Prediction 3744

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Rondônia

Description:

Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in RO


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 79.24 15.76 20.55 26.99 43.67 142.96 253.58 357.48 431.57
2023-10-15 78.92 18.29 21.66 29.93 48.72 145.62 262.38 357.75 638.29
2023-10-22 97.08 19.80 26.66 33.71 55.73 180.75 351.33 598.02 842.35
2023-10-29 110.35 25.21 33.06 42.15 63.18 196.19 353.96 497.81 704.93
2023-11-05 120.42 23.58 32.03 39.81 73.50 202.70 369.81 537.42 759.41
2023-11-12 131.38 29.30 35.11 49.38 79.40 231.69 454.83 694.19 1001.00
2023-11-19 156.54 31.77 41.10 51.32 84.30 286.81 513.29 785.49 1294.95
2023-11-26 179.75 31.98 41.76 55.00 89.68 320.02 601.63 887.19 1463.10
2023-12-03 201.66 37.64 46.04 67.23 107.98 370.84 739.35 1025.43 1531.30
2023-12-10 161.88 38.56 42.91 53.35 96.33 305.21 494.40 659.47 936.66
2023-12-17 94.17 17.71 24.15 31.18 48.67 160.38 292.90 445.08 584.70
2023-12-24 85.92 20.51 25.12 33.07 50.65 149.88 239.57 411.35 664.15
2023-12-31 246.92 72.55 93.04 113.33 163.04 429.68 692.77 895.34 1149.12
2024-01-07 286.62 84.54 108.02 136.13 189.16 443.20 755.37 1058.80 1410.95
2024-01-14 293.66 90.97 115.37 137.46 191.39 467.08 724.20 1011.85 1426.58
2024-01-21 326.20 95.61 107.16 138.48 200.37 504.50 847.25 1275.66 1636.69
2024-01-28 330.49 114.34 136.64 164.18 240.97 499.04 709.87 984.94 1123.28
2024-02-04 332.01 116.90 134.49 165.33 229.83 510.68 743.18 1028.16 1240.69
2024-02-11 312.62 117.70 140.14 166.90 226.73 445.72 614.53 803.25 971.06
2024-02-18 297.45 119.28 138.45 162.31 217.85 428.85 589.02 714.42 868.59
2024-02-25 345.79 120.24 151.72 178.26 235.17 495.74 720.10 882.88 1062.18
2024-03-03 335.32 128.59 138.80 170.73 232.23 492.90 760.14 972.79 1264.50
2024-03-10 361.42 127.54 155.86 185.51 246.90 525.27 862.86 1238.33 1616.29
2024-03-17 304.39 106.60 125.80 144.62 207.29 467.79 704.00 926.23 1206.84
2024-03-24 285.09 110.63 126.95 145.73 191.92 442.69 644.96 871.13 996.73
2024-03-31 298.87 91.24 105.54 131.89 191.88 438.94 634.77 846.31 1037.06
2024-04-07 280.48 90.55 112.01 133.10 181.79 457.32 704.22 949.94 1267.50
2024-04-14 316.76 95.51 114.41 139.52 199.73 478.88 680.03 813.71 1209.81
2024-04-21 248.53 74.96 91.29 111.54 164.25 387.65 588.47 696.66 910.62
2024-04-28 241.26 81.68 100.52 116.80 162.03 342.22 524.11 738.38 914.84
2024-05-05 246.35 82.97 93.43 115.57 169.75 391.95 590.26 759.69 899.90
2024-05-12 197.83 67.93 82.21 98.05 140.61 302.73 444.53 609.29 711.88
2024-05-19 177.10 51.92 65.28 81.77 115.47 253.26 378.41 497.62 626.94
2024-05-26 176.96 51.72 66.75 84.95 116.05 276.58 417.35 561.66 750.96
2024-06-02 129.74 42.54 50.88 61.58 83.99 190.01 325.29 414.69 525.98
2024-06-09 140.65 45.51 54.41 68.85 94.41 214.90 326.20 428.85 504.38
2024-06-16 106.62 31.70 39.58 50.57 71.96 161.66 237.66 322.81 434.27
2024-06-23 94.55 29.30 35.98 45.93 65.25 149.86 220.13 279.07 370.89
2024-06-30 89.13 31.96 35.73 42.77 61.69 143.45 211.49 289.53 376.68
2024-07-07 92.69 29.86 36.26 43.79 64.08 154.90 222.35 303.57 463.60
2024-07-14 87.76 27.64 33.23 42.65 61.27 137.58 203.32 277.08 340.08
2024-07-21 80.13 23.97 30.12 38.74 54.09 128.87 197.78 277.09 374.92
2024-07-28 85.31 17.64 24.95 31.41 48.73 137.16 222.05 301.28 417.26
2024-08-04 85.40 25.12 28.09 35.06 56.09 141.57 237.80 333.77 468.09
2024-08-11 82.83 24.20 29.29 38.40 52.94 134.07 194.02 276.95 370.98
2024-08-18 79.80 20.24 25.79 32.37 50.22 135.60 228.45 307.73 474.97
2024-08-25 74.19 20.60 24.77 30.23 44.91 123.79 224.29 337.17 432.90
2024-09-01 67.61 15.35 18.94 24.55 41.92 121.90 210.93 275.69 351.35
2024-09-08 69.92 17.94 22.96 27.50 42.22 117.07 182.17 257.79 332.17
2024-09-15 71.09 20.83 25.52 31.44 46.99 124.72 200.60 259.92 346.70
2024-09-22 68.51 19.58 22.09 27.03 40.38 108.12 184.05 276.56 344.89
2024-09-29 66.03 16.59 20.24 27.21 41.47 109.97 182.28 238.61 299.24
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