Prediction 3750

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Amazonas

Description:

Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in AM


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 293.96 41.54 55.04 77.43 151.30 645.77 1359.76 2254.95 3202.99
2023-10-15 295.50 45.49 60.18 77.30 142.47 667.26 1398.84 2249.65 3462.28
2023-10-22 337.43 46.36 66.09 87.42 157.58 713.26 1467.31 2447.98 3394.81
2023-10-29 370.76 61.97 80.05 108.46 186.25 741.25 1571.36 2728.90 3694.01
2023-11-05 411.55 61.74 77.29 107.71 182.75 810.22 1763.09 2622.40 3708.14
2023-11-12 459.32 76.94 96.94 129.19 227.88 980.19 2020.19 3211.11 4797.64
2023-11-19 436.41 73.41 97.44 135.23 227.08 979.48 1797.24 2479.40 3510.91
2023-11-26 437.17 67.61 89.38 131.09 227.19 940.08 1915.17 2787.53 5405.44
2023-12-03 529.00 86.52 107.96 150.35 249.46 1081.25 2421.98 4080.95 6159.26
2023-12-10 433.84 87.26 105.70 144.18 230.72 932.86 2335.39 3530.66 6140.47
2023-12-17 281.55 60.08 67.27 92.88 150.52 638.90 1236.13 2033.17 2881.65
2023-12-24 349.55 48.85 70.93 95.53 158.94 639.50 1316.24 2534.47 3257.73
2023-12-31 817.00 159.14 212.46 277.54 474.17 1709.73 3522.96 5388.40 7352.29
2024-01-07 978.66 235.51 292.62 373.81 558.37 1870.80 3312.35 4965.27 7214.67
2024-01-14 1037.77 247.21 286.53 348.22 552.34 2036.74 3625.05 5153.73 7758.03
2024-01-21 1091.96 225.88 273.43 348.40 600.78 2045.18 3602.37 5469.06 7146.08
2024-01-28 1239.38 303.93 373.32 448.52 770.04 2083.75 3553.42 4998.80 6618.27
2024-02-04 1155.95 328.18 395.70 486.90 706.59 1997.73 3242.28 5075.12 6350.86
2024-02-11 1213.99 340.53 399.19 468.90 708.27 2101.55 3091.14 4359.42 5679.31
2024-02-18 1228.14 348.38 452.81 548.56 773.02 1979.88 2923.74 3797.11 4677.56
2024-02-25 1342.75 356.19 436.65 579.88 828.90 2179.34 3599.57 4620.07 6101.18
2024-03-03 1260.27 285.32 361.21 465.27 740.62 2113.89 3989.07 6044.16 7525.53
2024-03-10 1369.65 301.93 380.79 507.78 758.56 2434.78 4620.20 6169.84 7411.72
2024-03-17 1148.49 324.64 396.31 480.95 665.06 1961.90 3709.36 4664.30 6026.46
2024-03-24 1153.22 310.61 357.58 453.09 688.43 2070.99 3362.38 4341.35 6856.52
2024-03-31 1069.81 228.51 317.03 408.97 607.40 1939.51 3805.40 5199.66 6593.82
2024-04-07 937.68 232.58 279.84 385.31 575.60 1811.89 3583.84 4597.37 7254.28
2024-04-14 1020.47 239.94 324.93 420.52 648.09 1723.74 3174.25 4490.89 6233.24
2024-04-21 799.28 167.77 232.63 280.49 469.48 1589.27 2596.12 3647.17 5856.30
2024-04-28 848.56 196.23 236.14 303.76 458.36 1532.74 2894.72 4109.80 5216.64
2024-05-05 800.08 179.47 226.59 293.53 446.85 1255.84 2227.24 3000.61 3765.82
2024-05-12 696.98 153.80 195.80 252.58 400.88 1333.68 2341.45 3145.07 4254.29
2024-05-19 660.56 150.53 179.90 231.35 363.96 1219.29 2018.23 2815.36 3926.42
2024-05-26 640.57 156.72 189.64 233.87 356.36 1097.96 1968.40 2630.63 4083.69
2024-06-02 479.15 103.02 133.78 174.62 260.62 927.50 1537.86 2683.82 3921.85
2024-06-09 552.07 117.90 136.65 187.48 303.61 936.40 1606.06 2328.50 3404.50
2024-06-16 451.83 114.51 130.06 157.40 255.76 832.44 1340.45 1976.03 2568.58
2024-06-23 404.97 77.65 103.18 131.67 231.34 828.43 1621.84 2156.11 2569.10
2024-06-30 369.47 81.64 111.63 132.34 197.33 684.39 1249.39 1798.99 2556.56
2024-07-07 338.96 77.16 96.00 129.41 184.67 642.15 1065.24 1493.86 2083.21
2024-07-14 343.59 74.05 91.05 112.38 186.33 590.76 1185.88 1682.23 2201.39
2024-07-21 310.42 76.87 89.70 114.71 168.81 592.19 1043.45 1528.27 2006.52
2024-07-28 317.98 51.87 69.55 87.60 172.21 619.05 1300.43 1880.05 2354.35
2024-08-04 371.06 62.30 83.25 107.45 189.60 786.26 1345.47 1935.67 2850.94
2024-08-11 319.70 61.36 79.92 101.45 166.24 580.65 1210.84 1903.40 3265.85
2024-08-18 324.40 53.88 65.34 89.57 175.03 677.69 1535.83 2224.57 4031.91
2024-08-25 261.68 46.36 56.50 80.81 144.79 534.13 1095.87 1586.18 2439.43
2024-09-01 261.13 48.13 61.54 82.64 136.49 510.22 966.99 1562.96 2260.74
2024-09-08 236.77 44.42 60.29 78.04 127.37 458.65 731.00 1466.57 2477.19
2024-09-15 250.53 53.15 69.32 93.37 146.18 488.27 886.01 1189.04 1710.52
2024-09-22 246.96 47.98 59.13 86.12 138.19 410.06 778.73 1144.16 1646.96
2024-09-29 225.76 43.68 62.66 84.45 130.89 423.97 670.51 919.63 1140.34
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