Prediction 3752

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Roraima

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in RR


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 7.00 0.70 1.08 1.48 3.35 17.60 37.40 62.42 95.12
2022-10-16 7.44 0.79 0.98 1.64 3.45 18.33 35.62 68.02 95.36
2022-10-23 7.07 0.51 0.70 1.25 2.78 17.29 36.11 57.29 95.42
2022-10-30 7.39 0.45 0.69 1.14 2.72 20.09 51.01 83.96 128.05
2022-11-06 12.98 1.20 1.73 2.44 5.57 31.13 70.72 117.18 192.36
2022-11-13 14.27 1.13 1.63 2.79 5.57 35.64 84.88 140.55 216.69
2022-11-20 17.21 1.17 1.77 2.76 6.99 49.36 127.41 245.67 456.49
2022-11-27 18.70 1.55 2.16 3.18 6.98 50.42 139.98 234.62 332.51
2022-12-04 23.26 1.62 2.29 3.50 9.89 61.02 151.77 273.62 426.87
2022-12-11 23.13 1.86 2.99 4.66 8.70 58.92 151.63 265.65 372.33
2022-12-18 14.79 0.96 2.12 3.26 6.67 35.28 96.77 154.06 249.85
2022-12-25 9.74 0.52 0.76 1.54 3.75 31.09 80.15 178.65 255.26
2023-01-01 33.93 3.72 5.16 6.99 14.15 79.93 195.08 361.01 504.64
2023-01-08 42.97 5.03 6.73 10.35 20.87 88.59 195.69 259.31 347.78
2023-01-15 46.26 4.19 6.56 10.09 21.37 95.36 196.81 265.79 333.82
2023-01-22 43.87 5.88 9.30 13.28 24.40 99.48 221.34 343.73 564.59
2023-01-29 49.97 7.30 11.10 14.91 26.20 93.69 209.39 301.32 429.71
2023-02-05 56.57 7.39 10.16 13.13 26.41 110.67 215.28 303.80 404.31
2023-02-12 57.87 6.54 9.84 13.93 28.62 119.02 246.49 333.41 461.84
2023-02-19 49.60 4.06 6.12 10.70 22.19 116.74 257.47 406.85 706.66
2023-02-26 54.19 8.50 13.03 17.19 29.10 111.12 205.33 326.79 453.82
2023-03-05 52.33 7.66 10.69 14.23 26.25 107.44 191.12 294.83 492.74
2023-03-12 55.78 6.90 9.02 13.52 26.34 116.02 253.10 391.36 621.84
2023-03-19 50.05 5.57 8.32 12.62 23.14 98.93 187.35 270.36 388.25
2023-03-26 42.03 4.65 7.49 10.26 20.72 92.27 178.44 259.78 372.22
2023-04-02 41.78 5.08 6.35 9.69 18.62 84.86 179.23 244.65 318.46
2023-04-09 43.01 4.71 6.39 11.74 20.94 80.59 154.99 256.02 360.55
2023-04-16 35.64 3.94 5.59 10.12 18.91 79.38 156.36 248.26 339.67
2023-04-23 36.30 5.02 6.20 9.16 17.80 81.41 180.65 293.00 449.30
2023-04-30 38.85 4.90 7.24 10.33 19.27 72.79 151.66 266.38 368.46
2023-05-07 35.40 3.98 6.60 8.61 16.09 67.01 128.94 213.27 328.38
2023-05-14 33.26 5.19 7.29 10.29 18.80 64.81 114.57 164.10 241.98
2023-05-21 24.79 2.95 4.54 7.06 12.60 53.47 108.36 177.57 257.67
2023-05-28 26.90 2.34 3.15 5.54 12.88 62.47 123.31 199.71 344.26
2023-06-04 18.28 1.89 2.51 3.82 7.72 45.54 100.30 165.98 231.80
2023-06-11 19.67 2.02 2.70 4.87 9.54 39.17 73.14 103.08 175.20
2023-06-18 15.65 1.87 2.47 3.60 7.71 30.70 58.42 87.84 112.04
2023-06-25 14.51 2.29 2.94 4.12 7.17 28.11 59.45 82.40 113.74
2023-07-02 11.86 1.78 2.34 3.21 6.15 25.72 49.68 73.33 103.36
2023-07-09 10.59 1.31 1.72 2.41 4.82 22.17 44.35 70.97 104.76
2023-07-16 11.20 0.97 1.38 2.07 4.50 24.62 54.23 91.17 137.22
2023-07-23 8.91 1.04 1.74 2.40 4.73 18.26 37.64 56.03 75.37
2023-07-30 8.39 0.72 1.04 1.53 3.39 17.97 36.12 52.08 82.66
2023-08-06 8.44 0.86 1.23 1.82 4.04 17.32 38.70 63.11 88.44
2023-08-13 7.57 0.90 1.16 1.61 3.35 14.52 26.25 38.66 67.13
2023-08-20 7.21 1.10 1.53 1.93 3.39 14.12 26.65 34.42 51.92
2023-08-27 6.12 0.77 0.92 1.45 2.85 15.05 27.50 43.44 59.42
2023-09-03 5.39 0.48 0.77 1.20 2.55 11.34 25.11 36.91 49.10
2023-09-10 5.38 0.64 0.92 1.30 2.49 12.53 23.91 38.12 54.34
2023-09-17 6.50 0.45 0.81 1.16 2.61 17.68 38.24 67.31 100.23
2023-09-24 7.08 0.89 1.22 1.90 3.62 15.15 27.83 42.53 73.50
2023-10-01 6.12 0.92 1.17 1.61 3.07 13.31 28.70 50.69 85.05
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