Prediction 3749

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1

Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Amazonas

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in AM


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 140.88 22.76 27.93 38.93 64.87 314.02 690.95 1120.71 1452.70
2022-10-16 131.94 24.11 29.33 41.25 66.79 282.55 695.72 1054.83 1501.07
2022-10-23 137.23 23.09 27.81 38.19 67.21 304.66 724.87 1264.06 1916.13
2022-10-30 158.44 23.61 33.30 44.70 73.68 375.44 912.26 1501.24 2547.82
2022-11-06 207.02 36.22 52.37 66.24 100.96 451.96 969.00 1490.26 2317.66
2022-11-13 271.33 45.22 52.10 76.82 129.07 614.99 1302.45 1980.34 3076.75
2022-11-20 314.44 53.15 70.08 100.12 174.64 694.24 1526.52 2264.50 3421.10
2022-11-27 357.15 54.46 68.11 106.74 189.46 723.86 1569.64 2102.76 3182.39
2022-12-04 377.20 68.08 78.77 109.29 185.33 801.37 1590.88 2219.24 3155.36
2022-12-11 359.40 80.87 94.11 126.19 205.46 724.41 1528.20 2290.87 3220.66
2022-12-18 243.83 43.15 60.84 78.72 137.59 513.19 1279.29 2008.97 3344.40
2022-12-25 192.29 26.14 35.50 50.45 101.09 444.47 1068.49 1592.40 2284.98
2023-01-01 456.93 92.31 121.01 169.03 276.32 921.15 1623.01 2777.47 3749.98
2023-01-08 552.43 108.35 135.87 186.01 299.74 1102.18 2065.89 3108.10 4206.12
2023-01-15 529.22 120.14 149.96 182.21 296.39 1030.67 2145.26 3018.86 4786.09
2023-01-22 589.08 116.78 151.32 192.21 353.41 1097.12 2053.93 3470.42 4150.35
2023-01-29 673.30 173.60 234.30 278.37 414.58 1357.16 2270.48 3650.39 5145.62
2023-02-05 661.40 151.36 203.03 257.07 381.15 1428.27 2645.07 3656.69 5218.24
2023-02-12 829.21 210.77 235.51 308.75 448.35 1614.58 2937.28 4101.32 5745.16
2023-02-19 680.32 153.07 190.84 243.42 391.50 1283.77 2575.44 4194.96 6823.50
2023-02-26 903.90 235.93 278.92 361.81 537.08 1688.44 3193.67 4492.00 6077.05
2023-03-05 747.79 157.89 181.23 233.66 397.37 1518.86 2709.08 3846.44 5008.82
2023-03-12 740.93 153.89 201.36 266.63 436.58 1370.10 2363.15 3923.77 5760.94
2023-03-19 715.46 150.69 202.70 259.82 407.34 1413.98 2480.84 3449.74 4976.36
2023-03-26 655.04 153.55 183.26 230.38 349.46 1292.52 2386.29 3498.22 5874.29
2023-04-02 594.81 138.88 164.03 205.87 352.69 1141.65 2209.17 3081.09 4295.64
2023-04-09 546.06 118.70 150.83 189.25 306.68 1095.77 2221.33 3373.52 4734.03
2023-04-16 517.08 129.68 149.26 191.89 308.09 1178.28 2434.39 3547.06 4739.34
2023-04-23 496.77 108.91 135.54 167.84 274.06 983.57 1868.15 2582.43 3431.61
2023-04-30 541.13 117.85 155.04 194.10 313.65 1022.63 1945.58 2832.60 3703.02
2023-05-07 470.67 129.69 145.53 190.47 277.75 955.99 1795.84 2323.56 3067.20
2023-05-14 469.51 105.97 127.15 174.38 268.98 842.26 1475.46 2130.75 3740.93
2023-05-21 356.01 76.97 93.02 121.06 203.97 706.35 1435.59 2157.03 3363.68
2023-05-28 371.30 80.88 97.49 132.82 225.85 788.93 1618.33 2291.79 3303.30
2023-06-04 282.71 58.36 68.54 89.31 155.40 609.62 1273.94 1892.61 2456.01
2023-06-11 317.04 64.75 81.85 108.45 180.64 552.70 1076.94 1739.96 2410.75
2023-06-18 236.33 38.88 53.98 72.30 123.99 421.08 921.02 1379.31 2108.03
2023-06-25 246.31 50.43 60.54 78.98 125.86 489.90 918.08 1399.57 2286.82
2023-07-02 183.13 32.53 41.10 56.98 96.31 382.55 856.49 1429.25 1940.23
2023-07-09 178.96 35.07 43.61 56.91 86.73 346.05 661.73 1146.82 1581.89
2023-07-16 156.82 32.39 43.52 54.88 87.28 376.22 710.86 1133.94 1575.20
2023-07-23 174.44 32.77 40.71 51.41 84.98 356.22 707.40 1029.10 1843.21
2023-07-30 141.01 29.52 39.51 46.68 76.75 316.04 633.18 939.08 1179.84
2023-08-06 136.64 23.88 31.29 40.96 68.58 272.45 592.76 1037.34 1452.44
2023-08-13 134.95 24.47 30.77 40.46 71.91 279.59 557.39 912.71 1240.50
2023-08-20 150.60 24.59 30.32 43.76 76.38 306.84 603.20 860.35 1176.46
2023-08-27 141.83 21.69 28.88 39.02 65.16 321.82 761.20 1158.94 1481.66
2023-09-03 105.76 16.26 23.50 30.38 52.92 213.67 502.66 785.38 1320.41
2023-09-10 113.57 20.97 25.89 35.70 56.23 267.82 551.48 947.27 1214.20
2023-09-17 124.91 16.25 22.13 30.55 62.01 265.92 593.84 934.10 1602.08
2023-09-24 121.80 22.08 27.55 35.69 62.76 246.78 551.77 973.60 1336.84
2023-10-01 120.70 21.68 27.93 35.69 65.24 292.77 582.07 877.35 1306.68
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