Prediction 3755

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Pará

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in PA


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 44.44 14.96 18.30 22.26 30.79 68.42 98.25 127.27 163.57
2022-10-16 45.30 15.31 18.45 21.84 31.33 68.82 107.07 160.58 198.78
2022-10-23 49.09 14.38 19.12 22.50 31.89 77.91 130.10 169.99 223.06
2022-10-30 54.79 15.00 17.73 23.16 36.35 93.95 160.79 216.31 275.35
2022-11-06 72.71 23.42 27.58 33.16 46.57 121.19 204.10 254.69 324.42
2022-11-13 97.61 31.53 34.82 43.52 66.14 149.90 222.76 309.71 448.58
2022-11-20 114.24 33.00 40.10 48.94 67.70 192.59 323.30 430.92 537.51
2022-11-27 120.75 33.25 42.62 54.30 80.07 192.58 348.62 469.67 682.60
2022-12-04 141.70 40.37 48.96 59.94 91.89 231.17 373.33 498.55 769.82
2022-12-11 141.00 39.05 47.70 59.47 86.21 235.97 385.85 553.95 756.36
2022-12-18 97.33 29.76 35.83 44.42 65.36 153.92 238.14 318.89 415.42
2022-12-25 68.59 17.89 20.22 26.55 43.90 126.86 221.85 312.74 449.48
2023-01-01 171.46 59.67 66.57 84.88 115.30 254.80 368.83 487.32 649.22
2023-01-08 194.23 76.83 89.85 105.93 139.02 288.19 413.06 560.84 641.81
2023-01-15 211.91 72.29 82.51 101.98 145.21 320.99 442.52 569.32 646.04
2023-01-22 199.37 70.00 87.00 102.56 143.90 309.08 480.86 660.94 943.04
2023-01-29 236.97 97.34 110.17 132.74 177.02 347.95 485.73 618.45 836.70
2023-02-05 242.67 100.79 113.61 135.59 171.89 366.64 526.46 647.41 845.22
2023-02-12 312.43 124.56 140.78 169.94 220.82 430.26 609.68 809.32 990.34
2023-02-19 272.67 108.53 119.65 134.08 185.50 432.62 652.07 847.04 987.83
2023-02-26 281.34 112.58 129.03 147.72 202.67 386.19 541.07 703.07 831.58
2023-03-05 240.69 101.61 117.13 134.51 169.76 343.63 495.78 605.21 756.64
2023-03-12 264.24 103.81 125.13 144.97 191.28 386.01 555.46 685.66 789.98
2023-03-19 242.21 93.43 108.34 127.23 169.51 347.94 499.60 621.90 807.70
2023-03-26 223.96 74.66 90.31 112.05 147.45 328.69 459.82 626.59 874.06
2023-04-02 194.41 78.54 86.48 100.02 134.23 276.12 390.91 545.09 739.82
2023-04-09 205.43 81.81 92.06 107.01 137.49 294.28 447.04 585.85 936.47
2023-04-16 205.70 77.91 91.17 105.23 143.69 285.40 427.74 508.30 595.60
2023-04-23 174.42 63.02 73.84 88.33 125.85 235.31 340.43 455.11 599.23
2023-04-30 171.48 72.93 79.83 90.60 125.33 240.28 331.34 408.53 482.09
2023-05-07 169.53 69.16 80.56 93.98 121.83 242.27 358.92 468.56 584.87
2023-05-14 155.67 64.40 73.40 84.15 109.01 215.05 293.40 373.39 462.43
2023-05-21 132.33 55.72 63.96 71.90 92.21 195.51 267.45 324.40 441.04
2023-05-28 144.66 46.71 52.09 61.82 88.67 223.07 328.71 421.65 528.16
2023-06-04 99.65 36.13 45.86 54.41 70.31 139.21 204.18 259.77 329.46
2023-06-11 94.83 38.12 44.38 51.75 67.60 131.58 191.03 257.79 322.70
2023-06-18 78.30 32.44 38.02 43.43 55.13 110.79 153.88 179.25 226.43
2023-06-25 74.04 29.75 33.67 40.97 52.45 105.54 144.36 174.61 209.54
2023-07-02 65.19 23.55 28.69 32.31 43.55 95.39 131.86 163.95 208.36
2023-07-09 59.35 22.33 26.74 30.82 40.56 87.02 128.65 159.55 192.15
2023-07-16 53.34 17.73 23.09 29.16 37.73 76.50 111.06 141.99 177.27
2023-07-23 53.07 20.51 22.66 26.56 36.48 73.15 103.73 121.83 149.97
2023-07-30 46.85 19.05 21.68 24.54 32.58 68.41 102.84 137.02 183.01
2023-08-06 51.06 17.89 20.16 23.87 33.34 72.26 111.90 165.50 212.49
2023-08-13 39.44 14.45 16.89 20.37 27.53 61.16 90.67 109.17 151.86
2023-08-20 40.68 17.59 19.23 22.76 30.17 59.71 86.38 111.03 138.30
2023-08-27 46.35 16.34 18.41 22.55 30.69 66.98 99.69 126.96 148.06
2023-09-03 35.50 13.41 15.04 18.12 25.11 52.73 82.56 105.64 130.13
2023-09-10 37.30 14.11 16.41 19.90 26.86 57.81 98.01 130.21 188.17
2023-09-17 46.64 13.32 15.27 19.95 28.11 77.40 129.09 170.68 231.98
2023-09-24 40.01 14.83 16.56 19.24 27.61 60.70 92.84 118.23 146.92
2023-10-01 37.48 14.24 16.60 19.41 27.64 56.40 85.52 114.60 161.57
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