Prediction 3763

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Tocantins

Description:

Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in TO


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 36.27 8.88 10.89 13.09 19.94 64.12 112.35 149.34 187.59
2024-10-13 44.64 11.09 13.35 16.18 25.75 76.05 137.87 204.18 259.89
2024-10-20 43.27 9.85 11.68 15.51 24.70 73.88 144.41 203.96 256.31
2024-10-27 39.37 9.94 11.68 15.35 23.68 74.06 143.25 209.93 330.34
2024-11-03 50.51 10.51 13.34 17.86 29.92 94.81 185.61 252.36 408.34
2024-11-10 63.87 15.56 17.85 22.28 35.84 117.41 199.75 282.03 373.85
2024-11-17 63.63 15.04 19.12 22.77 36.06 111.35 198.13 283.37 438.73
2024-11-24 73.04 16.83 20.49 27.70 43.42 126.48 237.23 352.82 468.44
2024-12-01 74.39 16.11 20.52 27.60 41.41 142.61 234.27 331.84 535.96
2024-12-08 88.22 17.04 23.82 29.71 49.24 155.20 269.24 397.34 548.87
2024-12-15 65.10 12.31 15.78 23.10 36.40 114.90 213.86 384.94 508.55
2024-12-22 50.76 12.88 15.97 18.83 31.45 90.30 162.18 276.84 400.87
2024-12-29 134.40 40.70 45.89 58.44 82.38 227.80 378.85 538.66 725.71
2025-01-05 136.55 41.10 49.26 59.33 88.98 218.38 346.63 459.59 608.31
2025-01-12 159.44 49.95 61.38 77.79 109.94 253.60 389.15 503.42 617.58
2025-01-19 160.12 49.07 58.09 76.58 103.76 246.97 400.49 561.14 729.91
2025-01-26 207.89 72.12 84.10 103.30 142.83 323.06 517.98 707.90 1009.19
2025-02-02 218.49 67.50 87.37 109.10 146.29 336.50 537.23 711.25 991.97
2025-02-09 227.59 72.09 83.97 107.32 152.94 361.95 562.54 796.94 1027.29
2025-02-16 252.67 86.20 99.90 117.59 164.61 398.48 688.81 958.04 1228.66
2025-02-23 277.16 86.19 117.38 135.68 190.23 463.76 704.21 1008.40 1167.08
2025-03-02 267.87 103.29 114.67 138.53 185.17 428.11 618.27 878.71 1252.71
2025-03-09 279.18 92.53 105.39 128.70 179.91 419.20 640.58 846.82 1241.74
2025-03-16 221.71 77.04 88.88 105.77 143.04 332.92 516.61 756.91 986.74
2025-03-23 211.76 67.40 83.80 93.13 138.63 336.63 545.48 731.77 1099.70
2025-03-30 210.81 66.02 80.49 97.03 139.07 333.67 566.31 803.26 1110.29
2025-04-06 197.27 55.63 63.79 83.57 128.98 317.77 535.63 697.12 978.06
2025-04-13 190.43 60.01 72.35 89.04 122.60 287.43 404.82 569.98 706.61
2025-04-20 156.28 53.42 64.62 73.02 108.80 238.38 370.61 495.52 620.67
2025-04-27 166.99 47.98 59.81 74.56 104.80 262.24 439.29 575.73 759.19
2025-05-04 149.06 41.20 52.09 63.83 94.27 248.46 424.88 543.29 716.12
2025-05-11 129.37 40.57 47.99 62.59 86.17 197.94 301.35 490.59 693.02
2025-05-18 101.85 28.87 36.26 45.79 67.43 174.23 288.45 390.63 617.29
2025-05-25 85.05 27.93 32.41 39.44 55.87 124.94 192.99 297.10 349.52
2025-06-01 75.82 22.74 25.77 35.79 48.14 115.75 203.81 253.35 348.15
2025-06-08 70.56 22.63 25.60 31.74 47.61 110.75 171.01 232.34 323.30
2025-06-15 64.57 18.84 26.24 31.66 43.11 100.30 179.81 280.17 374.27
2025-06-22 58.17 18.45 21.64 26.51 37.95 91.96 160.49 228.53 303.74
2025-06-29 53.99 16.23 19.06 24.45 35.70 83.98 146.54 196.78 304.56
2025-07-06 53.19 14.16 16.86 21.55 32.86 84.68 154.22 204.11 245.47
2025-07-13 51.16 15.36 19.01 23.21 32.51 85.27 140.68 215.24 255.91
2025-07-20 46.42 13.55 16.91 20.67 30.89 73.79 125.79 188.03 237.18
2025-07-27 47.90 14.04 15.99 21.11 29.95 75.23 131.78 182.20 212.06
2025-08-03 49.32 12.48 14.37 17.63 29.90 89.12 152.11 239.34 326.92
2025-08-10 43.52 12.39 13.76 16.38 27.66 73.08 121.28 168.13 259.81
2025-08-17 46.36 13.08 14.49 19.12 28.49 83.24 142.84 212.26 299.52
2025-08-24 36.86 10.70 12.47 15.05 23.28 61.30 99.18 134.93 193.99
2025-08-31 36.47 7.93 9.50 14.19 23.00 59.22 116.62 174.39 259.29
2025-09-07 43.11 10.18 11.99 15.32 26.22 85.36 174.84 307.79 375.91
2025-09-14 34.93 8.73 10.58 13.09 21.44 58.51 103.36 154.30 241.28
2025-09-21 33.78 9.14 12.42 15.17 20.34 57.02 110.50 157.39 239.81
2025-09-28 36.02 8.64 10.38 13.58 21.93 62.63 120.55 210.82 300.09
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