Prediction 3751

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Amazonas

Description:

Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in AM


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 66.79 12.55 16.05 20.86 35.00 146.28 362.03 541.52 840.09
2024-10-13 93.96 16.48 24.10 29.40 49.22 225.93 448.95 731.57 1335.51
2024-10-20 76.14 14.31 16.99 22.92 40.17 171.34 405.30 779.38 1396.29
2024-10-27 89.24 14.60 18.16 25.64 46.10 202.28 488.50 873.95 1301.21
2024-11-03 114.66 21.79 25.28 32.20 56.42 225.78 431.56 749.46 1167.20
2024-11-10 122.18 21.17 29.33 39.31 65.05 273.41 563.22 938.17 1865.79
2024-11-17 160.43 25.14 31.04 45.67 76.40 331.80 903.02 1433.10 2103.78
2024-11-24 154.26 21.81 30.07 40.74 77.94 328.70 865.19 1540.44 2387.83
2024-12-01 163.16 25.77 33.39 42.41 78.63 373.26 922.34 1519.00 2897.67
2024-12-08 172.76 27.26 35.38 50.82 93.14 409.69 1043.24 1824.57 2843.60
2024-12-15 135.30 20.47 25.78 34.55 63.34 307.29 601.15 1141.92 1890.89
2024-12-22 114.11 20.13 24.79 32.46 52.97 266.68 594.77 995.28 1463.31
2024-12-29 295.50 60.73 69.44 97.20 159.04 682.34 1438.27 2996.91 4543.17
2025-01-05 326.39 68.81 80.01 109.42 182.35 713.30 1578.31 2325.79 2965.72
2025-01-12 385.18 98.72 114.34 143.17 217.72 819.33 1592.04 2346.70 3611.52
2025-01-19 417.21 88.30 97.58 136.38 229.00 766.10 1739.06 3175.40 4381.90
2025-01-26 480.34 120.86 144.96 174.13 268.96 950.46 1965.01 3586.68 5674.73
2025-02-02 556.26 127.96 157.99 209.90 300.32 1123.66 2316.25 3698.09 5116.90
2025-02-09 582.24 123.57 160.70 212.58 336.36 1184.57 2516.89 4130.80 6707.74
2025-02-16 594.80 120.37 152.47 191.01 327.36 1185.61 2598.79 4709.80 6294.48
2025-02-23 717.94 176.35 201.92 254.25 393.28 1442.54 3234.93 4306.19 6421.33
2025-03-02 698.78 154.65 191.06 251.31 394.00 1539.23 3098.82 5360.69 7603.30
2025-03-09 671.55 162.82 194.27 248.41 382.49 1282.59 2558.34 4083.80 5613.38
2025-03-16 628.15 143.74 173.98 213.71 352.33 1182.01 2147.03 3166.21 5143.29
2025-03-23 469.24 111.93 127.81 155.00 252.64 1031.20 2178.22 3453.93 5198.24
2025-03-30 559.41 112.78 147.88 201.43 298.42 1087.35 1976.26 2791.65 4201.38
2025-04-06 532.49 94.47 128.22 156.66 295.73 1051.45 2307.32 3083.56 4173.18
2025-04-13 445.17 108.27 134.95 167.68 265.61 901.00 1798.34 2785.73 4220.95
2025-04-20 427.97 84.55 106.70 137.67 231.64 853.86 1588.94 2675.30 3513.59
2025-04-27 400.47 103.25 120.21 150.73 244.92 816.94 1811.39 2694.36 3589.39
2025-05-04 431.30 83.84 111.00 146.99 223.64 820.76 1550.83 2964.17 4705.13
2025-05-11 354.17 84.03 100.90 130.85 204.61 649.16 1314.64 1992.18 2634.01
2025-05-18 268.35 46.12 69.18 98.12 148.82 547.07 1079.75 1719.41 2393.57
2025-05-25 221.01 48.25 60.96 76.67 129.65 393.63 739.50 1104.32 1609.03
2025-06-01 190.28 41.64 48.62 61.53 102.06 375.69 781.94 1156.38 1706.06
2025-06-08 205.00 47.45 59.07 77.49 120.15 407.64 788.40 1272.80 1731.45
2025-06-15 160.82 36.04 44.79 57.04 84.50 314.40 601.65 929.03 1532.79
2025-06-22 147.50 34.88 42.31 52.94 87.09 294.18 661.87 1116.08 1581.60
2025-06-29 139.10 31.27 39.70 47.23 74.20 301.49 639.71 1061.99 1645.35
2025-07-06 128.31 31.23 35.64 44.56 72.96 245.28 533.75 882.45 1471.04
2025-07-13 122.49 28.70 32.42 44.12 67.05 248.23 542.58 812.05 1249.34
2025-07-20 114.40 25.31 29.85 38.94 62.14 234.04 487.69 949.88 1587.26
2025-07-27 120.48 29.05 34.48 42.71 67.24 236.17 522.07 830.60 1244.72
2025-08-03 123.10 23.16 31.44 39.64 68.45 256.99 518.26 944.57 1246.74
2025-08-10 117.45 19.98 25.51 34.95 59.62 268.24 510.78 867.36 1508.31
2025-08-17 110.03 20.05 26.19 36.18 58.47 218.74 475.71 751.67 1259.59
2025-08-24 91.69 18.29 20.84 30.53 50.25 182.82 393.67 599.09 784.76
2025-08-31 91.05 15.48 19.62 25.48 43.37 221.61 433.93 665.86 887.62
2025-09-07 105.91 18.61 23.05 31.90 55.19 256.32 548.69 996.09 1413.72
2025-09-14 98.32 19.75 22.15 29.34 49.97 174.19 422.85 627.35 1151.24
2025-09-21 92.14 17.55 20.63 28.49 45.90 205.25 505.16 897.00 1107.85
2025-09-28 90.47 13.46 17.13 22.88 43.10 202.31 502.16 871.25 1517.17
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