Prediction 3757
Model | Dengue oracle - M2 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | ParĂ¡ |
Description:
Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in PA
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-10-06 | 119.11 | 44.27 | 52.44 | 62.58 | 82.80 | 176.60 | 251.01 | 315.73 | 428.93 |
2024-10-13 | 145.22 | 50.54 | 60.77 | 72.46 | 98.77 | 224.31 | 316.32 | 399.77 | 499.14 |
2024-10-20 | 137.33 | 51.93 | 57.06 | 65.28 | 93.49 | 209.68 | 335.00 | 444.34 | 501.57 |
2024-10-27 | 137.08 | 54.14 | 59.54 | 73.29 | 100.78 | 214.49 | 331.38 | 418.43 | 473.98 |
2024-11-03 | 175.77 | 50.36 | 65.60 | 82.26 | 116.32 | 272.24 | 405.13 | 518.82 | 745.05 |
2024-11-10 | 204.42 | 60.44 | 72.44 | 94.07 | 132.72 | 319.84 | 508.86 | 689.57 | 862.22 |
2024-11-17 | 202.47 | 68.44 | 81.05 | 91.28 | 131.31 | 321.88 | 506.01 | 744.19 | 1035.28 |
2024-11-24 | 213.59 | 56.95 | 78.05 | 96.17 | 136.25 | 330.84 | 559.59 | 893.61 | 1140.70 |
2024-12-01 | 213.82 | 70.71 | 84.06 | 98.74 | 135.20 | 319.60 | 521.84 | 755.47 | 954.02 |
2024-12-08 | 253.62 | 75.50 | 88.96 | 105.33 | 156.13 | 385.62 | 607.21 | 805.33 | 1455.68 |
2024-12-15 | 180.27 | 52.02 | 59.48 | 78.71 | 111.24 | 310.14 | 544.47 | 753.23 | 1027.28 |
2024-12-22 | 156.94 | 61.05 | 68.55 | 80.20 | 108.48 | 233.42 | 344.71 | 442.99 | 563.94 |
2024-12-29 | 364.00 | 143.44 | 161.29 | 200.02 | 262.55 | 518.76 | 793.56 | 961.36 | 1128.91 |
2025-01-05 | 386.48 | 165.17 | 190.40 | 224.77 | 291.42 | 547.20 | 744.00 | 902.32 | 1047.46 |
2025-01-12 | 429.76 | 207.76 | 222.40 | 250.04 | 325.05 | 573.42 | 767.16 | 912.22 | 1054.05 |
2025-01-19 | 435.85 | 181.88 | 222.96 | 271.45 | 332.05 | 580.04 | 737.98 | 848.81 | 1054.62 |
2025-01-26 | 491.31 | 237.26 | 271.43 | 305.29 | 379.44 | 642.60 | 836.49 | 1017.09 | 1170.32 |
2025-02-02 | 543.51 | 243.98 | 276.61 | 337.92 | 425.73 | 694.69 | 914.89 | 1086.73 | 1220.27 |
2025-02-09 | 522.35 | 242.70 | 272.33 | 302.07 | 385.97 | 674.34 | 847.24 | 996.24 | 1152.36 |
2025-02-16 | 555.22 | 267.21 | 287.78 | 339.34 | 426.05 | 775.08 | 992.55 | 1137.23 | 1397.15 |
2025-02-23 | 616.86 | 322.16 | 341.83 | 376.67 | 474.31 | 810.18 | 1047.19 | 1262.89 | 1508.69 |
2025-03-02 | 613.87 | 304.30 | 348.96 | 391.50 | 479.95 | 814.95 | 1140.40 | 1319.79 | 1508.54 |
2025-03-09 | 572.07 | 282.14 | 326.01 | 358.75 | 450.60 | 770.67 | 946.91 | 1091.00 | 1310.78 |
2025-03-16 | 486.19 | 225.19 | 255.09 | 299.89 | 369.03 | 626.65 | 841.62 | 1000.55 | 1228.02 |
2025-03-23 | 449.70 | 223.92 | 242.76 | 281.62 | 339.10 | 600.71 | 741.12 | 866.18 | 1006.94 |
2025-03-30 | 434.97 | 212.69 | 236.22 | 264.13 | 334.62 | 559.11 | 767.58 | 955.56 | 1119.67 |
2025-04-06 | 433.19 | 209.59 | 227.64 | 260.54 | 336.83 | 608.63 | 840.99 | 993.44 | 1124.41 |
2025-04-13 | 434.91 | 210.60 | 229.99 | 263.07 | 327.57 | 585.69 | 821.54 | 1011.24 | 1227.06 |
2025-04-20 | 338.31 | 160.35 | 178.12 | 205.32 | 256.02 | 449.92 | 606.10 | 799.34 | 1006.36 |
2025-04-27 | 362.72 | 158.34 | 180.55 | 215.11 | 273.21 | 498.86 | 699.58 | 894.76 | 1030.26 |
2025-05-04 | 308.61 | 130.26 | 153.90 | 174.56 | 227.28 | 440.09 | 593.96 | 712.04 | 915.41 |
2025-05-11 | 279.19 | 124.92 | 139.09 | 162.88 | 207.12 | 371.93 | 475.07 | 579.13 | 783.54 |
2025-05-18 | 208.70 | 94.18 | 112.41 | 124.82 | 157.67 | 299.19 | 395.29 | 481.26 | 624.96 |
2025-05-25 | 167.96 | 77.90 | 86.88 | 98.08 | 124.59 | 224.66 | 314.61 | 382.09 | 446.79 |
2025-06-01 | 127.48 | 59.77 | 67.61 | 79.57 | 97.33 | 179.68 | 249.73 | 300.49 | 383.90 |
2025-06-08 | 141.04 | 65.84 | 76.01 | 87.42 | 108.21 | 183.66 | 244.81 | 283.29 | 316.24 |
2025-06-15 | 142.23 | 63.27 | 71.83 | 81.78 | 111.32 | 195.07 | 270.00 | 368.30 | 440.45 |
2025-06-22 | 126.31 | 57.11 | 64.10 | 73.45 | 93.88 | 172.01 | 226.30 | 278.25 | 329.63 |
2025-06-29 | 121.27 | 54.74 | 61.53 | 71.41 | 90.11 | 169.13 | 219.42 | 267.60 | 341.82 |
2025-07-06 | 103.98 | 46.31 | 52.72 | 60.64 | 78.53 | 153.86 | 218.60 | 264.71 | 310.76 |
2025-07-13 | 107.71 | 50.29 | 56.86 | 63.09 | 81.03 | 154.73 | 196.65 | 249.86 | 308.77 |
2025-07-20 | 112.12 | 44.05 | 52.74 | 62.49 | 79.62 | 156.76 | 212.44 | 271.31 | 310.21 |
2025-07-27 | 98.22 | 39.04 | 45.56 | 54.16 | 70.98 | 131.60 | 187.45 | 245.52 | 362.17 |
2025-08-03 | 109.43 | 40.88 | 46.64 | 56.71 | 76.34 | 152.13 | 236.79 | 324.99 | 491.80 |
2025-08-10 | 101.70 | 34.43 | 41.77 | 50.97 | 70.17 | 153.21 | 224.40 | 259.64 | 297.08 |
2025-08-17 | 105.65 | 39.10 | 45.37 | 53.49 | 77.76 | 143.10 | 216.98 | 292.88 | 356.86 |
2025-08-24 | 80.03 | 33.27 | 37.24 | 43.40 | 59.17 | 109.49 | 162.82 | 205.50 | 245.91 |
2025-08-31 | 72.05 | 24.87 | 30.18 | 35.03 | 51.99 | 106.91 | 159.36 | 209.47 | 248.85 |
2025-09-07 | 83.09 | 30.29 | 34.67 | 41.24 | 57.45 | 118.19 | 175.21 | 227.53 | 341.82 |
2025-09-14 | 66.94 | 27.40 | 30.64 | 35.81 | 46.98 | 96.64 | 140.88 | 180.39 | 236.45 |
2025-09-21 | 68.76 | 27.87 | 30.31 | 35.65 | 48.88 | 100.69 | 147.17 | 192.32 | 279.37 |
2025-09-28 | 62.63 | 23.07 | 25.54 | 31.65 | 44.34 | 101.30 | 148.11 | 188.40 | 249.43 |