Prediction 3743

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Rondônia

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in RO


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 46.01 12.79 15.99 19.23 30.09 80.35 142.03 192.71 258.28
2022-10-16 48.66 11.14 14.37 19.18 28.91 85.70 152.74 218.11 290.46
2022-10-23 52.48 11.78 14.86 20.16 30.98 87.54 143.12 212.58 298.29
2022-10-30 56.36 12.37 15.21 20.21 33.19 100.39 197.29 276.20 369.65
2022-11-06 75.03 16.79 20.50 26.49 40.58 134.41 234.67 364.85 482.97
2022-11-13 102.62 22.84 27.41 36.01 58.56 162.46 282.16 428.66 588.18
2022-11-20 131.14 25.37 32.62 43.36 77.21 240.92 462.29 654.68 1055.78
2022-11-27 142.59 30.46 37.67 48.79 78.34 270.17 456.59 661.00 988.38
2022-12-04 155.49 30.80 36.52 50.40 86.49 305.35 527.03 922.65 1411.94
2022-12-11 149.50 36.01 41.70 57.85 94.20 266.60 443.77 623.22 861.31
2022-12-18 103.03 27.59 32.60 42.47 61.75 187.86 334.56 501.54 679.49
2022-12-25 76.10 14.11 18.58 25.24 41.70 151.33 286.87 470.86 646.99
2023-01-01 185.88 49.38 61.48 72.85 111.88 318.86 539.41 691.27 825.21
2023-01-08 240.30 62.43 73.40 97.47 147.07 392.38 602.05 825.75 985.99
2023-01-15 228.69 59.40 80.08 98.81 148.33 390.76 577.78 826.48 1261.39
2023-01-22 257.74 72.26 88.68 109.97 160.97 423.54 680.20 989.87 1704.29
2023-01-29 284.21 88.25 106.62 134.49 188.57 433.18 665.87 831.10 1193.40
2023-02-05 291.15 90.26 107.82 128.29 181.86 464.44 684.29 898.68 1274.97
2023-02-12 341.44 88.16 109.33 147.65 219.34 544.12 863.09 1051.10 1305.48
2023-02-19 287.25 75.00 97.41 128.74 188.36 505.42 734.64 995.20 1385.40
2023-02-26 335.23 106.44 125.95 150.80 220.58 491.54 717.66 873.04 1096.14
2023-03-05 261.80 92.55 107.12 124.83 178.24 439.20 653.63 864.54 1040.28
2023-03-12 297.13 95.07 111.74 135.99 191.41 485.27 747.94 1027.95 1291.42
2023-03-19 266.09 85.59 99.79 119.04 183.91 429.17 661.76 868.23 1185.87
2023-03-26 248.53 70.02 81.59 107.84 157.92 423.37 664.93 1152.16 1447.82
2023-04-02 211.99 72.58 80.47 96.83 145.71 336.48 506.70 665.29 824.38
2023-04-09 235.45 55.10 78.23 95.04 150.48 357.18 525.89 741.62 996.05
2023-04-16 220.35 70.87 82.84 97.24 147.74 342.15 530.08 644.73 804.64
2023-04-23 190.34 66.35 75.01 87.69 122.70 289.50 471.54 641.93 748.35
2023-04-30 206.76 69.80 82.78 101.71 137.28 311.78 488.40 634.17 776.03
2023-05-07 186.76 56.07 66.90 85.65 130.16 290.65 471.75 593.68 693.61
2023-05-14 175.23 51.80 62.96 78.47 113.51 282.50 455.72 614.05 939.74
2023-05-21 141.58 46.90 54.70 66.36 93.76 221.02 364.02 493.37 644.22
2023-05-28 149.43 37.02 42.76 59.31 89.88 270.65 411.04 628.58 789.27
2023-06-04 118.05 28.84 37.26 45.98 69.42 195.17 328.07 468.57 614.84
2023-06-11 102.53 32.54 38.76 46.84 66.68 151.31 238.54 313.15 425.23
2023-06-18 86.48 26.98 31.14 37.86 56.96 133.66 217.82 285.05 375.73
2023-06-25 78.18 27.57 31.79 37.94 51.00 116.54 195.44 255.21 293.24
2023-07-02 75.27 19.12 23.80 30.26 44.93 112.13 178.25 264.78 324.80
2023-07-09 63.46 16.82 20.64 25.98 39.90 100.18 162.88 207.79 259.87
2023-07-16 57.26 16.47 21.37 26.34 37.18 91.82 142.14 182.74 259.80
2023-07-23 56.83 17.16 21.13 25.68 38.11 93.16 139.40 216.88 263.96
2023-07-30 47.29 13.00 15.69 20.72 30.26 81.57 124.60 171.05 240.26
2023-08-06 53.16 13.56 17.64 20.53 32.40 94.72 144.00 208.95 267.85
2023-08-13 44.86 13.13 15.28 18.66 28.86 75.30 114.64 144.95 175.11
2023-08-20 46.74 14.56 17.29 22.34 30.20 71.33 104.34 136.93 180.05
2023-08-27 47.22 9.85 13.73 18.62 29.15 78.99 135.51 190.79 293.24
2023-09-03 35.45 9.12 11.84 15.52 22.76 55.93 92.53 139.90 179.10
2023-09-10 41.85 10.69 13.36 16.09 24.45 71.82 112.99 148.65 256.86
2023-09-17 46.11 10.53 13.24 17.07 26.10 89.89 152.32 237.12 341.41
2023-09-24 49.80 12.42 14.87 18.27 27.97 78.35 132.30 194.97 281.83
2023-10-01 42.69 11.08 13.62 17.24 26.24 68.79 105.76 152.85 178.91
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