-30 | 12718.87 | - | 12516.10 | - | - | - | - | 12924.06 | - |
2024-07-07 | 10085.32 | - | 9905.24 | - | - | - | - | 10267.81 | - |
2024-07-14 | 7479.29 | - | 7324.71 | - | - | - | - | 7636.26 | - |
2024-07-21 | 7063.08 | - | 6912.98 | - | - | - | - | 7215.58 | - |
2024-07-28 | 6086.66 | - | 5947.56 | - | - | - | - | 6228.15 | - |
2024-08-04 | 6030.92 | - | 5892.48 | - | - | - | - | 6171.75 | - |
2024-08-11 | 5683.76 | - | 5549.45 | - | - | - | - | 5820.45 | - |
2024-08-18 | 5962.24 | - | 5824.59 | - | - | - | - | 6102.27 | - |
2024-08-25 | 5180.50 | - | 5052.41 | - | - | - | - | 5310.97 | - |
2024-09-01 | 5477.66 | - | 5345.87 | - | - | - | - | 5611.83 | - |
2024-09-08 | 6148.32 | - | 6008.51 | - | - | - | - | 6290.52 | - |
2024-09-15 | 6623.95 | - | 6478.70 | - | - | - | - | 6771.60 | - |
2024-09-22 | 6309.50 | - | 6167.82 | - | - | - | - | 6453.58 | - |
2024-09-29 | 6779.79 | - | 6632.81 | - | - | - | - | 6929.18 | - |
2024-10-06 | 6421.14 | - | 6278.17 | - | - | - | - | 6566.50 | - |
2024-10-13 | 7631.28 | - | 7475.12 | - | - | - | - | 7789.85 | - |
2024-10-20 | 7350.03 | - | 7196.85 | - | - | - | - | 7505.62 | - |
2024-10-27 | 7641.80 | - | 7485.53 | - | - | - | - | 7800.47 | - |
2024-11-03 | 9457.80 | - | 9283.53 | - | - | - | - | 9634.48 | - |
2024-11-10 | 9820.57 | - | 9642.91 | - | - | - | - | 10000.64 | - |
2024-11-17 | 12543.98 | - | 12342.64 | - | - | - | - | 12747.75 | - |
2024-11-24 | 13316.70 | - | 13109.10 | - | - | - | - | 13526.72 | - |
2024-12-01 | 15412.25 | - | 15188.52 | - | - | - | - | 15638.41 | - |
2024-12-08 | 16835.92 | - | 16601.81 | - | - | - | - | 17072.46 | - |
2024-12-15 | 15900.44 | - | 15673.09 | - | - | - | - | 16130.22 | - |
2024-12-22 | 18262.45 | - | 18024.94 | - | - | - | - | 18502.27 | - |
2024-12-29 | 79254.15 | - | 1384.50 | - | - | - | - | 459994.36 | - |
2025-01-05 | 103444.28 | - | 1807.09 | - | - | - | - | 600394.79 | - |
2025-01-12 | 137231.85 | - | 2397.34 | - | - | - | - | 796498.84 | - |
2025-01-19 | 181856.39 | - | 3176.91 | - | - | - | - | 1055500.40 | - |
2025-01-26 | 222728.63 | - | 3890.93 | - | - | - | - | 1292723.99 | - |
2025-02-02 | 271948.37 | - | 4750.77 | - | - | - | - | 1578396.63 | - |
2025-02-09 | 319530.78 | - | 5582.01 | - | - | - | - | 1854566.21 | - |
2025-02-16 | 363193.42 | - | 6344.78 | - | - | - | - | 2107985.34 | - |
2025-02-23 | 391827.92 | - | 6845.01 | - | - | - | - | 2274180.76 | - |
2025-03-02 | 423452.06 | - | 7397.47 | - | - | - | - | 2457728.12 | - |
2025-03-09 | 424906.72 | - | 7422.88 | - | - | - | - | 2466170.99 | - |
2025-03-16 | 439761.13 | - | 7682.38 | - | - | - | - | 2552386.35 | - |
2025-03-23 | 373678.57 | - | 6527.95 | - | - | - | - | 2168841.45 | - |
2025-03-30 | 418673.12 | - | 7313.98 | - | - | - | - | 2429991.02 | - |
2025-04-06 | 406686.59 | - | 7104.58 | - | - | - | - | 2360420.82 | - |
2025-04-13 | 349402.08 | - | 6103.85 | - | - | - | - | 2027940.03 | - |
2025-04-20 | 312579.37 | - | 5460.58 | - | - | - | - | 1814220.03 | - |
2025-04-27 | 289214.53 | - | 5052.40 | - | - | - | - | 1678609.87 | - |
2025-05-04 | 255855.06 | - | 4469.63 | - | - | - | - | 1484990.57 | - |
2025-05-11 | 213071.24 | - | 3722.22 | - | - | - | - | 1236672.21 | - |
2025-05-18 | 151601.99 | - | 2648.38 | - | - | - | - | 879903.45 | - |
2025-05-25 | 96034.79 | - | 1677.65 | - | - | - | - | 557389.97 | - |
2025-06-01 | 84245.50 | - | 1471.70 | - | - | - | - | 488964.65 | - |
2025-06-08 | 62003.30 | - | 1083.14 | - | - | - | - | 359869.85 | - |
2025-06-15 | 60457.75 | - | 1056.11 | - | - | - | - | 350900.56 | - |
2025-06-22 | 52631.05 | - | 919.38 | - | - | - | - | 305474.18 | - |
2025-06-29 | 39917.86 | - | 697.29 | - | - | - | - | 231686.48 | - |
2025-07-06 | 31652.54 | - | 552.90 | - | - | - | - | 183714.34 | - |
2025-07-13 | 23473.55 | - | 410.02 | - | - | - | - | 136243.30 | - |
2025-07-20 | 22167.31 | - | 387.20 | - | - | - | - | 128661.79 | - |
2025-07-27 | 19102.82 | - | 333.66 | - | - | - | - | 110875.42 | - |
2025-08-03 | 18927.90 | - | 330.61 | - | - | - | - | 109860.18 | - |
2025-08-10 | 17838.35 | - | 311.57 | - | - | - | - | 103536.38 | - |
2025-08-17 | 18712.35 | - | 326.84 | - | - | - | - | 108609.10 | - |
2025-08-24 | 16258.89 | - | 283.98 | - | - | - | - | 94369.18 | - |
2025-08-31 | 17191.50 | - | 300.27 | - | - | - | - | 99782.07 | - |
2025-09-07 | 19296.36 | - | 337.05 | - | - | - | - | 111998.73 | - |
2025-09-14 | 20789.14 | - | 363.12 | - | - | - | - | 120662.82 | - |
2025-09-21 | 19802.23 | - | 345.88 | - | - | - | - | 114934.83 | - |
2025-09-28 | 21278.24 | - | 371.67 | - | - | - | - | 123501.57 | - |
2025-10-05 | 20152.60 | - | 352.00 | - | - | - | - | 116968.41 | - |