Prediction 3740
Model | Dengue oracle - M2 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | Goiás |
Description:
Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in GO
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-10-09 | 239.30 | 69.52 | 91.18 | 104.91 | 143.35 | 388.04 | 669.57 | 932.95 | 1180.33 |
2022-10-16 | 315.99 | 95.65 | 115.06 | 134.58 | 207.98 | 491.91 | 868.97 | 1087.28 | 1502.96 |
2022-10-23 | 313.04 | 98.60 | 111.30 | 143.53 | 212.48 | 486.77 | 807.47 | 1153.19 | 1634.31 |
2022-10-30 | 320.69 | 110.73 | 124.98 | 155.39 | 210.56 | 526.36 | 809.95 | 1063.20 | 1679.68 |
2022-11-06 | 472.32 | 134.46 | 173.19 | 208.37 | 302.36 | 749.71 | 1173.55 | 1552.85 | 2017.02 |
2022-11-13 | 570.54 | 198.38 | 223.27 | 268.93 | 375.16 | 968.75 | 1578.93 | 2253.87 | 2790.22 |
2022-11-20 | 729.39 | 250.16 | 311.81 | 357.84 | 499.63 | 1130.37 | 1736.50 | 2250.95 | 3452.38 |
2022-11-27 | 817.99 | 277.35 | 327.78 | 409.64 | 590.76 | 1212.74 | 1936.20 | 2662.29 | 3715.33 |
2022-12-04 | 1017.86 | 331.46 | 395.61 | 459.38 | 651.96 | 1577.45 | 2769.87 | 3746.24 | 6045.86 |
2022-12-11 | 1049.84 | 313.56 | 422.20 | 497.53 | 682.38 | 1610.00 | 2826.93 | 4302.70 | 8107.08 |
2022-12-18 | 732.55 | 219.85 | 248.72 | 321.34 | 467.53 | 1156.59 | 2019.52 | 2826.44 | 3477.41 |
2022-12-25 | 491.33 | 154.46 | 188.11 | 223.43 | 321.27 | 798.22 | 1290.65 | 1724.50 | 2557.22 |
2023-01-01 | 1309.74 | 529.58 | 608.76 | 724.36 | 937.15 | 2005.12 | 3150.53 | 4241.68 | 5266.63 |
2023-01-08 | 1504.24 | 619.78 | 686.76 | 809.00 | 1083.44 | 2116.16 | 3061.06 | 4051.80 | 4865.57 |
2023-01-15 | 1913.19 | 791.25 | 903.24 | 1069.35 | 1388.65 | 2759.97 | 3955.49 | 5118.60 | 5903.11 |
2023-01-22 | 2157.85 | 866.15 | 988.74 | 1174.00 | 1573.49 | 3054.05 | 4349.13 | 5994.28 | 8328.48 |
2023-01-29 | 2390.94 | 1013.28 | 1142.02 | 1388.95 | 1756.56 | 3283.05 | 4685.86 | 5919.27 | 7577.24 |
2023-02-05 | 2450.93 | 1009.93 | 1240.48 | 1474.65 | 1798.25 | 3760.02 | 5477.71 | 7000.06 | 8232.54 |
2023-02-12 | 2528.69 | 1175.97 | 1308.80 | 1464.80 | 1947.80 | 3261.94 | 4242.65 | 5274.95 | 6246.77 |
2023-02-19 | 2304.92 | 1083.00 | 1243.63 | 1382.52 | 1753.41 | 3109.56 | 4133.87 | 4865.09 | 5797.77 |
2023-02-26 | 2822.43 | 1322.08 | 1506.36 | 1695.77 | 2132.37 | 3815.70 | 5150.46 | 6334.44 | 7008.83 |
2023-03-05 | 2882.68 | 1516.57 | 1632.52 | 1838.19 | 2204.84 | 3818.01 | 5287.71 | 6244.84 | 7435.96 |
2023-03-12 | 2990.15 | 1603.38 | 1764.07 | 1948.72 | 2371.24 | 3826.07 | 4941.16 | 5654.04 | 6450.11 |
2023-03-19 | 2982.46 | 1577.66 | 1745.94 | 1930.75 | 2333.17 | 3714.43 | 4805.07 | 5382.29 | 6487.70 |
2023-03-26 | 2967.02 | 1500.88 | 1613.35 | 1845.02 | 2388.34 | 3935.68 | 5361.90 | 6328.46 | 7969.78 |
2023-04-02 | 3247.84 | 1746.43 | 1902.38 | 2194.73 | 2612.97 | 4201.59 | 5318.25 | 6328.15 | 7362.15 |
2023-04-09 | 3139.12 | 1496.77 | 1710.60 | 1937.38 | 2410.17 | 4075.76 | 5332.99 | 6172.87 | 8040.96 |
2023-04-16 | 3092.77 | 1689.95 | 1853.64 | 2030.60 | 2448.58 | 3924.42 | 5015.02 | 6439.27 | 7619.78 |
2023-04-23 | 2900.90 | 1544.96 | 1694.32 | 1941.48 | 2319.32 | 3566.18 | 4633.64 | 5683.28 | 6547.26 |
2023-04-30 | 2904.99 | 1607.65 | 1794.49 | 2010.63 | 2380.78 | 3840.30 | 4729.52 | 5730.32 | 6648.71 |
2023-05-07 | 2602.76 | 1577.87 | 1671.05 | 1806.69 | 2143.64 | 3343.47 | 4341.37 | 5032.16 | 6028.96 |
2023-05-14 | 2514.32 | 1353.17 | 1482.36 | 1640.64 | 2042.47 | 3215.55 | 4101.62 | 4736.26 | 5462.83 |
2023-05-21 | 1969.19 | 1066.91 | 1115.89 | 1275.91 | 1549.59 | 2515.23 | 3286.81 | 4015.11 | 4709.44 |
2023-05-28 | 1784.52 | 1018.59 | 1089.51 | 1195.86 | 1417.10 | 2292.85 | 3052.01 | 3879.95 | 4668.82 |
2023-06-04 | 1532.92 | 697.14 | 808.50 | 901.51 | 1153.94 | 2126.82 | 2725.41 | 3305.87 | 3814.23 |
2023-06-11 | 1271.16 | 675.46 | 737.61 | 795.89 | 979.74 | 1703.14 | 2220.36 | 2701.36 | 3428.55 |
2023-06-18 | 1237.52 | 528.16 | 619.91 | 710.35 | 911.77 | 1676.13 | 2447.12 | 3438.23 | 4047.34 |
2023-06-25 | 872.99 | 449.62 | 491.14 | 559.97 | 685.97 | 1169.63 | 1486.88 | 1731.94 | 1955.14 |
2023-07-02 | 742.37 | 350.92 | 393.81 | 466.58 | 568.99 | 982.18 | 1244.55 | 1577.72 | 1828.43 |
2023-07-09 | 614.05 | 280.44 | 321.82 | 372.08 | 466.70 | 852.04 | 1200.87 | 1603.11 | 2014.91 |
2023-07-16 | 544.56 | 251.66 | 275.71 | 316.38 | 407.03 | 787.68 | 1115.38 | 1333.72 | 1661.28 |
2023-07-23 | 514.15 | 212.52 | 254.27 | 284.55 | 366.60 | 714.95 | 1016.42 | 1212.02 | 1426.16 |
2023-07-30 | 468.26 | 196.25 | 218.92 | 254.33 | 344.18 | 675.78 | 966.15 | 1332.27 | 1715.65 |
2023-08-06 | 354.65 | 151.53 | 181.79 | 203.54 | 260.16 | 513.24 | 732.18 | 950.58 | 1097.37 |
2023-08-13 | 393.55 | 157.13 | 176.02 | 214.91 | 281.47 | 535.43 | 810.57 | 1058.26 | 1247.64 |
2023-08-20 | 362.74 | 136.78 | 154.90 | 174.26 | 255.23 | 585.12 | 878.13 | 1110.57 | 1624.40 |
2023-08-27 | 341.72 | 126.35 | 145.42 | 175.95 | 234.68 | 515.73 | 816.37 | 1168.33 | 1526.41 |
2023-09-03 | 327.63 | 118.57 | 139.49 | 174.59 | 219.26 | 470.06 | 725.04 | 980.13 | 1289.39 |
2023-09-10 | 331.87 | 120.50 | 143.55 | 170.37 | 217.81 | 501.45 | 757.52 | 973.85 | 1211.49 |
2023-09-17 | 379.21 | 135.24 | 149.72 | 184.12 | 249.53 | 602.19 | 916.39 | 1194.70 | 1486.95 |
2023-09-24 | 443.23 | 123.94 | 145.20 | 179.05 | 257.25 | 726.63 | 1307.20 | 1855.85 | 2505.42 |
2023-10-01 | 487.66 | 147.92 | 181.80 | 229.29 | 319.88 | 797.36 | 1337.94 | 1788.76 | 2170.61 |