Prediction 3749
Model | Dengue oracle - M2 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | Amazonas |
Description:
Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in AM
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-10-09 | 140.88 | 22.76 | 27.93 | 38.93 | 64.87 | 314.02 | 690.95 | 1120.71 | 1452.70 |
2022-10-16 | 131.94 | 24.11 | 29.33 | 41.25 | 66.79 | 282.55 | 695.72 | 1054.83 | 1501.07 |
2022-10-23 | 137.23 | 23.09 | 27.81 | 38.19 | 67.21 | 304.66 | 724.87 | 1264.06 | 1916.13 |
2022-10-30 | 158.44 | 23.61 | 33.30 | 44.70 | 73.68 | 375.44 | 912.26 | 1501.24 | 2547.82 |
2022-11-06 | 207.02 | 36.22 | 52.37 | 66.24 | 100.96 | 451.96 | 969.00 | 1490.26 | 2317.66 |
2022-11-13 | 271.33 | 45.22 | 52.10 | 76.82 | 129.07 | 614.99 | 1302.45 | 1980.34 | 3076.75 |
2022-11-20 | 314.44 | 53.15 | 70.08 | 100.12 | 174.64 | 694.24 | 1526.52 | 2264.50 | 3421.10 |
2022-11-27 | 357.15 | 54.46 | 68.11 | 106.74 | 189.46 | 723.86 | 1569.64 | 2102.76 | 3182.39 |
2022-12-04 | 377.20 | 68.08 | 78.77 | 109.29 | 185.33 | 801.37 | 1590.88 | 2219.24 | 3155.36 |
2022-12-11 | 359.40 | 80.87 | 94.11 | 126.19 | 205.46 | 724.41 | 1528.20 | 2290.87 | 3220.66 |
2022-12-18 | 243.83 | 43.15 | 60.84 | 78.72 | 137.59 | 513.19 | 1279.29 | 2008.97 | 3344.40 |
2022-12-25 | 192.29 | 26.14 | 35.50 | 50.45 | 101.09 | 444.47 | 1068.49 | 1592.40 | 2284.98 |
2023-01-01 | 456.93 | 92.31 | 121.01 | 169.03 | 276.32 | 921.15 | 1623.01 | 2777.47 | 3749.98 |
2023-01-08 | 552.43 | 108.35 | 135.87 | 186.01 | 299.74 | 1102.18 | 2065.89 | 3108.10 | 4206.12 |
2023-01-15 | 529.22 | 120.14 | 149.96 | 182.21 | 296.39 | 1030.67 | 2145.26 | 3018.86 | 4786.09 |
2023-01-22 | 589.08 | 116.78 | 151.32 | 192.21 | 353.41 | 1097.12 | 2053.93 | 3470.42 | 4150.35 |
2023-01-29 | 673.30 | 173.60 | 234.30 | 278.37 | 414.58 | 1357.16 | 2270.48 | 3650.39 | 5145.62 |
2023-02-05 | 661.40 | 151.36 | 203.03 | 257.07 | 381.15 | 1428.27 | 2645.07 | 3656.69 | 5218.24 |
2023-02-12 | 829.21 | 210.77 | 235.51 | 308.75 | 448.35 | 1614.58 | 2937.28 | 4101.32 | 5745.16 |
2023-02-19 | 680.32 | 153.07 | 190.84 | 243.42 | 391.50 | 1283.77 | 2575.44 | 4194.96 | 6823.50 |
2023-02-26 | 903.90 | 235.93 | 278.92 | 361.81 | 537.08 | 1688.44 | 3193.67 | 4492.00 | 6077.05 |
2023-03-05 | 747.79 | 157.89 | 181.23 | 233.66 | 397.37 | 1518.86 | 2709.08 | 3846.44 | 5008.82 |
2023-03-12 | 740.93 | 153.89 | 201.36 | 266.63 | 436.58 | 1370.10 | 2363.15 | 3923.77 | 5760.94 |
2023-03-19 | 715.46 | 150.69 | 202.70 | 259.82 | 407.34 | 1413.98 | 2480.84 | 3449.74 | 4976.36 |
2023-03-26 | 655.04 | 153.55 | 183.26 | 230.38 | 349.46 | 1292.52 | 2386.29 | 3498.22 | 5874.29 |
2023-04-02 | 594.81 | 138.88 | 164.03 | 205.87 | 352.69 | 1141.65 | 2209.17 | 3081.09 | 4295.64 |
2023-04-09 | 546.06 | 118.70 | 150.83 | 189.25 | 306.68 | 1095.77 | 2221.33 | 3373.52 | 4734.03 |
2023-04-16 | 517.08 | 129.68 | 149.26 | 191.89 | 308.09 | 1178.28 | 2434.39 | 3547.06 | 4739.34 |
2023-04-23 | 496.77 | 108.91 | 135.54 | 167.84 | 274.06 | 983.57 | 1868.15 | 2582.43 | 3431.61 |
2023-04-30 | 541.13 | 117.85 | 155.04 | 194.10 | 313.65 | 1022.63 | 1945.58 | 2832.60 | 3703.02 |
2023-05-07 | 470.67 | 129.69 | 145.53 | 190.47 | 277.75 | 955.99 | 1795.84 | 2323.56 | 3067.20 |
2023-05-14 | 469.51 | 105.97 | 127.15 | 174.38 | 268.98 | 842.26 | 1475.46 | 2130.75 | 3740.93 |
2023-05-21 | 356.01 | 76.97 | 93.02 | 121.06 | 203.97 | 706.35 | 1435.59 | 2157.03 | 3363.68 |
2023-05-28 | 371.30 | 80.88 | 97.49 | 132.82 | 225.85 | 788.93 | 1618.33 | 2291.79 | 3303.30 |
2023-06-04 | 282.71 | 58.36 | 68.54 | 89.31 | 155.40 | 609.62 | 1273.94 | 1892.61 | 2456.01 |
2023-06-11 | 317.04 | 64.75 | 81.85 | 108.45 | 180.64 | 552.70 | 1076.94 | 1739.96 | 2410.75 |
2023-06-18 | 236.33 | 38.88 | 53.98 | 72.30 | 123.99 | 421.08 | 921.02 | 1379.31 | 2108.03 |
2023-06-25 | 246.31 | 50.43 | 60.54 | 78.98 | 125.86 | 489.90 | 918.08 | 1399.57 | 2286.82 |
2023-07-02 | 183.13 | 32.53 | 41.10 | 56.98 | 96.31 | 382.55 | 856.49 | 1429.25 | 1940.23 |
2023-07-09 | 178.96 | 35.07 | 43.61 | 56.91 | 86.73 | 346.05 | 661.73 | 1146.82 | 1581.89 |
2023-07-16 | 156.82 | 32.39 | 43.52 | 54.88 | 87.28 | 376.22 | 710.86 | 1133.94 | 1575.20 |
2023-07-23 | 174.44 | 32.77 | 40.71 | 51.41 | 84.98 | 356.22 | 707.40 | 1029.10 | 1843.21 |
2023-07-30 | 141.01 | 29.52 | 39.51 | 46.68 | 76.75 | 316.04 | 633.18 | 939.08 | 1179.84 |
2023-08-06 | 136.64 | 23.88 | 31.29 | 40.96 | 68.58 | 272.45 | 592.76 | 1037.34 | 1452.44 |
2023-08-13 | 134.95 | 24.47 | 30.77 | 40.46 | 71.91 | 279.59 | 557.39 | 912.71 | 1240.50 |
2023-08-20 | 150.60 | 24.59 | 30.32 | 43.76 | 76.38 | 306.84 | 603.20 | 860.35 | 1176.46 |
2023-08-27 | 141.83 | 21.69 | 28.88 | 39.02 | 65.16 | 321.82 | 761.20 | 1158.94 | 1481.66 |
2023-09-03 | 105.76 | 16.26 | 23.50 | 30.38 | 52.92 | 213.67 | 502.66 | 785.38 | 1320.41 |
2023-09-10 | 113.57 | 20.97 | 25.89 | 35.70 | 56.23 | 267.82 | 551.48 | 947.27 | 1214.20 |
2023-09-17 | 124.91 | 16.25 | 22.13 | 30.55 | 62.01 | 265.92 | 593.84 | 934.10 | 1602.08 |
2023-09-24 | 121.80 | 22.08 | 27.55 | 35.69 | 62.76 | 246.78 | 551.77 | 973.60 | 1336.84 |
2023-10-01 | 120.70 | 21.68 | 27.93 | 35.69 | 65.24 | 292.77 | 582.07 | 877.35 | 1306.68 |