Prediction 3761

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Tocantins

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in TO


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 37.08 10.25 13.67 16.91 23.30 66.09 108.80 160.69 235.67
2022-10-16 41.83 10.94 12.65 16.86 26.64 70.94 128.37 173.88 252.12
2022-10-23 41.61 10.41 11.97 15.07 25.21 70.70 129.61 211.12 319.67
2022-10-30 46.98 10.41 12.98 17.07 27.36 88.86 166.13 228.65 312.17
2022-11-06 62.28 14.96 17.63 24.48 35.04 114.96 200.07 285.22 375.09
2022-11-13 85.38 20.81 25.84 34.93 52.74 149.54 260.95 407.20 566.66
2022-11-20 101.67 20.82 26.41 33.30 58.53 194.72 386.72 536.84 812.12
2022-11-27 102.92 27.30 32.00 42.65 60.60 195.88 375.58 568.53 807.72
2022-12-04 116.09 25.34 33.00 43.54 71.72 208.80 373.66 540.31 785.84
2022-12-11 129.89 30.06 38.60 48.01 73.28 233.36 396.98 531.56 729.89
2022-12-18 87.62 24.15 27.21 32.89 49.82 151.58 254.37 415.20 585.35
2022-12-25 60.56 11.41 15.27 18.83 29.91 107.65 194.16 266.73 385.67
2023-01-01 154.57 42.10 53.79 63.85 93.67 255.17 394.87 512.23 668.49
2023-01-08 182.34 57.61 68.95 84.47 120.58 298.80 442.13 608.50 791.63
2023-01-15 189.36 55.64 66.16 81.65 119.52 312.43 481.68 654.62 969.22
2023-01-22 196.45 53.11 66.19 82.27 120.14 321.15 522.30 743.52 927.55
2023-01-29 226.03 73.44 84.60 111.06 153.69 351.97 516.26 665.78 913.36
2023-02-05 210.57 75.72 85.30 104.70 143.46 325.32 469.45 671.98 947.95
2023-02-12 273.34 89.53 106.71 130.11 178.14 442.92 661.15 902.50 1221.14
2023-02-19 231.62 69.43 88.48 103.88 153.76 377.41 609.85 894.96 1203.19
2023-02-26 253.70 89.45 102.12 127.42 170.72 384.70 569.33 753.01 904.92
2023-03-05 237.69 70.58 93.66 106.49 157.39 356.51 548.19 739.33 953.92
2023-03-12 222.15 75.04 88.96 106.35 150.34 357.09 545.40 793.85 1208.51
2023-03-19 225.55 70.61 86.53 102.46 148.52 347.58 593.12 777.95 1011.00
2023-03-26 206.84 66.18 80.05 91.61 129.61 331.72 562.98 736.28 1182.55
2023-04-02 174.30 56.90 68.93 86.01 115.70 273.06 459.76 609.14 928.54
2023-04-09 177.01 57.92 72.09 87.78 120.79 289.61 472.56 630.21 843.92
2023-04-16 184.95 57.84 69.42 82.05 121.58 293.18 478.87 610.96 818.86
2023-04-23 152.20 42.90 59.16 73.81 102.43 233.21 402.63 579.82 697.12
2023-04-30 164.24 57.62 65.03 77.67 108.88 248.99 360.82 468.57 615.91
2023-05-07 151.18 50.05 58.02 71.35 101.22 245.01 387.75 482.13 645.97
2023-05-14 134.24 46.83 53.49 65.97 89.07 200.73 324.18 433.94 552.88
2023-05-21 127.70 42.38 50.77 61.55 88.15 200.36 337.42 478.38 573.96
2023-05-28 127.78 29.82 36.06 52.36 79.55 218.91 351.97 494.14 748.41
2023-06-04 86.78 23.98 29.55 37.19 57.65 153.75 238.50 374.96 448.95
2023-06-11 80.97 30.05 34.95 41.14 55.23 136.70 206.69 266.48 336.66
2023-06-18 68.04 23.01 27.57 36.13 47.21 99.78 155.99 210.72 295.19
2023-06-25 60.29 22.19 25.19 31.19 41.79 93.31 147.24 197.49 240.96
2023-07-02 59.66 18.97 22.13 27.45 37.16 92.84 154.54 246.81 328.00
2023-07-09 54.66 16.06 19.91 24.18 35.26 82.14 137.83 218.52 279.93
2023-07-16 46.78 12.59 15.83 19.94 27.96 68.82 111.61 189.25 225.76
2023-07-23 45.57 14.85 18.53 21.66 30.35 71.62 112.79 151.49 211.49
2023-07-30 41.83 12.48 13.80 18.11 26.29 68.19 118.12 171.16 216.92
2023-08-06 43.57 11.62 14.69 18.56 27.53 71.64 112.51 177.18 248.19
2023-08-13 34.34 10.60 12.59 16.14 22.66 59.59 98.39 125.66 166.90
2023-08-20 35.87 12.26 14.79 17.16 23.73 56.27 96.30 132.43 194.50
2023-08-27 37.72 12.41 14.05 17.31 24.65 61.45 96.85 144.85 197.66
2023-09-03 29.78 7.96 10.45 12.37 18.59 50.19 77.00 111.36 146.33
2023-09-10 35.94 10.44 12.61 14.66 22.01 59.43 108.65 142.55 199.09
2023-09-17 39.88 10.53 13.11 15.51 22.65 66.99 124.95 186.92 292.63
2023-09-24 38.27 10.84 13.98 16.73 24.26 59.41 102.92 156.90 186.80
2023-10-01 35.92 11.03 13.01 16.43 23.64 55.71 90.04 120.63 157.80
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