Prediction 3760

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Amapá

Description:

Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in AP


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 29.67 4.08 4.99 8.98 16.27 53.07 109.48 152.75 225.70
2024-10-13 36.58 5.78 6.93 9.83 16.96 72.93 151.77 231.13 311.80
2024-10-20 35.23 4.30 6.24 8.67 16.99 69.55 152.10 268.30 376.61
2024-10-27 32.22 4.86 6.27 8.71 16.36 69.10 128.57 190.15 324.05
2024-11-03 42.64 5.91 8.01 11.85 20.80 84.51 186.44 313.40 503.40
2024-11-10 42.65 6.05 7.60 11.52 21.44 84.43 189.77 286.99 420.19
2024-11-17 44.02 5.16 7.46 10.93 20.96 87.25 168.88 238.15 333.40
2024-11-24 47.39 5.94 7.85 11.25 22.63 107.78 226.57 346.85 530.26
2024-12-01 54.47 7.10 9.15 11.98 24.76 112.14 213.36 332.16 487.38
2024-12-08 53.48 6.67 8.93 14.17 25.93 118.04 264.50 399.43 650.09
2024-12-15 37.75 4.69 6.95 9.31 17.74 73.56 165.29 251.12 391.36
2024-12-22 45.06 6.56 8.88 12.17 21.96 87.32 164.09 248.67 324.76
2024-12-29 88.00 14.73 19.51 27.59 49.33 170.53 292.44 426.56 564.04
2025-01-05 104.13 24.66 33.17 44.18 61.74 184.36 341.85 425.56 539.34
2025-01-12 131.47 21.03 28.63 42.34 72.53 206.99 329.81 440.14 577.18
2025-01-19 123.15 27.72 36.43 46.22 75.38 210.23 350.33 464.74 666.77
2025-01-26 145.10 35.25 45.52 59.09 88.29 232.30 350.37 455.40 554.47
2025-02-02 151.53 42.34 51.32 63.25 99.33 236.57 377.32 508.29 783.46
2025-02-09 150.69 40.94 50.86 61.55 97.45 246.92 366.25 477.64 655.74
2025-02-16 149.51 49.74 55.83 68.12 96.34 247.65 381.26 521.47 640.85
2025-02-23 171.89 40.79 51.24 70.81 110.38 277.62 407.35 517.51 600.29
2025-03-02 178.58 47.30 58.17 70.80 117.41 285.56 489.20 654.10 937.05
2025-03-09 162.53 38.71 51.58 64.75 97.23 257.87 403.66 503.26 726.45
2025-03-16 141.38 38.01 45.01 58.61 89.66 231.22 341.38 465.73 589.34
2025-03-23 134.68 32.99 43.39 54.10 80.33 213.81 334.57 461.91 523.68
2025-03-30 123.91 30.56 42.96 52.47 78.24 201.97 303.72 401.04 475.47
2025-04-06 130.14 29.54 37.16 51.27 81.04 211.14 362.72 499.25 648.77
2025-04-13 125.35 29.75 36.82 46.18 73.18 204.08 364.42 498.44 673.59
2025-04-20 99.70 25.44 28.70 37.35 59.10 168.01 262.95 366.61 444.18
2025-04-27 103.73 21.55 28.45 36.58 59.24 179.43 281.67 364.42 472.66
2025-05-04 86.13 19.66 26.08 32.21 50.73 143.93 251.59 333.49 414.13
2025-05-11 82.89 19.29 26.72 33.83 50.37 142.75 214.98 284.70 345.38
2025-05-18 63.14 13.78 18.02 22.14 37.26 112.86 181.41 240.52 314.11
2025-05-25 47.10 10.39 13.33 16.80 27.37 80.29 136.51 179.08 208.71
2025-06-01 34.58 7.78 10.12 13.04 20.35 61.89 95.08 124.61 149.57
2025-06-08 38.56 10.64 13.00 16.53 24.80 64.32 94.09 130.47 163.48
2025-06-15 39.63 8.97 11.92 15.67 23.45 66.84 103.15 137.30 167.22
2025-06-22 32.29 8.62 9.82 13.33 20.50 58.34 102.27 144.00 190.24
2025-06-29 33.57 7.85 9.54 12.46 19.33 57.20 86.03 116.49 193.33
2025-07-06 26.79 6.43 7.79 10.67 15.33 46.55 84.63 117.20 177.69
2025-07-13 30.30 5.26 7.20 9.22 16.07 53.02 90.57 123.49 158.27
2025-07-20 26.47 6.47 7.92 10.49 17.34 45.90 73.60 99.41 121.02
2025-07-27 30.17 5.34 7.86 10.65 17.88 56.26 90.21 127.40 179.79
2025-08-03 27.83 4.51 6.79 8.26 14.44 52.27 88.35 132.69 182.06
2025-08-10 26.40 4.85 5.87 7.96 13.57 47.97 94.75 125.50 172.59
2025-08-17 26.61 4.84 6.04 8.73 15.18 49.52 84.09 127.69 149.73
2025-08-24 19.87 3.89 5.07 7.09 11.31 32.02 57.11 84.39 130.99
2025-08-31 20.02 3.52 4.45 6.05 10.78 34.57 64.50 89.59 128.50
2025-09-07 18.93 3.24 4.50 6.57 11.01 37.58 71.15 99.11 140.60
2025-09-14 17.72 3.76 5.03 6.39 10.71 30.95 55.77 74.04 93.45
2025-09-21 16.54 3.00 3.76 5.37 9.47 33.03 58.11 82.68 137.94
2025-09-28 17.93 2.45 3.18 4.68 8.45 33.71 64.13 89.00 119.39
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