Prediction 3741
Model | Dengue oracle - M2 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | Goiás |
Description:
Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in GO
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-10-08 | 417.50 | 181.24 | 209.33 | 240.54 | 309.56 | 588.85 | 851.00 | 1106.18 | 1335.35 |
2023-10-15 | 467.87 | 181.95 | 217.04 | 259.58 | 339.69 | 680.88 | 959.91 | 1206.16 | 1480.98 |
2023-10-22 | 507.43 | 216.34 | 247.89 | 281.06 | 355.12 | 716.08 | 1034.21 | 1397.07 | 1642.87 |
2023-10-29 | 514.12 | 210.63 | 243.93 | 296.54 | 363.40 | 713.40 | 990.62 | 1297.78 | 1506.98 |
2023-11-05 | 664.88 | 327.73 | 357.90 | 405.16 | 520.89 | 966.79 | 1358.10 | 1664.95 | 1934.81 |
2023-11-12 | 748.66 | 354.69 | 396.91 | 464.56 | 574.03 | 982.98 | 1352.02 | 1694.33 | 2002.89 |
2023-11-19 | 862.27 | 394.41 | 474.45 | 540.33 | 660.87 | 1196.28 | 1713.62 | 2341.14 | 2891.05 |
2023-11-26 | 995.50 | 450.23 | 497.13 | 587.57 | 755.23 | 1376.96 | 1773.03 | 2130.85 | 2493.98 |
2023-12-03 | 1215.03 | 505.27 | 596.91 | 711.92 | 920.12 | 1675.10 | 2383.24 | 2926.04 | 3881.45 |
2023-12-10 | 1253.10 | 533.25 | 585.47 | 704.66 | 928.87 | 1770.28 | 2652.61 | 3251.26 | 3737.08 |
2023-12-17 | 797.74 | 366.94 | 404.54 | 446.72 | 601.80 | 1129.89 | 1598.22 | 1939.65 | 2316.57 |
2023-12-24 | 585.63 | 249.69 | 280.84 | 313.77 | 430.02 | 821.49 | 1250.67 | 1444.81 | 1923.87 |
2023-12-31 | 1724.54 | 863.83 | 956.59 | 1098.11 | 1339.50 | 2181.05 | 2861.93 | 3610.87 | 4584.61 |
2024-01-07 | 2061.77 | 1153.67 | 1234.74 | 1350.75 | 1626.38 | 2577.61 | 3200.38 | 3946.50 | 4340.91 |
2024-01-14 | 2318.00 | 1307.20 | 1428.40 | 1567.68 | 1872.62 | 2959.91 | 3643.85 | 4195.35 | 5061.58 |
2024-01-21 | 2675.41 | 1538.00 | 1637.54 | 1836.36 | 2215.18 | 3400.72 | 4483.71 | 5319.76 | 6037.06 |
2024-01-28 | 2942.05 | 1547.91 | 1717.04 | 1921.53 | 2346.18 | 3824.59 | 4677.66 | 5520.49 | 6586.30 |
2024-02-04 | 3173.76 | 1781.86 | 1964.95 | 2225.25 | 2633.37 | 3869.05 | 4721.09 | 5498.58 | 6426.18 |
2024-02-11 | 3249.95 | 2088.29 | 2197.42 | 2425.19 | 2721.04 | 3971.20 | 4940.35 | 5609.94 | 6624.88 |
2024-02-18 | 3075.20 | 1851.98 | 1940.65 | 2140.71 | 2578.16 | 3826.18 | 4814.85 | 5509.28 | 6461.83 |
2024-02-25 | 3645.84 | 2173.43 | 2382.96 | 2554.58 | 3036.64 | 4475.96 | 5492.74 | 6064.54 | 6560.33 |
2024-03-03 | 3719.30 | 2275.05 | 2491.61 | 2717.22 | 3122.90 | 4547.65 | 5270.45 | 6018.82 | 6519.22 |
2024-03-10 | 4024.09 | 2650.24 | 2839.53 | 3014.30 | 3440.55 | 4699.68 | 5464.87 | 6160.79 | 6529.73 |
2024-03-17 | 4301.23 | 2793.04 | 2980.74 | 3294.92 | 3742.01 | 5170.89 | 6007.21 | 6495.84 | 7559.25 |
2024-03-24 | 4223.89 | 2719.98 | 2879.05 | 3113.85 | 3529.06 | 5067.32 | 6161.90 | 7161.79 | 7736.49 |
2024-03-31 | 4303.24 | 2701.97 | 2858.75 | 3168.93 | 3592.03 | 5091.17 | 6067.93 | 6780.53 | 7199.20 |
2024-04-07 | 4629.97 | 2925.41 | 3111.45 | 3408.11 | 3900.16 | 5559.91 | 6558.99 | 7315.96 | 7851.24 |
2024-04-14 | 4321.03 | 2748.58 | 2972.98 | 3265.84 | 3652.57 | 5066.03 | 5890.30 | 6571.35 | 7324.75 |
2024-04-21 | 4139.20 | 2581.13 | 2780.69 | 2992.21 | 3484.63 | 4985.50 | 5947.65 | 6591.00 | 7337.15 |
2024-04-28 | 4151.41 | 2904.64 | 3098.07 | 3274.15 | 3701.63 | 4977.04 | 5767.65 | 6251.60 | 6635.84 |
2024-05-05 | 4039.43 | 2635.80 | 2813.12 | 3044.50 | 3418.05 | 4663.63 | 5550.43 | 5916.89 | 6403.20 |
2024-05-12 | 3449.88 | 2238.87 | 2407.87 | 2625.66 | 2987.72 | 3967.00 | 4561.79 | 5145.73 | 5687.83 |
2024-05-19 | 2848.82 | 1747.88 | 1960.47 | 2047.03 | 2440.77 | 3323.56 | 4005.35 | 4439.30 | 4803.15 |
2024-05-26 | 2432.69 | 1519.78 | 1637.74 | 1758.14 | 2047.60 | 2858.92 | 3408.97 | 3702.49 | 3934.81 |
2024-06-02 | 2054.11 | 1253.97 | 1333.84 | 1445.55 | 1692.58 | 2460.81 | 2916.80 | 3153.56 | 3571.98 |
2024-06-09 | 1777.34 | 1116.43 | 1192.25 | 1317.30 | 1499.99 | 2131.25 | 2493.68 | 2848.38 | 3232.49 |
2024-06-16 | 1606.03 | 950.98 | 1014.22 | 1143.58 | 1343.88 | 1900.31 | 2276.24 | 2630.24 | 2907.31 |
2024-06-23 | 1215.28 | 694.17 | 784.12 | 884.14 | 1018.86 | 1474.83 | 1870.77 | 2067.53 | 2545.07 |
2024-06-30 | 1045.54 | 609.00 | 682.32 | 742.21 | 855.25 | 1249.47 | 1572.87 | 1836.35 | 2006.52 |
2024-07-07 | 913.03 | 524.17 | 571.52 | 614.35 | 746.26 | 1121.75 | 1322.87 | 1548.64 | 1798.61 |
2024-07-14 | 779.67 | 446.19 | 479.77 | 538.92 | 647.48 | 1005.36 | 1272.25 | 1481.94 | 1793.07 |
2024-07-21 | 672.07 | 388.28 | 421.13 | 457.75 | 557.56 | 812.70 | 982.28 | 1112.40 | 1278.08 |
2024-07-28 | 567.11 | 315.53 | 339.93 | 379.36 | 443.02 | 731.49 | 959.17 | 1213.70 | 1426.25 |
2024-08-04 | 479.93 | 267.54 | 294.20 | 321.28 | 384.30 | 598.59 | 768.97 | 912.78 | 1014.92 |
2024-08-11 | 525.97 | 286.49 | 309.23 | 345.46 | 410.52 | 672.05 | 915.48 | 1055.96 | 1171.17 |
2024-08-18 | 478.05 | 240.24 | 272.81 | 299.99 | 375.78 | 603.14 | 799.30 | 1015.75 | 1188.75 |
2024-08-25 | 410.00 | 195.93 | 217.85 | 249.09 | 310.74 | 560.47 | 782.95 | 1020.09 | 1218.17 |
2024-09-01 | 420.73 | 225.19 | 250.67 | 279.53 | 331.73 | 587.16 | 751.79 | 981.29 | 1138.00 |
2024-09-08 | 489.74 | 244.01 | 268.01 | 302.92 | 378.73 | 684.56 | 967.80 | 1125.11 | 1312.10 |
2024-09-15 | 452.72 | 203.25 | 227.30 | 264.87 | 328.94 | 622.87 | 874.02 | 1236.41 | 1604.73 |
2024-09-22 | 454.31 | 238.07 | 256.78 | 287.47 | 344.88 | 662.30 | 936.54 | 1153.59 | 1278.68 |
2024-09-29 | 486.87 | 228.63 | 252.85 | 288.50 | 376.94 | 685.73 | 898.29 | 1184.98 | 1439.30 |