Prediction 4051
Model | ISI_Dengue_Model |
---|---|
Author | Davide Nicola |
ADM 1 | Amapá |
Description:
2024-25 Dengue Forecast for Amapá
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-10-08 | 6.75 | 1.61 | 1.61 | 1.61 | 1.61 | 10.08 | 11.11 | 11.37 | 11.58 |
2023-10-15 | 4.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.79 | 8.76 | 9.00 | 9.20 |
2023-10-22 | 0.84 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 1.29 | 1.42 | 1.46 | 1.49 |
2023-10-29 | 0.08 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.28 | 0.29 | 0.29 | 0.30 |
2023-11-05 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.33 | 0.34 | 0.35 | 0.35 |
2023-11-12 | 0.25 | 0.20 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.23 | 0.50 | 0.52 | 0.52 | 0.53 |
2023-11-19 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.60 | 0.62 | 0.62 | 0.63 |
2023-11-26 | 0.11 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.09 | 0.91 | 0.95 | 0.96 | 0.97 |
2023-12-03 | 0.54 | 0.32 | 0.36 | 0.36 | 0.41 | 1.49 | 1.54 | 1.56 | 1.58 |
2023-12-10 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 2.01 | 2.09 | 2.11 | 2.14 |
2023-12-17 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 3.01 | 3.13 | 3.17 | 3.21 |
2023-12-24 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 4.38 | 4.55 | 4.61 | 4.67 |
2023-12-31 | 0.26 | 0.16 | 0.17 | 0.18 | 0.20 | 6.90 | 7.17 | 7.26 | 7.36 |
2024-01-07 | 0.38 | 0.25 | 0.28 | 0.28 | 0.31 | 10.98 | 11.41 | 11.55 | 11.71 |
2024-01-14 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 15.60 | 16.20 | 16.41 | 16.62 |
2024-01-21 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 21.71 | 22.50 | 22.78 | 23.06 |
2024-01-28 | 0.19 | 0.13 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 0.16 | 32.67 | 33.74 | 34.12 | 34.83 |
2024-02-04 | 0.32 | 0.21 | 0.23 | 0.23 | 0.26 | 87.32 | 97.60 | 101.17 | 104.77 |
2024-02-11 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 198.42 | 210.68 | 214.93 | 219.20 |
2024-02-18 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 313.55 | 325.78 | 330.09 | 334.32 |
2024-02-25 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 411.96 | 421.41 | 424.72 | 427.84 |
2024-03-03 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 478.11 | 482.05 | 483.24 | 484.36 |
2024-03-10 | 0.27 | 0.17 | 0.19 | 0.19 | 0.21 | 486.39 | 488.88 | 490.17 | 491.11 |
2024-03-17 | 0.34 | 0.22 | 0.24 | 0.24 | 0.27 | 460.44 | 466.79 | 470.02 | 472.21 |
2024-03-24 | 0.31 | 0.20 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 0.25 | 369.90 | 379.91 | 385.29 | 388.99 |
2024-03-31 | 0.78 | 0.47 | 0.52 | 0.53 | 0.60 | 273.19 | 283.80 | 289.60 | 293.69 |
2024-04-07 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 170.46 | 178.94 | 183.65 | 186.99 |
2024-04-14 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 88.33 | 93.95 | 97.13 | 99.38 |
2024-04-21 | 0.32 | 0.21 | 0.23 | 0.23 | 0.26 | 38.75 | 42.21 | 44.13 | 45.52 |
2024-04-28 | 0.23 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 0.17 | 0.18 | 16.47 | 18.56 | 19.72 | 20.55 |
2024-05-05 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.98 | 1.48 | 1.82 | 2.06 |
2024-05-12 | 0.12 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.13 | 0.14 | 0.15 | 0.15 |
2024-05-19 | 0.97 | 0.59 | 0.65 | 0.66 | 0.75 | 2.29 | 2.41 | 2.44 | 2.48 |
2024-05-26 | 0.10 | 0.09 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.13 |
2024-06-02 | 0.15 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.19 |
2024-06-09 | 0.09 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.27 | 0.28 | 0.29 | 0.29 |
2024-06-16 | 0.43 | 0.30 | 0.32 | 0.32 | 0.36 | 1.36 | 1.39 | 1.39 | 1.40 |
2024-06-23 | 0.16 | 0.13 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 0.15 | 0.36 | 0.36 | 0.36 | 0.37 |
2024-06-30 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.09 |
2024-07-07 | 0.13 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 1.30 | 1.31 | 1.31 | 1.31 |
2024-07-14 | 0.67 | 0.44 | 0.48 | 0.48 | 0.53 | 3.79 | 3.80 | 3.81 | 3.81 |
2024-07-21 | 0.80 | 0.52 | 0.56 | 0.57 | 0.63 | 3.16 | 3.17 | 3.18 | 3.18 |
2024-07-28 | 0.11 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.32 | 0.32 | 0.32 | 0.32 |
2024-08-04 | 0.83 | 0.54 | 0.59 | 0.60 | 0.66 | 2.99 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
2024-08-11 | 0.17 | 0.13 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 0.15 | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.60 |
2024-08-18 | 1.63 | 1.04 | 1.14 | 1.15 | 1.29 | 6.73 | 6.83 | 6.87 | 6.90 |
2024-08-25 | 1.15 | 0.75 | 0.82 | 0.83 | 0.92 | 9.00 | 9.22 | 9.30 | 9.37 |
2024-09-01 | 0.90 | 0.62 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.74 | 8.36 | 8.56 | 8.63 | 8.70 |
2024-09-08 | 1.57 | 1.03 | 1.12 | 1.13 | 1.25 | 13.29 | 13.47 | 13.53 | 13.59 |
2024-09-15 | 1.64 | 1.08 | 1.18 | 1.19 | 1.32 | 14.73 | 14.88 | 14.94 | 14.99 |
2024-09-22 | 2.12 | 1.39 | 1.51 | 1.53 | 1.70 | 18.28 | 18.42 | 18.46 | 18.51 |
2024-09-29 | 2.16 | 1.44 | 1.56 | 1.58 | 1.74 | 17.75 | 17.87 | 17.91 | 17.95 |