Prediction 3792
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Rio Grande do Sul |
Description:
Validation test 1 for UF=RS (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 25.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 21.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 18.0 | 27.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 23.0 | 37.0 | 52.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 18.0 | 27.0 | 39.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 18.0 | 28.0 | 40.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 21.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 18.0 | 26.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 19.0 | 39.0 | 60.0 | 89.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 13.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 32.0 | 66.0 | 98.0 | 144.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 18.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 45.0 | 95.0 | 143.0 | 209.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 22.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 53.0 | 115.0 | 176.0 | 261.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 24.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 56.0 | 125.0 | 197.0 | 291.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 26.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 60.0 | 134.0 | 218.0 | 322.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 30.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 70.0 | 157.0 | 259.0 | 388.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 45.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 19.0 | 104.0 | 229.0 | 371.0 | 558.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 75.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 32.0 | 178.0 | 384.0 | 606.0 | 918.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 133.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 26.0 | 58.0 | 316.0 | 678.0 | 1056.0 | 1606.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 221.0 | 19.0 | 28.0 | 44.0 | 95.0 | 525.0 | 1126.0 | 1751.0 | 2653.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 346.0 | 29.0 | 43.0 | 69.0 | 148.0 | 823.0 | 1764.0 | 2753.0 | 4155.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 499.0 | 42.0 | 63.0 | 99.0 | 212.0 | 1187.0 | 2556.0 | 3999.0 | 6033.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 663.0 | 56.0 | 83.0 | 131.0 | 281.0 | 1579.0 | 3411.0 | 5361.0 | 8062.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 796.0 | 67.0 | 99.0 | 157.0 | 335.0 | 1895.0 | 4102.0 | 6479.0 | 9745.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 906.0 | 76.0 | 113.0 | 179.0 | 379.0 | 2150.0 | 4670.0 | 7436.0 | 11173.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 954.0 | 80.0 | 119.0 | 188.0 | 399.0 | 2260.0 | 4923.0 | 7895.0 | 11850.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 947.0 | 80.0 | 117.0 | 187.0 | 396.0 | 2247.0 | 4899.0 | 7910.0 | 11833.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 887.0 | 75.0 | 110.0 | 174.0 | 372.0 | 2108.0 | 4603.0 | 7453.0 | 11140.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 785.0 | 66.0 | 97.0 | 154.0 | 330.0 | 1870.0 | 4079.0 | 6606.0 | 9873.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 642.0 | 54.0 | 80.0 | 126.0 | 271.0 | 1535.0 | 3342.0 | 5407.0 | 8062.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 493.0 | 41.0 | 61.0 | 97.0 | 209.0 | 1184.0 | 2571.0 | 4141.0 | 6181.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 354.0 | 29.0 | 44.0 | 69.0 | 150.0 | 853.0 | 1846.0 | 2948.0 | 4415.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 236.0 | 19.0 | 29.0 | 46.0 | 100.0 | 574.0 | 1237.0 | 1955.0 | 2939.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 150.0 | 12.0 | 18.0 | 29.0 | 64.0 | 368.0 | 789.0 | 1231.0 | 1866.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 90.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 38.0 | 223.0 | 476.0 | 734.0 | 1129.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 52.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 22.0 | 129.0 | 277.0 | 428.0 | 665.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 31.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 75.0 | 165.0 | 261.0 | 410.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 21.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 49.0 | 111.0 | 186.0 | 292.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 15.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 35.0 | 81.0 | 142.0 | 216.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 30.0 | 68.0 | 120.0 | 177.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 24.0 | 55.0 | 93.0 | 137.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 18.0 | 40.0 | 63.0 | 89.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 16.0 | 26.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 21.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 |
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Confidence Interval
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Interval Bounds
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