Prediction 3754

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Roraima

Description:

Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in RR


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 4.95 0.32 0.44 0.72 2.04 14.69 32.81 48.83 133.25
2024-10-13 6.11 0.45 0.77 1.24 2.75 14.76 29.07 51.68 102.28
2024-10-20 6.31 0.47 0.64 1.06 2.40 15.20 43.85 77.58 109.33
2024-10-27 6.97 0.43 0.68 1.14 2.55 16.29 38.42 58.54 95.35
2024-11-03 7.82 0.48 0.83 1.34 2.95 20.23 43.37 66.14 97.07
2024-11-10 9.31 0.64 0.97 1.68 3.64 21.35 47.35 83.00 157.25
2024-11-17 10.77 0.79 1.35 1.77 3.82 24.79 59.68 105.68 193.98
2024-11-24 12.38 0.72 0.96 1.65 4.75 31.64 74.33 148.12 247.25
2024-12-01 11.59 0.86 1.29 1.81 4.48 31.90 74.99 110.35 172.56
2024-12-08 12.01 1.15 1.59 2.10 4.61 31.67 73.65 127.11 207.51
2024-12-15 8.28 0.56 0.94 1.35 3.36 22.04 56.68 96.47 139.08
2024-12-22 6.93 0.42 0.80 1.07 3.02 18.96 52.31 100.71 145.69
2024-12-29 20.50 2.03 3.36 4.36 9.58 49.29 120.24 215.98 371.98
2025-01-05 22.44 2.04 3.23 5.67 9.82 54.41 126.28 186.60 251.16
2025-01-12 29.14 3.52 4.85 7.22 12.30 64.18 128.02 203.47 268.29
2025-01-19 29.94 4.33 6.33 8.56 15.17 62.93 127.46 180.79 328.95
2025-01-26 39.98 5.01 6.74 9.38 19.48 81.54 157.71 237.64 307.79
2025-02-02 37.92 4.41 5.79 9.39 16.97 80.31 156.46 224.77 388.65
2025-02-09 43.25 4.97 7.56 10.54 21.01 87.46 186.72 288.28 422.96
2025-02-16 42.01 4.14 6.69 9.95 20.10 93.88 168.60 267.11 475.74
2025-02-23 51.92 5.60 8.81 13.13 22.39 126.73 293.07 438.05 750.27
2025-03-02 56.82 8.48 9.88 14.96 26.17 112.49 249.96 381.01 563.66
2025-03-09 54.11 6.61 9.13 13.58 26.94 127.26 248.97 368.88 520.04
2025-03-16 44.96 4.32 7.64 11.40 21.35 102.32 219.21 363.11 457.93
2025-03-23 35.55 4.25 6.36 8.61 16.31 84.94 186.01 311.34 543.93
2025-03-30 38.37 4.15 5.95 9.53 19.35 88.84 200.40 335.69 546.95
2025-04-06 41.03 5.33 6.45 9.06 16.56 87.39 198.52 309.17 489.13
2025-04-13 40.42 4.05 6.13 8.29 18.39 83.05 158.50 247.53 341.14
2025-04-20 31.54 4.36 5.50 7.10 13.16 68.83 145.11 229.66 394.29
2025-04-27 34.55 3.06 4.93 7.90 15.38 70.34 155.18 227.66 334.24
2025-05-04 34.21 2.99 4.39 7.28 15.63 77.97 166.42 244.58 410.80
2025-05-11 28.45 3.73 5.51 7.43 13.86 51.67 110.33 175.42 297.77
2025-05-18 18.92 1.69 2.65 4.14 8.62 40.51 87.42 130.30 196.80
2025-05-25 19.51 2.08 3.08 4.81 9.06 36.63 78.74 118.87 173.90
2025-06-01 14.26 1.96 2.32 3.50 7.28 33.79 68.77 121.77 161.52
2025-06-08 13.13 1.45 2.16 3.66 6.59 30.66 55.82 83.80 117.27
2025-06-15 13.61 0.97 1.66 2.44 4.99 29.23 63.63 112.26 173.66
2025-06-22 10.63 1.32 1.92 3.10 5.55 24.50 39.96 59.97 81.57
2025-06-29 11.26 1.25 1.68 2.55 4.72 27.59 62.30 97.35 161.38
2025-07-06 9.96 1.23 1.82 2.66 5.08 23.40 50.47 75.22 113.40
2025-07-13 10.37 1.01 1.35 2.07 4.38 21.10 43.19 61.36 96.90
2025-07-20 7.85 0.79 1.27 1.92 3.41 19.03 42.91 65.68 147.01
2025-07-27 8.51 0.79 1.30 1.77 3.91 18.82 38.89 62.71 96.08
2025-08-03 10.19 0.89 1.17 1.75 4.33 27.13 54.03 98.40 172.99
2025-08-10 8.60 0.75 0.94 1.53 3.48 19.33 48.56 73.75 120.07
2025-08-17 9.80 0.94 1.05 1.74 3.66 20.56 46.63 78.29 117.59
2025-08-24 7.11 0.52 0.84 1.25 3.11 16.85 47.21 74.75 100.91
2025-08-31 6.27 0.54 0.79 1.27 2.32 15.97 42.86 73.19 118.95
2025-09-07 7.36 0.48 0.66 1.13 2.49 25.70 57.49 110.51 184.93
2025-09-14 7.08 0.61 0.93 1.41 3.10 18.81 42.33 63.74 120.07
2025-09-21 6.80 0.55 0.71 1.24 2.83 15.78 36.09 56.49 82.80
2025-09-28 6.70 0.28 0.49 0.98 2.50 17.65 44.79 71.99 130.93
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