Prediction 3753

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Roraima

Description:

Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in RR


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 19.43 2.01 2.89 4.37 8.81 41.82 99.84 171.00 247.72
2023-10-15 19.09 1.93 2.54 3.46 8.49 45.37 91.97 140.74 204.24
2023-10-22 18.87 1.61 2.43 3.69 8.07 48.70 124.99 195.30 282.15
2023-10-29 23.35 2.00 3.03 4.46 9.71 55.67 107.56 216.16 390.55
2023-11-05 23.71 1.90 2.80 4.77 10.09 53.12 111.19 203.20 307.16
2023-11-12 22.85 1.91 2.59 4.25 9.74 58.73 143.02 254.10 347.01
2023-11-19 33.84 3.05 4.28 6.56 13.47 73.65 139.44 222.44 386.39
2023-11-26 35.32 2.48 3.98 5.79 15.12 83.37 179.15 335.05 486.82
2023-12-03 34.43 1.68 2.71 5.31 13.18 89.01 216.12 409.58 691.20
2023-12-10 31.66 2.16 3.46 6.21 13.74 77.52 194.32 298.34 453.07
2023-12-17 21.44 1.78 2.50 3.53 8.59 49.33 104.90 174.18 258.30
2023-12-24 17.16 1.47 1.97 3.54 7.68 41.52 95.97 135.40 197.37
2023-12-31 52.59 6.62 9.08 13.02 27.97 130.15 269.32 436.02 580.88
2024-01-07 69.80 9.03 12.86 17.60 33.78 136.09 257.64 368.33 519.12
2024-01-14 83.66 13.12 16.66 23.64 42.92 155.63 275.76 426.90 773.97
2024-01-21 68.01 8.09 12.15 17.83 34.18 128.99 249.90 389.06 637.17
2024-01-28 85.25 14.91 20.75 26.23 45.56 143.91 256.58 379.14 501.17
2024-02-04 77.19 16.11 18.51 24.76 43.23 144.12 255.62 364.68 464.17
2024-02-11 76.89 17.20 20.93 27.92 43.05 131.00 244.54 339.70 439.83
2024-02-18 81.51 19.29 25.41 32.72 49.62 134.32 219.35 294.17 426.16
2024-02-25 94.11 19.40 24.56 33.78 53.63 158.53 255.87 379.37 536.20
2024-03-03 87.47 14.11 20.43 26.93 47.00 177.37 305.92 464.35 706.63
2024-03-10 88.15 16.88 19.23 28.28 50.03 164.28 267.64 363.49 471.06
2024-03-17 80.34 15.21 16.85 25.51 45.17 154.57 273.19 394.22 491.89
2024-03-24 78.15 13.13 17.11 23.03 41.26 144.29 240.58 294.26 384.73
2024-03-31 70.09 12.47 16.32 20.99 35.39 134.40 226.17 307.62 420.94
2024-04-07 73.94 11.04 15.67 21.68 38.57 144.39 255.03 333.15 457.25
2024-04-14 72.62 11.84 16.38 22.11 42.37 126.34 234.87 292.35 396.30
2024-04-21 58.44 9.71 13.62 17.78 32.39 109.16 199.18 265.39 352.83
2024-04-28 61.10 9.41 12.58 20.34 34.51 112.78 195.53 247.63 374.10
2024-05-05 56.14 7.04 10.87 16.62 30.49 103.16 166.96 231.04 306.73
2024-05-12 48.28 8.13 11.15 14.49 25.32 96.12 165.66 251.78 347.74
2024-05-19 39.01 6.65 8.97 11.59 20.47 84.95 152.72 207.75 285.09
2024-05-26 45.64 6.52 9.20 12.35 22.96 85.89 155.28 219.63 281.46
2024-06-02 32.32 5.39 7.07 10.13 17.77 62.76 111.85 165.62 247.00
2024-06-09 34.67 4.42 6.60 9.51 16.11 64.31 108.73 169.16 226.51
2024-06-16 25.36 4.45 5.50 7.93 13.79 48.61 87.45 121.94 174.33
2024-06-23 24.59 3.01 4.47 6.75 11.99 45.78 80.30 129.61 172.68
2024-06-30 25.07 3.07 4.53 6.69 11.85 46.77 81.80 111.76 177.10
2024-07-07 25.87 3.42 4.33 6.69 12.91 50.94 98.62 134.34 195.33
2024-07-14 22.55 3.34 4.31 6.07 11.16 43.67 73.28 103.91 180.60
2024-07-21 17.50 2.51 3.20 5.15 9.60 38.22 72.63 117.23 163.31
2024-07-28 20.05 2.82 3.46 5.04 8.89 41.14 78.21 121.70 165.78
2024-08-04 21.66 2.17 3.61 5.60 10.57 44.11 98.13 150.73 187.14
2024-08-11 18.02 1.73 2.86 4.43 8.41 35.75 73.65 123.31 212.70
2024-08-18 18.67 2.17 2.83 3.92 7.73 43.48 89.78 163.98 256.75
2024-08-25 15.54 1.35 2.25 3.16 6.88 35.22 75.60 130.31 203.72
2024-09-01 15.51 1.37 2.28 3.26 6.62 35.46 76.57 110.00 132.65
2024-09-08 16.81 2.12 2.75 4.28 8.79 34.43 70.18 102.54 127.61
2024-09-15 17.44 1.91 2.81 4.47 8.79 31.96 66.07 95.74 144.43
2024-09-22 16.84 1.73 2.55 4.33 8.10 33.43 69.30 108.15 151.00
2024-09-29 14.67 2.32 3.34 4.30 7.25 29.81 60.60 93.89 138.47
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