Prediction 3747

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Acre

Description:

Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in AC


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 98.81 8.63 13.80 23.88 43.58 229.06 445.29 659.59 1211.76
2023-10-15 95.74 13.76 17.01 24.45 48.69 197.34 449.50 747.66 1490.64
2023-10-22 115.06 11.78 14.46 23.45 47.18 279.91 601.71 996.91 1550.10
2023-10-29 129.87 11.63 18.72 28.44 59.21 286.44 606.25 921.81 1372.55
2023-11-05 140.27 17.54 23.38 33.44 63.93 278.59 582.02 812.84 1296.95
2023-11-12 163.75 17.01 22.07 33.33 68.97 374.48 775.74 1242.13 1997.26
2023-11-19 196.23 17.36 26.11 38.64 86.38 430.82 896.46 1453.71 2538.39
2023-11-26 214.08 22.96 32.68 44.95 88.95 469.15 941.72 1719.93 2945.09
2023-12-03 212.98 14.31 23.82 36.29 86.14 509.47 1205.42 1949.55 3045.73
2023-12-10 177.46 18.58 26.26 35.47 74.02 460.78 1042.66 1630.48 2222.66
2023-12-17 113.79 11.31 15.39 26.91 53.90 239.21 519.12 921.59 1290.49
2023-12-24 106.41 9.64 13.78 24.38 47.77 228.10 492.02 789.60 1313.72
2023-12-31 348.10 56.84 73.37 102.15 180.15 627.12 1395.68 2166.84 2632.89
2024-01-07 443.17 68.97 86.92 118.59 206.86 849.10 1582.01 2079.35 2825.25
2024-01-14 377.27 72.14 89.98 126.11 207.67 790.41 1462.90 2104.19 2927.25
2024-01-21 382.83 65.73 87.53 122.34 201.73 763.43 1354.50 1899.06 2356.29
2024-01-28 489.44 92.70 119.93 160.67 268.93 896.87 1430.62 1916.59 2503.35
2024-02-04 452.16 96.01 116.13 168.25 266.96 909.18 1457.93 1879.00 2670.15
2024-02-11 464.86 96.22 134.74 165.35 276.86 790.52 1237.09 1713.60 2068.47
2024-02-18 423.82 96.57 115.18 156.40 267.54 678.44 986.45 1347.58 1686.94
2024-02-25 468.98 104.93 124.66 169.76 282.86 785.81 1230.59 1705.48 2090.01
2024-03-03 469.08 100.92 133.08 162.70 261.49 848.06 1288.55 1796.29 2147.49
2024-03-10 533.90 93.59 140.34 193.57 287.72 962.74 1562.05 2204.38 2690.74
2024-03-17 440.36 96.73 124.39 168.92 275.22 682.85 1154.88 1528.11 2124.88
2024-03-24 431.48 97.38 108.97 145.28 238.85 733.86 1170.19 1767.75 2190.12
2024-03-31 393.48 88.32 108.24 136.33 223.13 751.41 1274.78 1746.13 2334.99
2024-04-07 392.70 73.85 98.64 136.29 229.20 753.78 1242.65 1689.40 2088.07
2024-04-14 415.84 82.18 102.86 130.22 220.90 717.59 1178.44 1553.28 2135.00
2024-04-21 318.12 57.55 78.48 104.09 181.49 599.09 971.40 1434.92 1997.64
2024-04-28 317.41 55.30 83.03 106.21 171.52 561.60 972.06 1581.82 1873.03
2024-05-05 333.97 59.49 83.81 111.44 187.20 565.60 1099.29 1486.32 1816.45
2024-05-12 268.13 48.08 57.89 86.67 151.05 498.59 814.13 1085.38 1665.43
2024-05-19 251.14 45.69 60.85 81.79 129.83 422.38 719.56 1139.50 1344.31
2024-05-26 237.52 49.10 63.37 80.37 133.36 461.57 804.95 1252.41 1563.52
2024-06-02 180.54 28.77 42.05 56.39 90.74 352.97 642.70 863.72 1163.42
2024-06-09 185.42 36.13 48.26 62.27 104.32 326.56 539.84 766.66 1210.01
2024-06-16 150.02 27.58 41.95 52.55 82.96 260.98 438.31 583.27 808.92
2024-06-23 129.06 23.67 31.14 40.85 74.11 225.11 405.58 625.05 831.67
2024-06-30 129.14 24.51 30.51 41.49 68.27 237.31 387.18 561.65 730.58
2024-07-07 142.82 24.05 29.05 40.05 73.37 271.85 465.00 678.13 868.19
2024-07-14 136.80 24.72 31.98 42.48 77.65 236.96 370.93 573.33 728.80
2024-07-21 100.44 20.31 25.21 32.81 53.44 195.53 392.12 679.59 826.98
2024-07-28 117.22 18.53 23.37 33.78 62.74 240.54 430.95 604.78 805.38
2024-08-04 112.20 14.54 21.35 32.04 57.91 223.96 449.07 636.42 923.98
2024-08-11 111.30 16.57 21.19 31.43 54.33 216.62 488.94 705.28 996.68
2024-08-18 104.17 17.70 22.75 30.55 50.48 224.00 477.65 633.27 959.54
2024-08-25 95.45 11.85 15.22 25.09 43.27 194.49 413.68 547.11 798.11
2024-09-01 87.62 9.66 14.87 19.83 40.43 189.48 374.32 546.34 904.84
2024-09-08 92.55 12.02 17.74 25.08 47.82 198.07 430.78 586.48 767.38
2024-09-15 104.49 18.64 23.80 33.18 53.91 192.88 364.87 457.27 665.27
2024-09-22 91.55 15.17 18.46 25.63 50.68 185.14 378.28 558.34 912.28
2024-09-29 94.25 13.65 19.36 28.10 51.96 172.02 335.19 536.94 711.62
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