Prediction 4052
Model | ISI_Dengue_Model |
---|---|
Author | Davide Nicola |
ADM 1 | Amazonas |
Description:
2024-25 Dengue Forecast for Amazonas
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-10-08 | 245.28 | 61.41 | 61.41 | 61.41 | 63.82 | 248.28 | 397.63 | 409.23 | 418.79 |
2023-10-15 | 322.68 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 454.89 | 936.95 | 969.07 | 996.91 |
2023-10-22 | 337.32 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.09 | 487.43 | 1029.73 | 1065.55 | 1095.83 |
2023-10-29 | 324.10 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 1.40 | 463.86 | 970.69 | 1004.27 | 1033.07 |
2023-11-05 | 291.90 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 1.45 | 407.69 | 833.99 | 862.47 | 887.94 |
2023-11-12 | 264.92 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 1.86 | 360.50 | 720.19 | 743.07 | 765.52 |
2023-11-19 | 237.39 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 1.35 | 311.86 | 603.32 | 622.17 | 641.36 |
2023-11-26 | 212.14 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 2.29 | 265.23 | 496.64 | 511.48 | 527.50 |
2023-12-03 | 196.15 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 2.70 | 235.79 | 428.87 | 441.93 | 455.65 |
2023-12-10 | 174.59 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 2.28 | 196.09 | 336.64 | 349.92 | 358.85 |
2023-12-17 | 154.36 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 3.57 | 162.45 | 254.31 | 265.31 | 267.72 |
2023-12-24 | 139.36 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 3.77 | 142.47 | 195.84 | 204.23 | 207.21 |
2023-12-31 | 140.50 | 2.55 | 2.56 | 2.57 | 13.40 | 143.71 | 200.99 | 209.16 | 212.05 |
2024-01-07 | 173.83 | 3.30 | 3.31 | 3.33 | 23.09 | 195.57 | 335.09 | 347.39 | 356.72 |
2024-01-14 | 173.67 | 0.63 | 0.63 | 0.64 | 27.69 | 195.47 | 334.76 | 346.87 | 356.26 |
2024-01-21 | 167.69 | 0.26 | 0.26 | 0.26 | 40.30 | 184.59 | 309.72 | 321.95 | 329.36 |
2024-01-28 | 168.01 | 1.09 | 1.09 | 1.10 | 65.54 | 185.60 | 311.52 | 323.53 | 331.41 |
2024-02-04 | 171.99 | 1.14 | 1.14 | 1.15 | 96.99 | 193.26 | 329.16 | 340.43 | 349.85 |
2024-02-11 | 168.18 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 128.28 | 186.37 | 313.08 | 324.57 | 332.86 |
2024-02-18 | 176.58 | 1.82 | 1.82 | 1.83 | 170.21 | 248.88 | 328.59 | 339.26 | 349.12 |
2024-02-25 | 174.45 | 0.38 | 0.38 | 0.39 | 168.66 | 328.39 | 658.13 | 665.12 | 670.24 |
2024-03-03 | 163.18 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 158.57 | 285.12 | 1205.35 | 1213.61 | 1219.43 |
2024-03-10 | 162.16 | 1.63 | 1.64 | 1.65 | 157.63 | 281.39 | 1944.39 | 1953.32 | 1959.68 |
2024-03-17 | 166.38 | 1.57 | 1.58 | 1.59 | 161.26 | 297.11 | 2662.40 | 2670.09 | 2675.62 |
2024-03-24 | 167.50 | 1.34 | 1.35 | 1.36 | 162.35 | 301.97 | 3115.71 | 3119.55 | 3122.41 |
2024-03-31 | 165.41 | 1.42 | 1.43 | 1.44 | 160.41 | 293.84 | 3106.79 | 3107.95 | 3108.82 |
2024-04-07 | 169.70 | 1.97 | 1.98 | 1.99 | 164.52 | 311.69 | 2964.26 | 2968.63 | 2970.89 |
2024-04-14 | 162.13 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 157.73 | 282.75 | 2308.68 | 2316.03 | 2320.26 |
2024-04-21 | 151.52 | 0.35 | 0.35 | 0.36 | 148.54 | 243.38 | 1540.76 | 1548.20 | 1552.55 |
2024-04-28 | 145.67 | 0.91 | 0.92 | 0.92 | 142.92 | 219.41 | 951.02 | 957.06 | 960.64 |
2024-05-05 | 141.52 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 138.52 | 202.83 | 540.94 | 545.25 | 547.81 |
2024-05-12 | 136.16 | 1.23 | 1.24 | 1.24 | 132.23 | 181.69 | 266.06 | 268.88 | 270.53 |
2024-05-19 | 135.70 | 2.32 | 2.33 | 2.34 | 129.47 | 138.23 | 184.62 | 191.42 | 192.98 |
2024-05-26 | 137.34 | 2.56 | 2.57 | 2.59 | 50.02 | 140.11 | 191.11 | 198.52 | 199.64 |
2024-06-02 | 137.31 | 1.96 | 1.97 | 1.98 | 3.97 | 140.04 | 190.95 | 198.42 | 199.47 |
2024-06-09 | 130.00 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.50 | 132.32 | 163.25 | 168.92 | 170.28 |
2024-06-16 | 110.30 | 0.95 | 0.96 | 0.96 | 2.78 | 120.04 | 121.22 | 122.07 | 123.18 |
2024-06-23 | 104.70 | 1.33 | 1.34 | 1.34 | 5.24 | 116.90 | 118.29 | 118.82 | 119.31 |
2024-06-30 | 57.87 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 1.68 | 104.18 | 105.53 | 106.13 | 106.63 |
2024-07-07 | 54.47 | 4.37 | 4.39 | 4.42 | 40.29 | 103.29 | 104.63 | 105.24 | 105.75 |
2024-07-14 | 67.96 | 3.19 | 3.21 | 3.23 | 16.27 | 106.57 | 107.87 | 108.48 | 108.99 |
2024-07-21 | 64.70 | 2.91 | 2.92 | 2.94 | 8.07 | 105.74 | 107.03 | 107.63 | 108.15 |
2024-07-28 | 47.39 | 0.31 | 0.31 | 0.31 | 0.48 | 101.44 | 102.79 | 103.41 | 103.93 |
2024-08-04 | 46.64 | 5.88 | 5.91 | 5.94 | 33.64 | 101.21 | 102.54 | 103.16 | 103.69 |
2024-08-11 | 51.98 | 4.14 | 4.15 | 4.18 | 10.59 | 102.49 | 103.80 | 104.41 | 104.93 |
2024-08-18 | 102.79 | 12.30 | 12.36 | 12.42 | 69.34 | 115.85 | 117.17 | 117.67 | 118.09 |
2024-08-25 | 106.06 | 3.70 | 3.72 | 3.74 | 41.39 | 117.00 | 118.32 | 118.81 | 119.22 |
2024-09-01 | 87.12 | 6.65 | 6.68 | 6.71 | 10.95 | 111.28 | 112.53 | 113.08 | 113.53 |
2024-09-08 | 105.61 | 11.10 | 11.15 | 11.21 | 31.38 | 116.62 | 117.91 | 118.39 | 118.80 |
2024-09-15 | 113.86 | 11.30 | 11.35 | 11.41 | 44.71 | 121.25 | 123.15 | 125.80 | 127.96 |
2024-09-22 | 116.66 | 11.01 | 11.06 | 11.12 | 39.02 | 122.36 | 126.65 | 130.17 | 132.18 |
2024-09-29 | 121.44 | 14.32 | 14.38 | 14.46 | 39.03 | 125.28 | 138.15 | 142.24 | 144.02 |