Prediction 3762

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Tocantins

Description:

Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in TO


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 43.83 7.98 10.10 15.39 23.64 79.31 149.30 221.83 337.07
2023-10-15 44.96 10.30 13.30 15.86 23.62 81.40 127.56 244.55 402.62
2023-10-22 53.85 11.89 14.19 19.60 29.91 104.88 255.36 400.03 579.03
2023-10-29 60.39 11.74 16.67 24.78 36.48 123.08 207.50 332.44 428.62
2023-11-05 62.73 13.23 17.25 21.73 34.74 115.54 218.70 354.96 480.69
2023-11-12 78.66 17.49 20.73 27.20 44.70 148.77 331.04 519.33 715.52
2023-11-19 97.22 17.79 24.62 31.31 50.54 188.34 347.87 589.03 855.70
2023-11-26 115.04 17.35 23.11 30.70 55.06 237.16 485.67 779.14 1104.15
2023-12-03 126.81 20.51 27.60 38.33 64.51 278.14 649.60 1016.56 2055.48
2023-12-10 96.07 17.20 21.64 29.94 47.98 167.72 298.65 487.74 751.98
2023-12-17 61.40 12.52 14.72 19.59 34.11 126.50 288.32 719.83 1091.09
2023-12-24 47.19 9.08 12.30 15.95 26.47 85.73 156.21 231.58 391.86
2023-12-31 141.86 37.47 45.55 55.36 85.63 255.59 525.34 732.99 990.78
2024-01-07 172.09 47.14 64.09 74.07 110.69 291.27 505.23 802.84 1060.45
2024-01-14 189.07 53.19 63.80 79.76 123.69 285.33 485.91 592.52 697.54
2024-01-21 164.37 47.39 57.98 71.19 103.79 269.33 399.12 572.73 879.00
2024-01-28 188.21 74.20 82.36 98.19 130.01 289.08 434.16 595.93 851.51
2024-02-04 177.47 60.71 80.51 94.07 122.68 276.52 468.60 622.84 763.85
2024-02-11 172.57 61.54 71.72 84.61 113.76 255.36 404.72 560.44 732.07
2024-02-18 153.90 63.08 73.12 85.68 117.77 222.16 322.98 443.93 544.49
2024-02-25 184.30 64.60 77.41 97.36 126.50 268.50 413.82 548.99 769.96
2024-03-03 192.28 69.91 80.76 97.10 130.55 289.37 401.09 555.70 683.97
2024-03-10 210.35 70.46 83.59 98.76 146.68 323.21 487.13 600.79 826.61
2024-03-17 176.54 55.69 68.74 85.66 118.91 253.00 405.97 511.46 712.53
2024-03-24 161.66 52.50 65.61 80.88 112.36 249.59 373.48 531.80 704.15
2024-03-31 156.12 47.20 58.25 75.69 106.62 245.55 419.69 525.37 642.20
2024-04-07 171.81 54.29 68.32 81.27 117.10 292.85 458.98 663.32 832.79
2024-04-14 171.94 55.10 62.14 79.93 110.68 263.75 424.22 552.49 680.79
2024-04-21 137.62 47.90 55.79 66.90 92.02 205.99 340.89 437.31 522.95
2024-04-28 135.29 44.19 51.21 67.90 93.54 204.55 328.33 438.66 550.01
2024-05-05 148.68 42.54 53.01 68.39 97.26 244.11 379.06 508.19 723.88
2024-05-12 106.34 38.66 46.04 53.61 74.80 166.57 236.78 307.57 361.12
2024-05-19 100.56 34.09 41.68 49.75 69.25 161.20 229.38 271.47 313.49
2024-05-26 106.17 32.88 37.64 47.30 70.61 158.93 251.24 326.35 407.03
2024-06-02 74.51 23.11 26.98 33.37 46.73 125.21 200.26 267.69 355.62
2024-06-09 75.48 25.31 29.20 34.29 49.75 120.38 192.33 238.22 311.39
2024-06-16 52.71 17.61 21.24 24.62 35.10 79.86 124.41 156.83 201.69
2024-06-23 48.60 16.55 19.51 22.86 32.13 75.65 115.48 156.75 178.72
2024-06-30 47.52 15.85 19.44 23.36 31.82 72.17 111.06 133.40 183.97
2024-07-07 47.52 16.42 18.52 23.62 31.62 79.69 138.19 173.32 243.89
2024-07-14 46.81 14.01 16.40 21.12 30.06 74.59 115.27 155.72 202.00
2024-07-21 44.55 13.51 16.39 19.62 29.40 67.93 101.44 131.20 204.39
2024-07-28 42.26 11.19 14.39 18.43 27.72 70.83 128.41 190.67 275.05
2024-08-04 42.24 12.93 15.98 19.81 27.97 65.27 101.74 137.41 195.40
2024-08-11 38.46 10.51 12.96 16.30 25.48 62.43 122.59 172.01 231.51
2024-08-18 34.88 7.98 10.55 14.44 21.51 62.95 103.78 135.95 200.42
2024-08-25 33.09 9.10 11.21 14.16 20.14 55.31 87.23 123.09 198.21
2024-09-01 33.83 7.12 9.03 12.69 20.41 63.64 122.06 200.13 334.18
2024-09-08 35.76 7.91 10.60 12.90 20.80 62.12 114.58 175.58 257.52
2024-09-15 38.71 10.29 11.93 15.70 23.34 64.32 123.54 196.19 254.69
2024-09-22 35.90 9.71 12.32 14.35 20.71 60.68 113.91 170.71 296.07
2024-09-29 39.13 10.31 12.16 15.31 23.19 69.46 124.41 195.59 390.22
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