Prediction 3748

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Acre

Description:

Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in AC


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 32.75 3.27 4.38 7.19 14.08 76.37 168.43 286.23 429.37
2024-10-13 38.40 3.50 4.81 7.18 15.21 93.05 208.19 338.69 581.11
2024-10-20 38.27 2.92 4.03 6.77 15.94 87.29 185.38 279.22 426.35
2024-10-27 36.42 3.43 4.80 7.84 16.95 87.30 243.24 423.20 675.95
2024-11-03 46.85 5.09 6.75 9.25 20.45 120.07 234.50 474.69 739.21
2024-11-10 49.28 5.60 7.58 10.59 20.07 112.30 214.67 357.72 550.62
2024-11-17 58.01 5.62 7.76 11.65 28.11 137.11 304.72 529.88 761.16
2024-11-24 69.18 6.64 8.91 12.77 32.75 148.53 307.79 507.20 798.50
2024-12-01 78.47 8.65 10.97 16.26 32.50 184.04 446.05 802.91 1380.27
2024-12-08 83.49 6.28 9.21 14.77 34.66 207.45 463.38 831.53 1385.67
2024-12-15 52.07 4.95 6.70 11.87 22.57 133.47 342.53 553.03 929.36
2024-12-22 42.09 3.02 5.07 8.93 18.32 124.00 364.95 657.36 1029.42
2024-12-29 145.96 17.66 24.63 30.79 61.44 322.15 735.31 1278.21 2142.79
2025-01-05 151.17 21.41 26.52 38.37 77.35 321.50 596.55 1158.83 1786.08
2025-01-12 187.32 24.84 31.59 48.52 85.26 384.45 782.05 1239.21 1699.88
2025-01-19 193.35 20.56 32.56 57.23 90.57 395.38 668.09 1045.42 1616.77
2025-01-26 280.52 37.23 44.46 68.97 132.31 535.24 1194.35 1832.27 2517.15
2025-02-02 264.19 40.62 52.77 80.02 141.07 552.29 1035.04 1602.72 2326.56
2025-02-09 244.96 41.51 61.80 79.04 130.51 476.06 1061.37 1810.25 2528.37
2025-02-16 334.42 42.34 55.51 83.70 150.69 705.75 1508.07 2392.26 3627.79
2025-02-23 335.59 42.66 66.05 94.59 163.33 693.45 1374.49 2086.85 2601.16
2025-03-02 323.27 45.54 62.97 91.31 159.33 714.93 1334.53 1867.48 2511.89
2025-03-09 376.43 62.95 75.14 97.35 169.80 821.48 1685.08 2297.02 3362.79
2025-03-16 300.59 50.26 63.09 84.34 156.02 682.66 1506.12 2645.92 3445.09
2025-03-23 275.21 37.37 52.61 71.27 134.46 566.35 1220.02 2079.21 3317.45
2025-03-30 302.53 41.23 53.51 81.23 143.18 667.13 1282.91 2185.87 3625.34
2025-04-06 291.03 38.22 45.81 68.37 141.81 657.55 1243.88 2044.53 2941.27
2025-04-13 235.58 32.16 45.39 65.94 118.51 470.99 895.40 1277.08 1948.67
2025-04-20 205.03 26.60 35.86 51.70 101.80 437.00 818.09 1404.52 2182.02
2025-04-27 238.41 35.99 45.86 60.28 112.64 456.21 902.24 1569.24 2189.05
2025-05-04 200.53 22.58 41.43 55.09 99.35 460.79 1014.07 1673.19 2584.79
2025-05-11 159.89 27.58 36.61 48.29 87.78 312.30 574.88 881.97 1230.82
2025-05-18 131.09 13.61 17.51 31.42 63.34 284.00 607.86 1027.96 1875.17
2025-05-25 112.34 17.64 23.76 30.01 55.65 242.72 421.91 702.61 1126.95
2025-06-01 92.26 11.00 14.83 22.97 43.72 180.18 366.47 675.59 996.83
2025-06-08 88.33 14.39 18.09 24.44 43.35 193.67 418.71 600.63 804.43
2025-06-15 80.26 9.44 15.42 21.37 35.69 150.95 284.43 483.80 703.83
2025-06-22 80.81 10.07 15.57 22.47 39.28 175.38 352.98 532.99 692.68
2025-06-29 68.53 10.34 14.23 20.34 36.25 150.04 297.25 485.16 723.57
2025-07-06 66.00 9.60 10.94 15.75 32.56 160.97 339.98 458.02 734.13
2025-07-13 60.62 9.65 11.55 16.74 27.47 134.17 280.46 435.61 665.04
2025-07-20 62.40 6.53 10.57 16.56 30.34 122.28 232.43 398.26 684.50
2025-07-27 58.67 7.74 10.47 16.02 29.94 118.09 260.73 376.09 487.46
2025-08-03 56.79 5.94 8.80 13.50 24.99 137.59 255.53 482.32 633.73
2025-08-10 53.54 4.42 6.97 10.00 23.26 126.62 328.68 553.92 986.26
2025-08-17 53.86 5.22 7.27 11.00 21.59 124.77 295.50 529.07 832.45
2025-08-24 44.74 4.61 6.55 9.40 19.22 115.60 248.50 402.70 614.09
2025-08-31 42.64 3.75 4.77 7.46 17.59 106.68 253.86 324.36 572.98
2025-09-07 52.35 3.60 5.67 9.11 23.15 147.11 355.99 565.75 954.38
2025-09-14 47.97 4.93 5.95 10.62 21.75 105.71 230.08 379.44 475.03
2025-09-21 41.17 4.91 6.03 8.86 18.06 91.17 216.92 380.80 583.74
2025-09-28 48.50 3.96 5.59 8.70 19.33 121.78 301.16 414.31 656.16
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