Prediction 3746

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Acre

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in AC


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 43.82 6.19 8.47 12.40 23.54 100.52 199.52 356.31 510.34
2022-10-16 52.68 6.11 8.37 11.11 23.50 107.65 203.33 353.27 738.68
2022-10-23 53.82 5.06 8.31 12.65 26.05 122.40 275.83 403.80 544.65
2022-10-30 52.15 5.26 6.85 10.61 23.31 136.50 356.65 599.84 1229.82
2022-11-06 73.22 6.81 10.00 15.67 32.04 162.05 393.33 529.94 978.94
2022-11-13 110.75 9.83 15.82 22.93 44.02 233.90 612.63 1120.72 1385.41
2022-11-20 121.92 11.59 17.04 23.63 47.03 277.68 769.09 1118.63 1485.35
2022-11-27 133.66 11.98 19.49 28.71 61.10 330.26 853.01 1541.69 2405.04
2022-12-04 162.19 12.90 19.19 29.37 60.47 443.38 1158.14 1762.61 2740.45
2022-12-11 131.69 12.13 19.83 33.99 64.66 330.58 762.85 1146.98 1681.68
2022-12-18 110.07 9.99 14.99 21.67 50.79 257.97 531.25 881.84 1218.22
2022-12-25 63.84 4.72 6.22 8.93 24.43 166.73 429.64 725.84 1244.07
2023-01-01 230.76 27.38 38.37 57.40 112.43 457.80 846.23 1580.46 2048.42
2023-01-08 261.53 40.78 56.92 83.09 149.45 598.42 1142.59 1783.15 2312.45
2023-01-15 295.59 40.18 52.14 83.01 148.74 603.03 1116.47 1574.87 2359.45
2023-01-22 272.41 40.93 57.05 82.19 143.45 562.94 1102.09 1724.07 2220.06
2023-01-29 342.59 64.42 83.03 117.93 200.41 635.05 1364.18 1857.61 2410.41
2023-02-05 340.31 52.54 65.82 94.07 166.27 669.17 1220.69 1763.00 2393.75
2023-02-12 395.76 59.61 79.54 111.50 201.36 730.01 1231.91 1543.87 2038.24
2023-02-19 357.56 44.96 67.81 88.92 174.90 680.90 1390.43 2237.20 2834.99
2023-02-26 377.35 62.80 76.20 115.94 194.32 720.69 1355.72 1938.87 2492.51
2023-03-05 357.25 62.38 79.88 106.41 187.79 633.44 1226.57 1711.50 2131.41
2023-03-12 367.58 60.68 80.75 103.25 179.05 706.77 1306.56 2019.61 3325.31
2023-03-19 353.76 49.90 64.83 98.02 181.15 729.72 1329.91 1928.75 2366.26
2023-03-26 272.00 35.81 49.93 70.19 134.66 567.60 1214.64 1728.80 2325.98
2023-04-02 256.74 46.91 56.43 72.51 135.66 486.61 886.24 1377.17 2237.76
2023-04-09 250.70 39.72 49.56 72.56 129.83 504.85 1065.91 1535.61 2170.30
2023-04-16 230.68 36.57 43.64 68.07 122.81 468.26 874.81 1169.61 1627.11
2023-04-23 237.60 38.67 52.68 73.04 127.03 433.16 756.69 970.51 1551.39
2023-04-30 227.22 41.92 55.40 75.03 129.71 413.06 688.43 1016.82 1256.84
2023-05-07 241.19 40.17 48.77 69.76 126.84 442.79 810.00 1185.11 1695.54
2023-05-14 196.86 37.45 54.13 65.79 101.40 384.95 783.16 1175.42 1585.58
2023-05-21 178.60 23.12 36.29 51.71 89.83 365.98 671.03 983.99 1357.58
2023-05-28 155.05 18.92 28.69 38.68 71.39 342.81 675.57 968.34 1583.74
2023-06-04 127.69 17.34 21.41 30.80 60.25 255.21 510.70 901.79 1237.05
2023-06-11 117.90 19.47 24.29 31.42 55.87 222.05 425.18 604.18 950.56
2023-06-18 94.97 15.83 18.98 28.66 51.42 179.36 337.96 476.20 667.84
2023-06-25 80.80 14.41 20.51 26.66 44.99 156.56 282.10 413.71 566.40
2023-07-02 67.40 10.14 13.30 19.75 36.18 138.43 268.00 404.76 619.57
2023-07-09 66.09 10.36 13.29 20.56 35.29 141.62 261.62 365.74 563.20
2023-07-16 57.58 7.47 10.48 14.14 28.10 119.85 242.44 337.77 508.56
2023-07-23 58.36 9.31 13.24 18.93 33.34 110.80 203.25 292.51 421.79
2023-07-30 53.24 6.97 10.14 14.26 25.74 103.07 229.67 340.15 526.26
2023-08-06 53.77 7.31 9.98 14.43 26.43 111.93 226.09 297.62 404.68
2023-08-13 47.30 7.36 8.80 12.17 24.60 86.73 165.61 231.34 287.85
2023-08-20 42.95 7.03 9.65 13.55 24.48 84.58 174.30 271.45 384.82
2023-08-27 40.82 5.93 7.52 11.08 19.65 95.34 184.69 272.28 470.52
2023-09-03 32.47 3.99 5.82 8.95 15.35 68.08 133.88 202.05 274.01
2023-09-10 36.09 5.31 6.83 10.16 18.28 83.65 151.12 245.50 394.68
2023-09-17 41.73 4.67 6.61 9.11 19.60 103.90 232.96 409.65 629.26
2023-09-24 41.56 7.01 8.23 13.02 21.16 92.60 217.15 301.92 369.83
2023-10-01 41.34 6.30 7.92 11.52 19.30 79.24 155.82 238.97 352.28
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