Prediction 3759

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Amapá

Description:

Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in AP


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 9.16 1.11 1.59 2.26 4.38 20.28 42.98 62.48 106.40
2023-10-15 9.54 1.58 2.01 2.62 4.40 19.98 44.79 59.80 82.10
2023-10-22 12.88 1.25 1.72 2.83 5.58 25.48 56.40 96.58 191.01
2023-10-29 15.33 2.07 2.72 3.87 7.14 30.92 64.87 108.61 164.90
2023-11-05 13.15 1.79 2.37 3.81 6.36 27.93 51.41 86.51 167.38
2023-11-12 15.67 1.95 2.77 4.10 7.35 36.60 76.48 117.04 202.20
2023-11-19 16.73 2.68 3.35 4.51 8.90 38.82 87.11 145.39 196.47
2023-11-26 21.99 2.32 3.21 4.99 9.94 46.07 100.45 186.07 309.94
2023-12-03 24.69 2.12 3.48 4.98 9.87 53.98 135.01 229.71 393.61
2023-12-10 19.60 1.85 2.78 4.49 8.70 45.03 87.49 157.26 228.64
2023-12-17 12.71 1.30 1.67 2.42 5.75 26.99 61.46 90.15 124.06
2023-12-24 10.67 1.33 1.84 2.56 5.01 21.26 36.12 53.30 89.08
2023-12-31 31.89 4.66 7.34 10.02 16.30 62.21 122.99 188.68 248.00
2024-01-07 36.89 7.88 9.36 12.02 19.16 66.87 120.06 189.86 256.91
2024-01-14 41.59 6.57 9.08 13.00 22.46 73.20 139.67 197.59 251.98
2024-01-21 41.23 8.40 10.52 14.84 23.40 70.42 123.74 181.45 235.77
2024-01-28 44.40 9.90 12.63 15.52 25.66 75.69 119.50 156.13 193.97
2024-02-04 43.75 10.30 13.91 17.21 27.63 71.50 113.67 151.45 238.27
2024-02-11 41.76 11.50 15.15 18.86 27.75 71.57 111.35 129.89 179.05
2024-02-18 35.57 8.26 11.40 15.38 23.90 57.26 86.40 122.22 148.24
2024-02-25 44.87 12.05 14.78 18.30 28.32 72.60 108.20 144.24 180.68
2024-03-03 45.90 11.66 13.81 18.49 26.96 73.72 121.55 159.21 217.81
2024-03-10 46.32 10.63 13.30 18.07 26.69 75.10 123.76 157.32 184.10
2024-03-17 40.68 9.55 12.28 15.46 22.94 67.53 110.98 157.04 199.06
2024-03-24 36.82 7.98 10.60 13.41 21.77 67.04 99.93 127.89 161.97
2024-03-31 39.53 8.58 10.33 14.24 23.56 65.55 110.41 143.55 182.09
2024-04-07 37.53 8.09 10.57 13.01 22.20 73.00 115.96 162.69 219.84
2024-04-14 38.28 8.85 10.31 14.20 21.58 70.28 121.85 167.45 218.86
2024-04-21 32.54 7.57 9.43 12.60 19.28 53.51 85.18 115.97 158.68
2024-04-28 34.02 7.25 9.27 12.03 19.20 55.75 88.10 119.40 148.80
2024-05-05 31.35 5.97 7.52 9.90 17.46 56.63 92.91 137.14 208.00
2024-05-12 25.05 5.41 7.16 9.32 14.59 45.53 70.93 91.37 115.30
2024-05-19 23.94 4.90 6.61 8.60 14.15 42.52 75.49 100.59 134.02
2024-05-26 23.43 4.90 5.69 8.41 14.15 38.30 70.66 97.21 133.69
2024-06-02 17.85 3.86 4.73 6.29 10.26 32.36 59.49 75.63 91.18
2024-06-09 17.41 3.50 4.80 6.18 10.34 27.79 51.77 68.77 85.27
2024-06-16 12.94 3.00 3.64 4.84 7.29 21.63 35.45 48.68 60.17
2024-06-23 11.21 2.09 3.00 4.10 6.69 20.08 32.53 43.87 54.01
2024-06-30 12.84 2.89 3.39 4.68 7.19 21.27 35.70 50.06 63.03
2024-07-07 12.71 2.40 3.07 4.32 7.62 22.50 39.41 50.48 68.91
2024-07-14 11.39 2.11 2.95 4.00 6.68 20.45 34.40 50.00 65.82
2024-07-21 10.40 2.19 2.84 3.57 5.61 20.26 33.86 49.64 58.12
2024-07-28 10.56 1.58 2.30 3.25 5.96 20.22 38.22 48.23 79.51
2024-08-04 9.78 1.94 2.17 3.04 5.61 17.95 31.86 43.46 51.78
2024-08-11 9.11 1.79 2.42 3.18 5.14 17.45 31.53 53.08 80.85
2024-08-18 10.97 1.93 2.37 3.10 5.53 21.39 39.58 59.33 77.35
2024-08-25 8.70 1.37 2.07 2.63 4.49 17.48 32.76 49.13 65.74
2024-09-01 7.83 1.04 1.47 2.18 4.15 16.90 29.63 41.33 60.81
2024-09-08 8.43 1.24 1.79 2.35 4.14 16.41 37.32 53.33 86.38
2024-09-15 9.14 1.47 1.90 2.53 4.86 17.52 31.90 48.05 77.19
2024-09-22 8.54 1.46 1.93 2.53 4.27 16.52 31.46 45.41 57.00
2024-09-29 8.39 1.31 1.75 2.67 4.56 16.86 31.54 46.59 86.19
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