Prediction 3745
Model | Dengue oracle - M2 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | Rondônia |
Description:
Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in RO
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-10-06 | 34.52 | 6.08 | 8.05 | 10.90 | 18.72 | 59.71 | 99.20 | 136.96 | 191.31 |
2024-10-13 | 35.93 | 8.70 | 11.01 | 13.16 | 21.63 | 64.62 | 112.19 | 165.34 | 258.32 |
2024-10-20 | 37.02 | 7.31 | 10.27 | 12.54 | 21.02 | 60.90 | 127.12 | 169.26 | 241.59 |
2024-10-27 | 39.93 | 7.05 | 10.23 | 12.95 | 22.07 | 71.02 | 121.15 | 172.79 | 256.08 |
2024-11-03 | 47.31 | 10.37 | 13.24 | 16.44 | 27.68 | 94.09 | 171.83 | 262.42 | 424.48 |
2024-11-10 | 55.65 | 9.68 | 12.15 | 17.14 | 29.46 | 103.52 | 186.07 | 270.07 | 403.98 |
2024-11-17 | 60.45 | 12.66 | 16.87 | 21.62 | 35.98 | 108.22 | 181.17 | 286.40 | 460.94 |
2024-11-24 | 69.03 | 12.39 | 17.64 | 23.78 | 40.08 | 124.15 | 225.35 | 341.58 | 577.75 |
2024-12-01 | 62.31 | 15.14 | 17.99 | 22.29 | 36.01 | 130.44 | 268.54 | 422.84 | 652.13 |
2024-12-08 | 72.49 | 15.55 | 18.12 | 25.71 | 40.25 | 146.36 | 280.49 | 405.16 | 551.04 |
2024-12-15 | 59.06 | 10.84 | 14.38 | 17.81 | 29.91 | 126.49 | 217.16 | 327.42 | 501.16 |
2024-12-22 | 51.01 | 8.53 | 12.00 | 16.22 | 26.62 | 105.36 | 207.62 | 302.67 | 475.12 |
2024-12-29 | 125.24 | 26.88 | 35.75 | 44.33 | 69.67 | 213.64 | 373.94 | 558.84 | 793.27 |
2025-01-05 | 136.86 | 42.07 | 47.51 | 56.92 | 87.48 | 240.49 | 428.56 | 566.91 | 796.97 |
2025-01-12 | 148.14 | 43.44 | 54.15 | 72.29 | 96.55 | 251.18 | 439.81 | 665.15 | 845.26 |
2025-01-19 | 159.29 | 46.01 | 59.40 | 75.87 | 104.32 | 269.83 | 411.49 | 604.34 | 725.38 |
2025-01-26 | 216.74 | 59.73 | 73.98 | 89.54 | 126.36 | 327.04 | 534.97 | 768.17 | 955.91 |
2025-02-02 | 227.93 | 70.78 | 78.90 | 91.81 | 142.46 | 358.35 | 516.27 | 666.22 | 856.96 |
2025-02-09 | 241.93 | 50.98 | 66.95 | 91.23 | 148.08 | 393.31 | 653.90 | 935.29 | 1204.29 |
2025-02-16 | 272.24 | 68.61 | 88.61 | 107.46 | 163.21 | 515.47 | 836.27 | 1429.22 | 2202.70 |
2025-02-23 | 318.96 | 79.09 | 89.63 | 120.07 | 200.32 | 503.10 | 895.90 | 1148.23 | 1490.24 |
2025-03-02 | 298.14 | 77.83 | 91.68 | 122.43 | 193.14 | 491.24 | 787.93 | 1053.37 | 1213.17 |
2025-03-09 | 284.28 | 80.42 | 101.99 | 132.14 | 202.04 | 472.70 | 809.37 | 1208.59 | 1397.40 |
2025-03-16 | 249.78 | 69.39 | 82.89 | 105.42 | 157.94 | 417.02 | 665.93 | 882.51 | 1230.47 |
2025-03-23 | 230.78 | 62.98 | 74.23 | 95.48 | 142.57 | 381.38 | 662.81 | 899.74 | 1324.33 |
2025-03-30 | 232.20 | 57.09 | 68.64 | 91.79 | 146.30 | 392.69 | 721.51 | 1044.00 | 1487.99 |
2025-04-06 | 235.49 | 58.83 | 76.97 | 99.58 | 145.19 | 392.37 | 752.83 | 1096.76 | 1395.46 |
2025-04-13 | 190.02 | 54.96 | 72.46 | 87.54 | 120.35 | 315.80 | 539.04 | 738.40 | 962.45 |
2025-04-20 | 172.58 | 41.05 | 54.68 | 71.91 | 110.13 | 297.46 | 468.52 | 587.53 | 786.05 |
2025-04-27 | 182.00 | 49.53 | 63.28 | 79.89 | 115.72 | 291.45 | 459.53 | 609.24 | 865.41 |
2025-05-04 | 187.45 | 49.36 | 56.22 | 71.53 | 112.07 | 304.15 | 522.59 | 750.38 | 1132.11 |
2025-05-11 | 138.57 | 43.48 | 54.29 | 66.88 | 92.50 | 212.64 | 332.99 | 463.68 | 824.04 |
2025-05-18 | 127.22 | 26.22 | 35.91 | 46.40 | 70.88 | 222.21 | 361.12 | 530.79 | 650.20 |
2025-05-25 | 96.06 | 25.18 | 33.99 | 42.52 | 61.55 | 158.70 | 265.29 | 354.54 | 507.18 |
2025-06-01 | 78.47 | 21.32 | 24.29 | 32.77 | 50.20 | 126.25 | 219.49 | 295.81 | 453.63 |
2025-06-08 | 81.02 | 23.05 | 27.26 | 33.29 | 51.41 | 142.15 | 246.46 | 364.89 | 465.12 |
2025-06-15 | 71.18 | 16.66 | 21.07 | 27.20 | 43.41 | 111.86 | 198.57 | 283.14 | 349.95 |
2025-06-22 | 64.73 | 18.60 | 20.84 | 26.95 | 39.76 | 104.39 | 162.64 | 250.92 | 361.76 |
2025-06-29 | 63.95 | 15.93 | 18.70 | 22.82 | 37.29 | 104.15 | 176.64 | 232.68 | 349.00 |
2025-07-06 | 59.27 | 13.35 | 16.05 | 21.04 | 34.43 | 99.09 | 159.88 | 235.51 | 321.66 |
2025-07-13 | 56.28 | 14.39 | 16.80 | 23.23 | 34.43 | 95.36 | 150.23 | 216.96 | 354.87 |
2025-07-20 | 49.64 | 11.24 | 13.69 | 17.80 | 28.68 | 86.72 | 153.83 | 228.80 | 294.29 |
2025-07-27 | 52.76 | 13.75 | 17.50 | 20.81 | 34.32 | 97.91 | 159.06 | 233.62 | 325.43 |
2025-08-03 | 52.70 | 11.15 | 13.59 | 17.94 | 29.35 | 93.62 | 194.99 | 280.11 | 398.54 |
2025-08-10 | 47.16 | 9.50 | 12.62 | 17.46 | 25.99 | 88.02 | 165.71 | 255.00 | 411.23 |
2025-08-17 | 52.14 | 11.46 | 15.00 | 18.37 | 30.31 | 87.32 | 160.08 | 236.15 | 312.85 |
2025-08-24 | 39.56 | 9.49 | 11.61 | 14.68 | 23.85 | 70.63 | 134.18 | 189.35 | 240.33 |
2025-08-31 | 40.10 | 6.92 | 8.42 | 11.52 | 19.99 | 73.24 | 138.39 | 188.99 | 287.66 |
2025-09-07 | 49.11 | 9.80 | 12.24 | 15.71 | 27.03 | 89.00 | 215.01 | 299.94 | 567.26 |
2025-09-14 | 39.36 | 9.07 | 11.58 | 14.18 | 22.68 | 78.76 | 147.40 | 244.40 | 353.69 |
2025-09-21 | 38.24 | 7.86 | 10.49 | 13.92 | 22.62 | 70.36 | 125.30 | 189.80 | 251.32 |
2025-09-28 | 39.45 | 7.25 | 10.12 | 13.21 | 22.36 | 80.13 | 165.67 | 254.17 | 448.52 |