Prediction 3758

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Amapá

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in AP


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 4.79 0.80 1.10 1.58 2.48 10.13 16.88 24.64 37.89
2022-10-16 5.56 0.78 1.01 1.39 2.70 11.97 23.32 35.46 55.47
2022-10-23 5.57 0.75 1.04 1.50 3.02 11.11 22.83 35.29 55.19
2022-10-30 5.85 0.64 0.84 1.34 2.72 15.25 30.57 46.47 70.96
2022-11-06 8.15 0.87 1.42 2.14 3.97 19.98 37.78 66.94 106.28
2022-11-13 11.01 1.29 1.68 2.57 4.89 21.64 43.28 69.75 111.70
2022-11-20 15.96 1.63 2.16 3.58 7.18 35.34 82.80 129.69 160.21
2022-11-27 18.65 2.27 3.16 4.47 7.87 44.54 91.98 126.56 169.57
2022-12-04 21.25 1.31 2.69 4.21 8.58 43.93 105.10 149.71 213.06
2022-12-11 18.45 1.90 2.51 4.22 8.07 40.37 93.36 164.67 259.50
2022-12-18 13.26 1.65 2.14 3.21 5.73 26.79 52.71 86.81 120.54
2022-12-25 9.30 0.75 1.05 1.71 3.73 21.82 54.13 94.22 155.09
2023-01-01 21.82 3.68 4.94 6.82 11.94 47.94 86.61 118.37 159.10
2023-01-08 31.08 5.06 6.51 8.90 17.00 56.59 92.93 136.47 175.22
2023-01-15 32.08 6.07 7.27 9.77 15.67 62.21 101.91 151.44 241.01
2023-01-22 32.74 6.31 8.59 11.02 18.17 63.48 118.71 167.00 219.63
2023-01-29 34.98 7.65 10.20 12.33 21.50 65.42 115.34 176.26 213.44
2023-02-05 36.08 5.58 7.59 11.66 20.11 66.33 114.59 173.17 250.23
2023-02-12 44.75 6.82 9.55 14.27 25.13 80.52 141.46 207.79 275.87
2023-02-19 36.47 5.66 7.29 11.60 19.55 78.56 158.41 226.96 288.47
2023-02-26 42.04 7.72 10.56 14.19 24.94 73.07 127.28 168.25 215.12
2023-03-05 37.29 6.43 7.90 11.48 21.21 64.92 105.54 130.16 150.06
2023-03-12 39.29 7.27 9.74 13.16 21.28 68.50 112.73 159.21 229.35
2023-03-19 34.74 5.54 8.60 11.83 19.11 62.34 111.26 157.03 220.11
2023-03-26 29.62 5.04 7.10 9.26 15.56 58.56 109.55 185.78 255.10
2023-04-02 30.46 5.42 7.48 9.41 16.95 56.35 91.51 148.24 226.30
2023-04-09 30.17 5.80 7.33 10.61 16.28 54.55 96.01 149.85 208.24
2023-04-16 29.47 5.67 6.99 8.71 15.11 54.23 93.27 123.83 165.21
2023-04-23 25.20 5.92 6.73 8.71 14.09 43.80 80.28 107.35 154.28
2023-04-30 26.51 6.06 7.62 10.05 15.14 43.70 77.98 108.32 142.49
2023-05-07 24.96 4.61 5.69 7.82 13.54 46.62 87.99 115.06 163.54
2023-05-14 19.37 4.21 5.05 7.07 11.78 35.51 61.26 83.13 109.59
2023-05-21 19.18 3.78 4.41 6.24 10.92 35.48 71.05 94.19 132.88
2023-05-28 17.49 2.27 3.14 4.54 9.12 36.34 75.95 125.47 228.93
2023-06-04 12.76 2.04 2.74 3.56 6.37 23.47 42.33 56.19 90.88
2023-06-11 12.38 2.43 3.04 4.02 6.31 21.47 36.75 53.08 72.07
2023-06-18 10.01 1.95 2.60 3.57 6.16 17.60 31.60 44.71 64.56
2023-06-25 9.81 2.07 2.74 3.45 5.55 15.98 26.31 36.19 46.97
2023-07-02 8.51 1.47 1.87 2.55 4.54 17.22 30.15 43.38 55.97
2023-07-09 7.08 1.17 1.73 2.26 3.89 12.84 25.08 35.13 53.52
2023-07-16 6.30 1.20 1.61 2.17 3.54 13.06 25.99 40.65 60.70
2023-07-23 6.14 1.37 1.64 2.24 3.48 11.29 20.33 28.65 39.28
2023-07-30 5.50 0.78 0.94 1.83 2.94 10.96 21.02 27.89 37.11
2023-08-06 5.89 1.03 1.21 1.70 3.12 11.46 19.22 28.88 36.31
2023-08-13 4.75 0.79 1.18 1.55 2.59 9.08 15.70 21.87 29.50
2023-08-20 4.49 0.88 1.16 1.52 2.61 7.80 14.02 20.07 29.13
2023-08-27 4.21 0.71 0.82 1.10 2.08 8.49 18.64 27.00 38.53
2023-09-03 3.62 0.45 0.70 1.10 1.95 7.03 12.63 15.83 22.73
2023-09-10 3.80 0.66 0.83 1.13 1.83 7.67 14.29 22.78 27.68
2023-09-17 4.88 0.61 0.79 1.26 2.34 11.74 23.41 34.51 51.15
2023-09-24 5.01 0.99 1.27 1.63 2.60 9.52 18.70 29.41 37.77
2023-10-01 4.67 0.87 1.03 1.41 2.47 8.64 15.11 19.74 27.10
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