Prediction 3756

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Pará

Description:

Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in PA


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 80.50 26.77 31.44 38.75 54.46 115.56 189.04 257.65 347.90
2023-10-15 78.74 28.96 33.14 40.22 55.72 128.63 193.58 296.72 394.21
2023-10-22 96.48 33.73 37.84 47.19 63.85 156.51 233.81 305.62 549.64
2023-10-29 103.02 34.13 40.98 49.59 72.36 163.75 267.68 436.49 630.54
2023-11-05 110.34 40.29 44.96 55.48 78.26 167.17 283.85 385.65 544.95
2023-11-12 132.04 39.69 50.56 58.15 86.28 204.35 323.66 390.04 558.48
2023-11-19 143.12 46.18 54.61 67.19 90.07 214.29 323.50 439.14 602.07
2023-11-26 160.83 51.38 60.56 70.68 101.30 266.36 479.54 669.23 953.19
2023-12-03 202.34 50.75 65.35 83.18 122.64 364.09 715.41 1119.20 1847.99
2023-12-10 153.45 48.82 57.36 71.42 99.71 232.58 420.88 598.87 798.64
2023-12-17 93.82 29.49 35.74 42.40 60.03 158.77 275.55 407.99 488.47
2023-12-24 86.45 27.94 33.02 40.71 57.56 138.74 213.38 275.22 397.37
2023-12-31 231.71 89.31 113.48 135.32 175.30 354.08 532.70 640.52 864.09
2024-01-07 249.36 101.76 113.16 135.12 185.40 362.73 511.63 652.33 932.70
2024-01-14 282.30 131.06 139.04 169.78 217.75 400.50 575.25 681.78 817.09
2024-01-21 266.10 125.96 142.58 157.17 202.79 382.37 530.55 641.60 771.76
2024-01-28 279.91 124.66 141.81 163.18 210.90 376.14 485.31 576.98 752.94
2024-02-04 278.85 117.94 145.54 175.57 215.03 414.39 537.08 662.48 854.93
2024-02-11 257.48 135.94 144.26 161.26 205.17 330.17 416.93 489.93 581.15
2024-02-18 245.72 122.63 131.00 156.39 194.40 312.85 399.25 489.17 579.79
2024-02-25 302.93 144.99 159.77 185.05 233.41 378.88 486.12 582.27 689.83
2024-03-03 293.61 140.55 157.70 180.94 227.37 384.63 496.99 610.80 767.75
2024-03-10 310.04 132.68 152.54 185.64 235.99 412.05 544.70 628.86 745.98
2024-03-17 266.85 129.89 148.91 172.04 206.45 352.58 456.70 519.79 665.76
2024-03-24 253.19 122.79 135.64 154.93 191.23 325.55 452.26 526.78 605.66
2024-03-31 236.94 113.51 124.14 141.91 177.05 323.28 419.53 509.26 577.15
2024-04-07 259.17 114.51 130.43 151.16 201.35 361.21 491.41 619.63 797.51
2024-04-14 256.46 123.19 136.19 150.49 190.14 350.14 464.34 593.55 888.31
2024-04-21 202.78 92.56 100.48 118.90 150.90 270.34 404.62 481.30 589.30
2024-04-28 202.56 90.52 99.34 114.95 150.35 278.66 354.39 461.74 521.92
2024-05-05 214.07 89.99 104.88 118.03 157.90 297.40 390.04 471.72 567.67
2024-05-12 170.74 79.14 89.54 103.57 129.03 227.04 298.73 341.54 418.98
2024-05-19 156.64 78.57 87.68 96.16 120.85 220.51 314.14 390.82 501.37
2024-05-26 148.01 67.30 73.70 90.03 112.49 205.11 288.66 350.54 418.52
2024-06-02 126.52 55.21 60.84 73.02 96.02 174.31 259.68 319.42 388.13
2024-06-09 120.95 54.84 60.90 69.58 90.96 162.78 233.73 301.10 342.48
2024-06-16 95.97 47.85 51.89 59.74 74.73 132.15 176.36 217.10 244.36
2024-06-23 89.13 41.39 46.76 53.80 66.70 123.07 162.09 202.30 241.14
2024-06-30 89.26 34.86 40.57 51.14 64.60 116.91 164.11 191.42 225.55
2024-07-07 90.31 37.06 43.59 49.94 64.70 124.06 164.53 200.04 253.59
2024-07-14 84.39 37.73 40.55 47.38 60.60 113.31 157.84 212.89 269.10
2024-07-21 72.72 32.57 36.56 42.30 54.33 102.71 141.30 173.55 204.19
2024-07-28 83.39 31.96 39.56 47.22 61.87 118.80 166.82 210.33 261.33
2024-08-04 90.05 37.32 43.36 50.32 64.88 126.67 175.69 214.30 251.95
2024-08-11 83.19 32.68 39.93 48.22 61.98 116.29 164.87 215.80 254.53
2024-08-18 87.52 34.28 37.86 44.97 62.09 125.07 170.61 257.94 347.64
2024-08-25 75.32 26.12 32.06 38.25 51.13 110.67 166.73 209.27 295.02
2024-09-01 66.03 23.99 27.47 32.88 43.99 97.85 149.48 190.69 218.09
2024-09-08 67.86 26.75 29.92 34.43 47.03 96.03 142.22 198.11 297.59
2024-09-15 69.69 28.53 31.68 38.05 48.95 96.19 147.73 197.41 271.44
2024-09-22 64.94 24.45 28.47 34.00 45.37 92.84 137.26 196.99 269.36
2024-09-29 63.39 28.15 30.19 33.56 43.44 92.15 143.47 224.17 304.41
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