Prediction 4053

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model ISI_Dengue_Model
Author Davide Nicola
ADM 1 Bahia

Description:

2024-25 Dengue Forecast for Bahia


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 1045.24 439.95 439.95 501.23 984.87 1052.99 1058.82 1059.81 1060.41
2023-10-15 1492.71 239.33 239.33 315.07 1465.40 1500.34 1506.62 1509.64 1515.56
2023-10-22 1942.99 129.37 230.28 240.84 1908.44 1952.07 1957.73 1962.19 1969.48
2023-10-29 1820.21 8.05 194.38 214.20 1792.12 1830.24 1838.12 1842.90 1846.18
2023-11-05 1438.14 20.00 55.88 103.90 1422.49 1446.47 1474.07 1482.26 1483.27
2023-11-12 1653.81 57.09 157.95 187.85 1632.29 1663.30 1676.64 1680.11 1682.20
2023-11-19 1571.34 1.02 129.82 165.60 1552.56 1580.36 1596.86 1601.20 1603.22
2023-11-26 1646.41 47.87 176.45 205.08 1622.72 1655.55 1665.05 1669.55 1670.54
2023-12-03 2114.45 173.98 374.83 374.83 2079.86 2130.98 2139.75 2143.59 2149.69
2023-12-10 2317.91 280.82 455.92 455.92 2274.30 2335.84 2346.30 2350.18 2355.67
2023-12-17 2485.43 380.32 527.15 527.15 2427.35 2506.00 2516.95 2521.14 2526.54
2023-12-24 2474.71 389.01 533.99 533.99 2415.76 2495.50 2506.32 2510.36 2515.67
2023-12-31 2816.16 581.57 671.43 671.43 2739.31 2841.14 2853.83 2857.66 2862.02
2024-01-07 3194.43 789.08 819.35 836.62 3087.25 3221.82 3237.12 3241.92 3244.65
2024-01-14 3128.90 770.61 807.05 823.93 3025.71 3155.71 3170.54 3175.22 3177.97
2024-01-21 3134.79 806.63 834.23 851.66 3030.19 3161.33 3176.26 3180.97 3183.69
2024-01-28 3439.60 960.56 960.56 998.26 3315.82 3467.60 3485.22 3489.43 3493.00
2024-02-04 3784.63 1103.76 1103.76 1148.14 3636.33 3815.19 3834.83 3839.38 3843.23
2024-02-11 3946.15 1183.63 1183.63 1256.37 3785.46 3977.87 3998.40 4002.93 4006.49
2024-02-18 4116.89 1268.71 1268.71 1371.65 3943.26 4149.62 4170.92 4175.72 4178.43
2024-02-25 4201.81 1323.19 1323.19 1430.67 4022.05 4234.82 4256.27 4261.17 4263.76
2024-03-03 4504.56 1461.16 1461.16 1588.69 4303.72 4540.22 4563.15 4568.51 4570.41
2024-03-10 4767.87 1586.19 1586.19 1727.29 4549.23 4805.22 4829.56 4835.05 4837.07
2024-03-17 4834.93 1639.73 1639.73 1785.75 4613.42 4872.32 4896.58 4901.74 4903.89
2024-03-24 5119.15 1777.94 1777.94 1937.58 4879.53 5158.11 5184.02 5188.51 5191.19
2024-03-31 5576.84 1983.56 1983.56 2163.73 5306.13 5617.95 5645.67 5650.79 5653.61
2024-04-07 5262.45 1880.91 1880.91 2050.09 5017.41 5300.68 5326.41 5330.72 5333.35
2024-04-14 4979.42 1802.21 1802.21 1962.55 4758.69 5014.36 5037.14 5041.82 5043.55
2024-04-21 5042.69 1871.30 1871.30 2037.74 4823.46 5076.34 5097.97 5102.60 5104.28
2024-04-28 4941.80 1848.01 1848.01 2011.69 4732.55 4974.28 4994.70 4998.92 5001.18
2024-05-05 4584.93 1730.56 1730.56 1881.65 4405.19 4613.98 4630.94 4635.26 4638.02
2024-05-12 4157.38 1582.74 1582.74 1716.60 4011.77 4181.78 4195.54 4199.68 4202.93
2024-05-19 4023.78 1561.46 1561.46 1689.05 3892.96 4045.86 4057.67 4061.29 4064.49
2024-05-26 3961.16 1550.14 1550.14 1674.77 3837.66 3982.22 3993.40 3996.71 4000.53
2024-06-02 3721.30 1471.90 1471.90 1584.40 3618.21 3739.72 3748.68 3751.58 3756.69
2024-06-09 3447.28 1378.15 1378.15 1477.28 3366.00 3461.08 3468.79 3471.37 3477.74
2024-06-16 3030.22 1222.06 1222.06 1286.97 2980.46 3041.19 3046.02 3049.44 3055.98
2024-06-23 2553.12 1036.56 1036.56 1068.38 2529.15 2558.88 2562.75 2568.57 2573.15
2024-06-30 1961.90 710.24 798.28 798.28 1956.63 1971.19 1982.55 1989.79 1992.23
2024-07-07 1640.74 535.10 673.23 673.23 1635.07 1656.09 1686.94 1692.52 1694.60
2024-07-14 1631.94 549.65 684.85 684.85 1625.89 1648.47 1682.11 1687.31 1689.41
2024-07-21 1457.19 452.09 612.71 614.97 1449.43 1475.02 1521.08 1526.01 1527.31
2024-07-28 1144.52 275.71 456.90 488.56 1133.73 1165.88 1230.31 1236.75 1238.82
2024-08-04 729.84 40.98 250.05 315.62 715.23 756.01 847.38 853.72 858.14
2024-08-11 672.25 24.66 232.57 301.83 656.71 699.35 795.54 802.58 807.27
2024-08-18 671.42 21.43 237.89 306.94 655.61 698.92 795.97 802.84 807.53
2024-08-25 673.51 35.23 249.08 317.54 657.22 701.64 799.62 806.60 811.47
2024-09-01 905.11 191.05 379.97 430.71 890.13 931.36 1017.69 1023.14 1027.08
2024-09-08 1256.42 423.85 587.13 599.69 1243.68 1279.78 1346.28 1352.34 1354.44
2024-09-15 1242.89 426.64 589.29 602.32 1229.59 1267.08 1335.05 1341.33 1343.73
2024-09-22 1168.08 396.88 563.93 581.85 1153.47 1193.68 1267.68 1274.07 1277.07
2024-09-29 1469.73 620.48 742.52 742.52 1456.15 1493.82 1555.76 1560.01 1562.06
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