Prediction 3742
Model | Dengue oracle - M2 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | Goiás |
Description:
Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in GO
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-10-06 | 425.35 | 158.94 | 186.70 | 225.71 | 305.28 | 587.37 | 766.59 | 886.87 | 1005.55 |
2024-10-13 | 524.30 | 264.80 | 284.62 | 312.50 | 389.12 | 733.06 | 1030.26 | 1366.22 | 1684.85 |
2024-10-20 | 447.00 | 198.96 | 219.10 | 253.99 | 332.59 | 610.28 | 810.18 | 963.39 | 1133.07 |
2024-10-27 | 404.55 | 170.88 | 190.90 | 228.46 | 286.87 | 560.91 | 767.05 | 893.91 | 1173.33 |
2024-11-03 | 546.09 | 255.59 | 283.50 | 322.13 | 423.12 | 766.92 | 1025.23 | 1150.32 | 1421.50 |
2024-11-10 | 523.78 | 245.71 | 276.03 | 327.80 | 408.84 | 707.33 | 952.65 | 1170.63 | 1407.29 |
2024-11-17 | 536.24 | 246.60 | 273.16 | 317.50 | 403.65 | 733.74 | 968.04 | 1150.83 | 1435.95 |
2024-11-24 | 575.84 | 245.26 | 295.19 | 339.74 | 434.94 | 748.33 | 1014.88 | 1225.31 | 1472.50 |
2024-12-01 | 725.10 | 318.50 | 353.56 | 415.28 | 542.55 | 990.52 | 1327.97 | 1570.41 | 1922.69 |
2024-12-08 | 657.78 | 290.40 | 325.44 | 381.61 | 490.56 | 918.94 | 1277.83 | 1569.66 | 1894.12 |
2024-12-15 | 489.65 | 182.74 | 215.17 | 253.48 | 342.41 | 722.04 | 1119.40 | 1561.06 | 2084.45 |
2024-12-22 | 513.62 | 217.15 | 240.23 | 281.19 | 360.53 | 767.71 | 1096.97 | 1314.69 | 1700.77 |
2024-12-29 | 1172.48 | 511.26 | 578.33 | 658.74 | 899.89 | 1526.85 | 2139.42 | 2691.15 | 3064.47 |
2025-01-05 | 1701.43 | 812.87 | 905.01 | 1040.28 | 1257.75 | 2254.07 | 2819.81 | 3298.36 | 3686.60 |
2025-01-12 | 1969.33 | 1005.61 | 1085.40 | 1239.15 | 1517.11 | 2557.71 | 3199.92 | 3915.73 | 4363.37 |
2025-01-19 | 2038.69 | 1016.91 | 1129.05 | 1312.84 | 1625.58 | 2804.30 | 3689.48 | 4210.79 | 4875.79 |
2025-01-26 | 2238.35 | 1020.37 | 1167.52 | 1366.90 | 1715.61 | 3037.85 | 3951.58 | 4736.11 | 5157.53 |
2025-02-02 | 2438.63 | 1195.82 | 1340.47 | 1555.39 | 1898.98 | 3202.87 | 4225.91 | 5028.62 | 5644.74 |
2025-02-09 | 2622.18 | 1414.34 | 1577.20 | 1788.99 | 2121.84 | 3262.64 | 4179.86 | 4753.99 | 5295.19 |
2025-02-16 | 2384.58 | 1272.88 | 1424.93 | 1612.18 | 1901.88 | 3113.59 | 3844.35 | 4412.65 | 5065.14 |
2025-02-23 | 2875.27 | 1539.81 | 1658.30 | 1858.63 | 2254.95 | 3631.72 | 4637.47 | 5308.76 | 5815.17 |
2025-03-02 | 2858.54 | 1649.20 | 1758.96 | 1984.11 | 2297.31 | 3546.92 | 4278.67 | 4956.45 | 5547.88 |
2025-03-09 | 2892.26 | 1675.66 | 1762.27 | 1986.21 | 2384.67 | 3628.74 | 4383.47 | 5171.74 | 5670.96 |
2025-03-16 | 2855.44 | 1579.51 | 1758.25 | 1937.48 | 2307.41 | 3454.41 | 4254.10 | 4689.21 | 5352.92 |
2025-03-23 | 2578.60 | 1521.40 | 1602.72 | 1808.13 | 2113.98 | 3191.46 | 3852.70 | 4221.22 | 5004.03 |
2025-03-30 | 2659.53 | 1478.69 | 1599.66 | 1782.44 | 2117.93 | 3191.99 | 4055.38 | 4765.55 | 5392.09 |
2025-04-06 | 2679.91 | 1547.65 | 1685.73 | 1821.81 | 2149.59 | 3296.42 | 4058.06 | 4524.97 | 5239.81 |
2025-04-13 | 2540.05 | 1438.79 | 1554.91 | 1717.41 | 2018.60 | 3146.66 | 3958.67 | 4462.31 | 4991.17 |
2025-04-20 | 2131.24 | 1229.45 | 1343.71 | 1504.17 | 1789.61 | 2612.45 | 3154.13 | 3536.52 | 4035.09 |
2025-04-27 | 2345.16 | 1389.29 | 1482.49 | 1590.61 | 1892.35 | 2938.55 | 3729.13 | 4236.19 | 4654.66 |
2025-05-04 | 2186.74 | 1211.87 | 1366.09 | 1527.45 | 1788.21 | 2666.79 | 3233.61 | 3719.56 | 4285.93 |
2025-05-11 | 1960.78 | 1135.28 | 1206.62 | 1346.23 | 1615.32 | 2403.89 | 3021.55 | 3530.28 | 4153.73 |
2025-05-18 | 1570.27 | 879.38 | 963.26 | 1061.24 | 1270.35 | 2021.14 | 2437.66 | 2811.14 | 3181.32 |
2025-05-25 | 1367.73 | 766.91 | 872.51 | 949.83 | 1120.24 | 1692.80 | 2210.48 | 2666.19 | 3185.91 |
2025-06-01 | 1206.69 | 683.77 | 736.40 | 833.22 | 979.78 | 1514.89 | 1801.91 | 1995.77 | 2258.53 |
2025-06-08 | 1079.63 | 640.41 | 706.30 | 786.12 | 905.92 | 1295.16 | 1569.99 | 1828.27 | 2102.14 |
2025-06-15 | 955.55 | 508.28 | 562.75 | 634.37 | 764.46 | 1170.70 | 1441.91 | 1682.22 | 1898.86 |
2025-06-22 | 684.71 | 384.48 | 437.93 | 481.12 | 558.96 | 841.24 | 984.37 | 1104.67 | 1214.68 |
2025-06-29 | 677.49 | 384.89 | 411.16 | 470.89 | 558.86 | 833.87 | 1018.38 | 1127.56 | 1274.48 |
2025-07-06 | 542.19 | 289.73 | 321.38 | 365.44 | 444.03 | 664.01 | 844.81 | 925.10 | 1056.68 |
2025-07-13 | 465.76 | 222.46 | 257.05 | 292.63 | 365.34 | 602.37 | 765.36 | 916.89 | 1097.19 |
2025-07-20 | 419.82 | 212.36 | 241.82 | 268.57 | 335.82 | 563.34 | 711.46 | 826.09 | 943.65 |
2025-07-27 | 429.02 | 217.40 | 235.43 | 266.71 | 341.17 | 527.94 | 677.47 | 768.90 | 874.95 |
2025-08-03 | 379.35 | 180.46 | 202.50 | 231.41 | 296.95 | 508.83 | 626.56 | 745.96 | 864.20 |
2025-08-10 | 399.75 | 193.93 | 223.40 | 250.46 | 315.52 | 531.51 | 666.31 | 790.98 | 924.58 |
2025-08-17 | 360.39 | 163.29 | 182.99 | 214.95 | 267.78 | 461.39 | 591.68 | 718.37 | 788.27 |
2025-08-24 | 315.35 | 152.83 | 169.81 | 185.36 | 244.74 | 435.18 | 540.21 | 665.51 | 766.18 |
2025-08-31 | 320.85 | 156.26 | 177.00 | 198.28 | 246.77 | 420.54 | 514.02 | 628.56 | 687.19 |
2025-09-07 | 395.75 | 162.60 | 185.19 | 226.56 | 291.27 | 530.76 | 725.53 | 895.35 | 1155.99 |
2025-09-14 | 333.98 | 155.33 | 174.70 | 195.69 | 255.56 | 455.72 | 594.12 | 730.27 | 945.30 |
2025-09-21 | 379.57 | 156.34 | 178.74 | 214.29 | 270.36 | 536.51 | 740.16 | 904.28 | 1060.60 |
2025-09-28 | 384.41 | 158.24 | 183.72 | 227.40 | 277.60 | 527.83 | 743.99 | 888.50 | 1116.40 |